【行情要点】
　　市场行情：金融期权标的上证50ETF日内行情高开低走一路单边下行午后加速下跌；上证300ETF日内行情高开后快速拉升而后小幅盘整震荡，午后逐渐转弱势下行单边下跌；中证1000指数日内行情高开低走快速拉升后窄幅震荡，午后逐渐转为弱势下行；日线上看，上证50ETF延续近两周以来的弱势空头下跌趋势；上证300ETF经过前期连续两周以来的空头下跌，形成短期弱势趋势，昨日延续弱势下行；中证1000指数上周以来连续大幅下跌，跌破前两周宽幅震荡区间的下限，而后低位弱势盘整有所回落。截至昨日收盘，上证50ETF跌幅0.64%报收于2.620，上证300ETF跌幅0.56%报收于3.932，深证300ETF跌幅0.52%报收于4.003，沪深300指数跌幅0.50%报收于3939.08，中证1000指数跌幅0.22%报收于6721.45。
　　

研究报告全文：金融期权日报期权研究2023年3月21日星期二行情要点市场行情金融期权标的上证50ETF日内行情高开低走一路单边下行午后加速下跌上证300ETF日内行情高开后快速拉升而后小幅盘整震荡午后逐渐转弱势下行单边下跌中证1000指数日内行情高开低走快速拉升后窄幅震荡午后逐渐转为弱势下行日线上看上证50ETF延续近两周以来的弱势空头下跌趋势上证300ETF经过前期连续两周以来的空头下跌形成短期弱势趋势昨日延续弱势下行中证1000指数上周以来连续大幅下跌跌破前两周宽幅震荡区间的下限而后低位弱势盘整有所回落截至昨日收盘上证卢品先50ETF跌幅064报收于2620上证300ETF跌幅056报收于3932深证300ETF跌幅052报收于4003沪投研经理深300指数跌幅050报收于393908中证1000指数跌幅022报收于6721450755-23375252lupxwkjyqhcom期权盘面隐含波动率截止昨日收盘金融期权隐含波动率普遍反弹上升其中ETF期权上升的幅度较大其中从业资格号上证50ETF期权隐含波动率上升173报收于2112上证300ETF期权隐含波动率上升226报收于1969F3047321深证300ETF期权隐含波动率上升250报收于2037沪深300股指期权隐含波动率上升048报收于交易咨询号1621中证1000股指期权隐含波动率上升026报收于1642Z0015541成交量PCR期权的成交量PCR是从期权的买方角度分析市场的活跃程度截止收盘上证50ETF期权成交量PCR报收于094上证300ETF期权成交量PCR报收于095深证300ETF期权成交量PCR报收于132沪深300股指期权成交量PCR报收于086中证1000股指期权成交量PCR报收于092持仓量PCR期权的持仓量PCR是从期权的卖方角度分析市场的参与程度期权持仓量PCR为100时一般认为是市场行情的多空分界线截止收盘上证50ETF期权持仓量PCR快速上升报收于089上证300ETF期权持仓量PCR直线上涨报收于095深证300ETF期权持仓量PCR报收于137沪深300股指期权持仓量PCR报收于101中证1000股指期权持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于113最大未平仓所在的行权价期权最大未平仓所在的行权价是站在卖方的角度分析市场行情所在的压力线和支撑线截至收盘从期权卖方行权价的角度看上证50ETF的压力点行权价为280和支撑点行权价为260上证300ETF的压力点为420和支撑点为390深证300ETF的压力点为430和支撑点为390沪深300指数的压力点为4100中证1000指数的压力点行权价为7000和支撑点上移一个行权价位6800结论与策略建议1上证50ETF期权上证50ETF延续近两周以来的弱势空头下跌趋势期权隐含波动率持续大幅度上升期权持仓量PCR快速上涨操作建议构建卖出4月份认购认沽空头期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情急速大涨则平仓离场如上证50ETF期权即S510050P2304M0255010S510050P2304M0260010和S510050C2304M0265010S510050C2304M02700102上证300ETF期权上证300ETF经过前期连续两周以来的空头下跌形成短期弱势趋势昨日延续弱势下行期权隐含波动率持续反弹拉升期权持仓量PCR换月后快速上涨操作建议构建卖出4月份期权的DELTA为负值的期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨策略将出现亏损则逐渐平仓离场如上证300ETF期权即S510300P2304M0390010S510300P2304M0380010和S510300CP2304M0390010S510300C2304M04000103中证1000股指期权中证1000指数延续近两周以来震荡下行逐渐回落跌破前期三周以来的盘整区间下限市场行情延续弱势偏空头中证1000股指期权隐含波动率快速大涨大跌后小幅波动期权持仓量PCR快速反弹拉升至110附近操作建议构建4月份偏空头的卖方期权组合策略获取方向性和时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情急速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如ZZ1000股指期权SMO2304-P-660010SMO2304-P-670010和SMO2304-C-680010SMO2304-C-670010235市场行情标的简称合约代码收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿SH50ETF510050SH26200-00170-064559011473SH300ETF510300SH39320-00220-056570952258SZ300ETF159919SZ40030-00210-05211831476HS300000300SH393908-1974-050205亿319760ZZ1000000852SH672145-1491-022175亿230174当月合成期权期权标的平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水SH50ETF2600007480044726301-00161-06100101SH300ETF3900010490062439425-00220-05500105SZ300ETF4000008920079040102-00232-05800072HS30039500074407740394700-2040-051792ZZ10006700001430012280672020-760-011-125注平值是以当月call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格当月期权隐含波动率期权标的IMP-CIMP-PIMP-TMA20UPLOW剩余天数到期日SH50ETF216920582112181319201705372023-04-26SH300ETF195719801969168517741596372023-04-26SZ300ETF199820762037173018271633372023-04-26HS300160416401621166917821556322023-04-21ZZ1000157517151642206524331697322023-04-21当月期权量仓期权标的量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化SH50ETF285898268339094005355147314881089-006SH300ETF197975188103095004253073241382095