【基本面信息】
　　橡胶：截至2023年1月6日，上期所天然橡胶库存186744（42）吨，仓单169700（4690）吨，20号胶库存34000（302）吨，仓单29011（-202）吨。
　　甲醇：上游开工73.85%，环比-1.73%。库存方面，港口卸货速度好转，提货缩减，港口库存总量报71.66万吨，环比+9.6万吨。企业库存环比-2.04万吨，报49.47万吨，同比偏高。
　　PTA：PTA部分装置重启，市场供应有所回升，终端织造需求加速回落，PTA季节性累库，但加工费压缩低位，油价反弹支撑成本
　　 PVC：基本面PVC供应增加，近期出口表现较好，但短期内需减弱，社会库存增加，PVC上涨空间有限。
　　聚丙烯：2022年12月份国内聚丙烯装置检修损失量为32.05万吨，较上月增加6.20万吨，增幅为24%。较去年同期（2021年12月26.05万吨）增加6万吨，增幅为23%。

研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2023年1月10日星期二基本面信息橡胶截至2023年1月6日上期所天然橡胶库存18674442吨仓单1697004690吨20号胶库存34000302吨仓单29011-202吨甲醇上游开工7385环比-173库存方面港口卸货速度好转提货缩减港口库存总量报7166万吨环比96万吨企业库存环比-204万吨报4947万吨同比偏高PTAPTA部分装置重启市场供应有所回升终端织造需求加速回落PTA季节性累库但加工费压缩低位卢品先油价反弹支撑成本PVC基本面PVC供应增加近期出口表现较好但短期内需减弱社会库存增加PVC上涨空间有限投研经理聚丙烯2022年12月份国内聚丙烯装置检修损失量为3205万吨较上月增加620万吨增幅为24较去年同0755-23375252期2021年12月2605万吨增加6万吨增幅为23lupxwkjyqhcom期权分析及操作建议从业资格号1橡胶期权F3047321橡胶上周突破前两周的震荡区间上限而后冲高逐渐回落偏弱势下跌涨幅031报收于12915期权隐含波动交易咨询号率下降007报收于2256持仓量PCR维持低位报收于069操作建议沪胶大幅上涨突破近两周以来矩形区间上Z0015541限而后上升受阻回落围绕着20天均线窄幅波动橡胶期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖方期权的动态DELTA中性组合策略获取时间价值收益根据市场行情变化动态地调整持仓DELTA使得持仓保持中性若市场行情急速大涨或大跌持仓将面临大亏损则平仓离场如RU2305期权SRU2305C1325010SRU2305C1300010和SRU2305P1250010SRU2305P12750102甲醇期权甲醇MA303两个月以来沿着偏多头趋势方向波浪形上涨上周以来冲高回落止跌于21天均线反弹回升涨幅027报收于2606期权隐含波动率下降008报收于2350持仓量PCR小幅下降报收于086操作建议甲醇形成短期弱势偏空头中期趋势偏多头的市场行情形态且20天均线和60天均线斜率为正数甲醇期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR窄幅盘整构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大跌则逐渐平仓离场如MA2303期权SMA2303C265010SMA2303C260010和STMA2303P255010SMA2303P2600103PTA期权PTATA303低位反弹V型反转回暖上升延续近三周以来的偏多头上涨行情上周以来高位盘整震荡而后连续报收大阴线大幅下跌而后低位弱势区间盘整涨幅008报收于5292期权隐含波动率小幅下降024报收于2430持仓量PCR窄幅波动报收于079操作建议PTA形成区间弱势盘整震荡的市场行情格局PTA期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR窄幅波动维持至较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情急速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如TA2303期权STA2303C540010STA2303C530010和STA2303P520010STA2303P5100104塑料期权塑料L2305延续一个半月以来的震荡上行温和上涨趋势而后两周以来围绕20天均线附近大幅波动上周以来低位窄幅区间盘整震荡跌幅032报收于7988期权隐含波动率上升009报收于1850持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于114操作上建议塑料空头压力线下窄幅区间盘整震荡下有55天均线支撑上有前期高点和21天均线压力塑料期权隐含波动率小幅上升持仓量PCR维持在110以上窄幅盘整构建卖出偏空头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情急速大涨则平仓离场如L2305期权SL2305-C-800010SL2305-C-810010和SL2305-P-790010SL2305-P-7800105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯前一周上升受阻回落上周以来逐渐转为弱势下行趋势先后跌破21天均线和55天均线跌幅029报收于7648期权隐含波动率上升012报收于1809持仓量PC小幅下降报收于117操作上建议聚丙烯逐渐形成市场偏空头的行情走势中期趋势斜率为负值且连续下跌后跌破近期低点整体来看聚丙烯短期走势偏向弱势下行期权隐含波动率小幅度上升持仓量PCR有所下降仍维持在较高水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如PP2305SPP2305-C-770010SPP2305-C-780010和PP2305-P-750010SPP2305-P-7600106PVC期权PVC维持近一个月以来的宽幅矩形区间盘整震荡跌幅016报收于6346期权隐含波动率下降045报收于2331持仓量PCR持续下降报收于063操作上建议PVC维持宽幅矩形区间震荡行情格局PVC期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则逐渐平仓离场如V2305期权SV2305-C-640010SV2305-C-650010和SV2305-P-630010SV2305-P-620010市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU230512915004000031243531358MAMA230326060070002715544037PTATA230352920040000817624658LPGPG2302437900112002628447204LL2305798800-2600-032268110742PPPP2305764800-2200-029372614289PVCV2305634600-1000-016880027969数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU230513000541006400012901-2200-017-14001052023-04-24MA23032600560057502599-3100-118-750252023-02-03TA2303530010400130005274-3700-070-1800252023-02-03PG230244000201072042935080120-860002023-01-09L2305800028350272008012-2300-0292350912023-04-10PP2305760028150229007653-4800-062450912023-04-10V2305630031150241506370107001712400912023-04-10数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2305239019532256-007215122442057MA2303237623242350-008222523752075TA2303238824652430-024231025162104PG2302168129412137-936289531152676L2305184118601850009187819071850PP2305184417601809012183418661803V2305239322162331-045245625452368数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU2305774134120440042230415495069001MA230366667699671050063571230648086-006TA2303980211161401180066590452374079004PG230235167199360570072850915200053004L230534962