五矿期货-能源化工期权日报-221222

>> 五矿期货-能源化工期权日报-221222

上传日期：	2022/12/22	大小：	1494KB
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研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2022年12月22日星期四基本面信息橡胶山东地区轮胎企业全钢胎开工负荷为6001较上周下滑017个百分点较去年同期下滑428个百分点国内轮胎企业半钢胎开工负荷为6643较上周上涨194个百分点较去年同期上涨266个百分点甲醇上游开工7514环比056库存方面港口库存总量报6448万吨环比007万吨企业库存环比-055万吨报5113万吨高位去化PVC从今年整体产量上看11月PVC产量在16424万吨左右12月预计产量在176万吨全年产量在2195万吨卢品先去年同期2216万吨同比去年略有减少主要在于今年下半年PVC持续弱势下存在主动减产现象较多开工较去年下滑投研经理0755-23375252期权分析及操作建议lupxwkjyqhcom1橡胶期权橡胶多头趋势方向上高位大幅波动连续报收大阴线跌破21天均线下有55天均线支撑涨幅004报收于从业资格号12875期权隐含波动率上升034报收于2128持仓量PCR维持低位报收于044操作建议沪胶多头趋势方向上F3047321低位宽幅矩形区间盘整震荡橡胶期权隐含波动率窄幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权交易咨询号偏多头组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则逐渐平仓离场如RU2305期Z0015541权SRU2305C1275010SRU2305C1300010和SRU2305P1275010SRU2305P12500102甲醇期权甲醇MA302维持一个多月以来的55天均线以来大幅波动上周超跌反弹逐渐回升企稳20天均线支撑继续偏多头上涨本周以来逐渐下降回落涨幅059报收于2552期权隐含波动率上升116报收于2121持仓量PCR报收于080操作建议甲醇围绕着20天均线附件上下大幅波动本周以来冲高回落后逐渐转弱甲醇期权隐含波动率窄幅波动持仓量PCR仍维持在较低水平构建卖出偏空头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则逐渐平仓离场如MA2302期权SMA2302C255010SMA2302C260010和STMA2302P255010SMA2302P2500103PTA期权PTATA302上周以来低位反弹V型反转回暖上升连续报收阳线先后企稳21天均线和55天均线支撑而中长期趋势方向仍向下涨幅138报收于5436期权隐含波动率上升065报收于2456持仓量PCR持续反弹上升报收于130操作建议PTA延续近两周以来的偏多头上涨本周以来加速上行PTA期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏多头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则逐渐平仓离场如TA2302期权STA2302C5600010STA2302C550010和STA2302P530010STA2302P5400104塑料期权塑料L2305延续一个半月以来的震荡上行温和上涨趋势突破10月以来高点而后维持一周以来的高位震荡涨幅040报收于8207期权隐含波动率上升001报收于1869持仓量PCR急速上升报收于115操作上建议塑料维持近一个月以来的震荡上行温和上涨上周以来逐渐形成偏多头方向的高位震荡行情塑料期权隐含波动率小幅上升持仓量PCR急速上升至110以上构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则平仓离场如L2305期权SL2305-C-830010SL2305-C-820010和SL2305-P-810010SL2305-P-8200105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯形成近两周以来多头趋势方向上的宽幅矩形区间盘整震荡涨幅032报收于7891期权隐含波动率上升013报收于1844持仓量PC小幅上升报收于124操作上建议聚丙烯延续近一个半月以来的偏多头上涨趋势而后高位盘整震荡期权隐含波动率小幅度上升持仓量PCR急速上涨至较高水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏多头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则平仓离场如PP2305SPP2305-C-790010SPP2305-C-800010和PP2305-P-790010SPP2305-P-7800106PVC期权PVC维持近一个多月以来的温和上涨震荡上行均线逐渐形成多头排列本周以来冲高回落窄幅波动涨幅008报收于6282期权隐含波动率持续下降038报收于2463持仓量PCR报收于064操作上建议PVC延续近一个月以来的偏多头上行温和上涨PVC期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权多头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨至低行权价则平仓离场如V2305期权SV2305-C-630010SV2305-C-640010和SV2305-P-630010SV2305-P-620010市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU230112875005000041431841MAMA230225520015000599462401PTATA2302543600740013818644996LPGPG230242850011000268257053LL2305820700330004022679265PPPP23057891002500032306812067PVCV2305628200500008902428324数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU230113000730015200129218700068460052022-12-26MA23022550400047002543450018-900152023-01-05TA2302540011300825054317750145-550152023-01-05PG230243009220124404268-5120-119-1720202023-01-10L2305820029550321008175-1450-018-32501122023-04-12PP23057900278503095078691650021-22001122023-04-12V2305630033950303506336680010854001122023-04-12数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2301212921232128034213622811992MA2302201721972121116244927172182TA2302209627272456065256127552366PG2302291328352878002289530292762L2305182818811869001182419271721PP2305187718161844013179219131670V2305254523142463-038259327942392数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU2301984341690420032550011344044002MA2302738321006271360225865647192080020TA2302155861207690133023107940140335130008PG23021837114608080006158249191058-007L230514875148346-01035384065115003PP23051431162911400443635407124-003V230536902022055-0091618510308064-001数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图15000成交量万7014500收盘价60140005013500127950040130003012500120002011500101100002022-08-122022-08-252022-12-082022-12-212022-06-202022-06-232022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-172022-08-222022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-132022-12-16图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2700225257000260015025002400752300220002022-06-232022-10-242022-12-162022-06-202022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-21图3PTA主力合约走势图8000320成交量7500万70002406500600054240016055005000804500400002022-06-282022-10-242022-11-302022-06-202022-06-232022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-21标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图700025成交量万收盘价65002060001555001050005450002022-08-302022-10-192022-11-302022-06-202022-06-232022-06-282022-07-012022-07-06202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