-005SZ300ETF27759365671320193168843469137017HS30030546263550860013222532482101-005ZZ100019604179960920061310314784113002数据来源wind五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1SH50ETF走势图320成交量万收盘价200017503001500280125026200100026075050024025022002022-11-172023-01-042022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-102023-03-152023-03-20图2SH300ETF走势图4402100成交量万收盘价1800420150039320400120038090060036030034002022-09-132022-11-302023-02-062022-09-072022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-102023-03-152023-03-20图3SZ300ETF走势图440420成交量万收盘价360420400303004002403801801203606034002022-09-212022-11-012022-12-052023-01-092023-02-172022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-102023-03-152023-03-20图4沪深300走势图4400250成交量亿收盘价420020039390840001503800100360050340002022-09-262022-12-162023-03-102022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-152023-03-20SH50ETF期权持仓分布SH50ETF期权持仓分布图SH50ETF期权持仓变化图70000100008000600006000500004000200040000030000-2000-400020000-6000-800010000-10000-120002502502852402402452552602652702752802902953003100235250250235235240245255260265270275280285290295300310OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECSH50ETF期权最大未平仓SH50ETF认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价30292827262524232022-11-142023-01-092022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-102023-03-152023-03-20ETF期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓SH50ETF期权持仓量PCRSH50ETF期权隐含波动率32200CLOSE3531OIPCR1803016030291402528120272026200100260802515060241023040220202022-11-042022-09-072022-09-162022-09-262022-10-112022-10-192022-10-272022-11-142022-11-222022-11-302022-12-082022-12-162022-12-262023-01-042023-01-122023-01-202023-02-062023-02-142023-02-222023-03-022023-03-102023-03-202023-01-122022-09-072022-09-192022-09-282022-10-142022-10-252022-11-032022-11-142022-11-232022-12-022022-12-132022-12-222023-01-032023-01-302023-02-082023-02-172023-02-282023-03-092023-03-20IMPVMA20UPLOWSH300ETF期权持仓分布SH300ETF期权持仓分布图SH300ETF期权持仓变化图60000600050005000040003000400002000300001000020000-1000-200010000-30000-4000450450430330330340350360370380390400410420430440460470330340350360370380390400410420440450460470OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECSH300ETF期权最大未平仓SH300ETF认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价4543413937352022-10-142023-01-122023-02-222022-09-292022-10-112022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-102023-03-152023-03-20ETF期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓SH300ETF期权持仓量PCRSH300ETF期权隐含波动率3548240CLOSE3022046OIPCR20025441804216039320140204012015381000803606010340402022-10-112022-12-082023-02-142022-09-072022-09-162022-09-262022-10-192022-10-272022-11-042022-11-142022-11-222022-11-302022-12-162022-12-262023-01-042023-01-122023-01-202023-02-062023-02-222023-03-022023-03-102023-03-202023-01-122022-09-192022-09-282022-10-142022-10-252022-11-032022-11-142022-11-232022-12-022022-12-132022-12-222023-01-032023-01-302023-02-082023-02-172023-02-282023-03-092023-03-202022-09-07IMPVMA20UPLOWSZ300ETF期权持仓分布SZ300ETF期权持仓分布图SZ300ETF期权持仓变化图120002000100001500800010006000500400002000-5004804803503503603703803904004104204304404504604704900340340340350360370380390400410420430440450460470480490OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECSZ300ETF期权最大未平仓SZ300ETF认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