698077-03457036523114-004PP230548773558073-01368327987117-002V2305103335630054-0002568716147063000数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图14000成交量万7013500收盘价6012890005013000401250030120002011500101100002022-08-302022-09-132022-12-262023-01-092022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-09-022022-09-072022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-292023-01-04图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2252700259700260015025002400752300220002022-07-112022-11-092023-01-042022-07-062022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-09图3PTA主力合约走势图6500320成交量万收盘价60002405500528800160500080450002022-07-142022-11-092022-12-162022-07-062022-07-112022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-09标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图600025成交量万收盘价2055001550001042960045005400002022-09-162022-11-042022-12-162022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-09图5塑料主力合约走势图900080成交量万收盘价70850060508000408006003075002010700002022-07-112022-09-022022-11-042022-07-062022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-09图6PP主力合约走势图900090成交量万收盘价8085007060508000765100403075002010700002022-07-112022-09-022022-11-042022-07-062022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-09图8PVC主力合约走势图7200180收盘价收盘价16067001401201006200806367006057004020520002022-08-042022-10-112022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-09橡胶期权持仓分布橡胶期权持仓分布图橡胶期权持仓变化图5000250450040002003500150300025001002000150050100005000-50990099001025010750112501175012250127501325013750142501475015250157509900102501075011250117501225012750132501375014250147501525015750OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC橡胶期权最大未平仓橡胶认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价17000160001500014000130001200011000100002022-07-192022-08-092022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-09橡胶期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓橡胶期权持仓量PCR橡胶期权隐含波动率08014000OIPCR0694734CLOSE0701289000135003230060130002805012500262404012000220301150020020110002022-09-212022-07-062022-07-142022-07-222022-08-012022-08-092022-08-172022-08-252022-09-022022-09-132022-09-292022-10-142022-10-242022-11-012022-11-092022-11-172022-11-252022-12-052022-12-132022-12-212022-12-292023-01-092022-12-292022-07-182022-07-282022-08-092022-08-192022-08-312022-09-132022-09-232022-10-122022-10-242022-11-032022-11-152022-11-252022-12-072022-12-192022-07-06IMPVMA20UPLOW甲醇期权持仓分布甲醇期权持仓分布图甲醇期权持仓变化图6000300050002500200040001500300010002000500100000-5003000220027002150220022502300235024002450250026002700280029003100320033003400215022502300235024002450250026002800290030003100320033003400OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC甲醇期权最大未平仓甲醇认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价32003000280026002400220020002022-08-092022-09-262022-12-052022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-09甲醇期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓甲醇期权持仓量PCR甲醇期权隐含波动率2002900OIPCR50CLOSE280016040270012030260008020259700250004024001000023002022-08-092022-10-142022-12-132022-07-062022-07-142022-07-222022-08-012022-08-172022-08-252022-09-022022-09-132022-09-212022-09-292022-10-242022-11-012022-11-092022-11-172022-11-252022-12-052022-12-212022-12-292023-01-092022-12-292022-07-182022-07-282022-08-092022-08-192022-08-312022-09-132022-09-232022-10-122022-10-242022-11-032022-11-152022-11-252022-12-072022-12-192022-07-06IMPVMA20UPLOWPTA期权持仓分布PTA期权持仓分布图PTA期权持仓变化图900020008000150070006000100050005004000300002000-50010000-10004900490050005200540056005800460046004700480050005200540056005800600062006400660068007000720074007600780046004700480049006000620064006600680070007200740076007800OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECPTA期权最大未平仓PTA认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价8000750070006500600055005000450040002022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220232023-------------------------------------------091207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