价4543413937352022-10-142022-12-162023-02-272022-09-292022-10-112022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-03-022023-03-072023-03-102023-03-152023-03-20ETF期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓SZ300ETF期权持仓量PCRSZ300ETF期权隐含波动率35450240CLOSE30OIPCR22043020018025400304101601402039012010015370080060103500402022-09-072022-11-222023-02-062022-09-162022-09-262022-10-112022-10-192022-10-272022-11-042022-11-142022-11-302022-12-082022-12-162022-12-262023-01-042023-01-122023-01-202023-02-142023-02-222023-03-022023-03-102023-03-202022-09-192022-09-282022-10-142022-10-252022-11-032022-11-142022-11-232022-12-022022-12-132022-12-222023-01-032023-01-122023-01-302023-02-082023-02-172023-02-282023-03-092023-03-202022-09-07IMPVMA20UPLOWHS300股指期权持仓分布HS300期权持仓分布图HS300期权持仓变化图6000900800500070060040005004003000300200020010010000-1003400340035003600370038003900400041004200430044004500460047003800380035003500360037003900400041004200430044004500460047000-2003400OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECHS300股指期权最大未平仓HS300认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价460044004200400038003600340032002022-10-142022-12-132023-02-172022-09-292022-10-112022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-102023-03-152023-03-20股指期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓HS300股指期权持仓量PCRHS300股指期权隐含波动率354800160CLOSE304600OIPCR140440012025420010020393908400008015380006036000401034000202022-10-192022-09-072022-09-162022-09-262022-10-112022-10-272022-11-042022-11-142022-11-222022-11-302022-12-082022-12-162022-12-262023-01-042023-01-122023-01-202023-02-062023-02-142023-02-222023-03-022023-03-102023-03-202022-11-032022-09-192022-09-282022-10-142022-10-252022-11-142022-11-232022-12-022022-12-132022-12-222023-01-032023-01-122023-01-302023-02-082023-02-172023-02-282023-03-092023-03-202022-09-07IMPVMA20UPLOW免责声明五矿期货有限公司是经中国证监会批准设立的期货经营机构已具备有商品期货经纪金融期货经纪资产管理期货交易咨询等业务资格本刊所有信息均建立在可靠的资料来源基础上我们力求能为您提供精确的数据客观的分析和全面的观点但我们必须声明对所有信息可能导致的任何损失概不负责本报告并不提供量身定制的交易建议报告的撰写并未虑及读者的具体财务状况及目标五矿期货研究团队建议交易者应独立评估特定的交易和战略并鼓励交易者征求专业财务顾问的意见具体的交易或战略是否恰当取决于交易者自身的状况和目标文中所提及的任何观点都仅供参考不构成买卖建议版权声明本报告版权为五矿期货有限公司所有本刊所含文字数据和图表未经五矿期货有限公司书面许可任何人不得以电子机械影印录音或其它任何形式复制传播或存储于任何检索系统不经许可复制本刊任何内容皆属违反版权法行为可能将受到法律起诉并承担与之相关的所有损失赔偿和法律费用五矿期货分支机构深圳总部业务一部深圳市南山区滨海大道3165号五矿金融大厦13-16层电话400-888-5398电话0755-83252740业务二部业务三部电话0755-88917165电话0755-83752356业务四部业务五部电话010-68331868-183电话028-85053476深圳营业部北京分公司深圳市福田区福华三路1006号诺德大厦30D1北京市海淀区首体南路6号新世纪世行饭店写字楼1253室电话0755-83752310电话010-68332068上海分公司成都分公司上海市浦东新区向城路288号国华人寿金融大厦902903成都高新区天府大道北段1288号1幢3单元12层12041205电话021-58784529电话028-86131072青岛分公司北京营业部山东省青岛市东海西路35号太平洋中心1写字楼409北京市丰台区广安路9号院6号楼408409电话0532-85780820电话010-64185322广州营业部湛江营业部广东省广州市天河区珠江西路17号广晟国际大厦24楼2407广东省湛江市开发区乐山东路35号银隆广场12层A1210室电话020-29117582电话0759-2856220天津营业部西安营业部天津市滨海高新区华苑产业区梅苑路5号金座广场2101-陕西省西安市新城区纬什街新科路1号楼一层2102电话029-87572985电话022-23778878宁波中山西路营业部重庆营业部浙江省宁波市海曙区布政巷16号12楼1205室重庆市江北区江北城西大街25号11-1电话0574-87330527电话023-67078086郑州营业部南通营业部郑州市未来路69号未来大厦16层1612号江苏省南通市青年东路81号南通大饭店B楼财富中心2003室电话0371-65619030电话0513-81026105杭州民心路营业部台州爱华路营业部浙江省杭州市江干区万银大厦1408室浙江省台州市椒江区爱华新台州大厦8-A电话0571-81969926电话0576-89811511济南营业部昆明营业部山东省济南市历下区山大路201号天业科技商务大厦401云南省昆明市盘龙区北京路612号银海国际公寓D座3201室427室电话0871-63338532电话0531-83192255大连营业部唐山营业部辽宁省大连市沙河口区会展路大连国际金融中心A座大连河北省唐山市路北区军鑫里凤城国贸1楼21层2104号期货大厦2001号电话0315-5936395电话0411-84800452武汉营业部湖北省武汉市江岸区三阳路8号天悦星辰A栋26楼2602室电话0755-23375007