【基本面信息】
　　橡胶：截至2023年3月3日，上期所天然橡胶库存198750（773）吨，188470（1500）吨。20号胶库存37768（1893）吨，仓单28114（1008）吨。山东地区轮胎企业全钢胎开工负荷为68.98%，较上周走高0.44个百分点，较去年同期走高8.54个百分点。
　　甲醇：库存方面，港口库存总量报68.52万吨，环比-3.57万吨。企业库存环比-0.55万吨，报40.57万吨。传统需求方面，本周MTBE开工小幅回落，其余均出现明显回升，总体看传统需求继续走高。江浙MTO开工65.38%，环比18.42%，甲醇制烯烃开工76.71%，环比-1.28%。
　　 PVC：PVC行业整体库存尚未出现明确去库拐点叠加新增产能投产，就基本面而言仍显孱弱。但国内2月PMI指标超预期，市场对于经济复苏预期偏乐观，建材板块短期呈现震荡偏强走势对于PVC期货存提振作用。

研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2023年3月10日星期五基本面信息橡胶截至2023年3月3日上期所天然橡胶库存198750773吨1884701500吨20号胶库存377681893吨仓单281141008吨山东地区轮胎企业全钢胎开工负荷为6898较上周走高044个百分点较去年同期走高854个百分点甲醇库存方面港口库存总量报6852万吨环比-357万吨企业库存环比-055万吨报4057万吨传统需求方面本周MTBE开工小幅回落其余均出现明显回升总体看传统需求继续走高江浙MTO开工6538环比卢品先1842甲醇制烯烃开工7671环比-128PVCPVC行业整体库存尚未出现明确去库拐点叠加新增产能投产就基本面而言仍显孱弱但国内2月PMI指标投研经理超预期市场对于经济复苏预期偏乐观建材板块短期呈现震荡偏强走势对于PVC期货存提振作用0755-23375252lupxwkjyqhcom期权分析及策略建议1橡胶期权从业资格号橡胶RU2305延续一个多月以来低位弱势盘整震荡本周以来连续空头下跌跌破震荡区间下限跌幅004报F3047321收于12245期权隐含波动率下降045报收于2048持仓量PCR较低位置窄幅盘整报收于046操作建议沪胶高交易咨询号位回落后维持一个月以来的弱势偏空头宽幅矩形区间盘整本周以来加速下跌方向上形成偏空头趋势橡胶期权Z0015541隐含波动率窄幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值收益若市场行情急速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如RU2305期权SRU2305P1200010SRU2305P1175010和SRU2305C1250010SRU2305C12250102甲醇期权甲醇MA305维持近两周以来的震荡下行弱势盘整的市场行情涨幅093报收于2597期权隐含波动率下降061报收于1859持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于058操作建议甲醇上周以来冲高回落连续下行延续前期弱势偏空头趋势而后形成弱势盘整格局甲醇期权隐含波动率窄幅波动持仓量PCR小幅盘整构建卖出偏空头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如MA305期权SMA305P255010SMA305P250010和STMA305C265010SMA305C2600103PTA期权PTATA305前一周止跌反弹V型反转后持续上涨上周以来加速上涨突破近期高点而后高位盘整形成短期偏多头的市场行情格局涨幅090报收于5832期权隐含波动率持续上升002报收于2006持仓量PCR较低水平报收于068操作建议PTA沿着多头趋势方向震荡上行突破上涨PTA波动上期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏多头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性若市场行情快速大跌则逐渐平仓离场如TA305期权STA305P570010STA305P580010和STA305C600010STA305C5900104塑料期权塑料L2305上周冲高回落后连续报收阴线震荡下行趋势线斜率走平涨幅018报收于8246期权隐含波动率上升001报收于1438持仓量PCR小幅上涨报收于070操作上建议塑料震荡下行弱势偏空头市场行情走势塑料期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持较低水平构建卖出偏空头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如L2305期权SL2305-P-810010SL2305-P-820010和SL2305-C-830010SL2305-C-8400105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯PP2305本周以来市场行情转弱势连续报收阴线跌破盘整震荡一周区间下限涨幅012报收于7782期权隐含波动率上升110报收于1467持仓量PC小幅下降报收于066操作上建议聚丙烯震荡下行跌破近期低点形成弱势偏空头市场行情格局聚丙烯期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR持续下降构建卖出偏空头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如PP2305期权SPP2305-P-770010SPP2305-P-760010和SPP2305-C-790010SPP2305-C-7800106PVC期权PVCV2305维持近两周以来55天均线和21天均线以上大幅波动而趋势线方向逐渐走平昨日大幅下跌跌破一周以来的涨幅夜盘弱势盘整跌幅014报收于6358期权隐含波动率上升066报收于1791持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于045操作上建议PVC市场行情弱势偏空头PVC期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出偏空头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如V2305期权SV2305-P-620010SV2305-P-630010和SV2305-C-640010SV2305-C-650010市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU23051224500-500-004212626047MAMA230525970024000931204830995PTATA230558320052000902113461064LPGPG2305487000-600-0122482418LL23058246001500018304112517PPPP2305778200900012347713514PVCV2305635800-900-0141001031873数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU230512250269002910012228-10300-084-1700462023-04-24MA23052600410064502577-300-012-2050282023-04-06TA230558009750138005760-5300-091-7250282023-04-06PG2305485013460129804855-9460-191-1520322023-04-10L2305820013400111508223-3800-046-2350322023-04-10PP2305780010050131507769-3400-044-1300322023-04-10V230564008900147006342-11550-179-1600322023-04-10数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2305230614902048-045210421472062MA2305194217801859-061197420621885TA2305202919842006002211922491990PG2305235623882374082262328712376L2305150913961438001154816271470PP2305148914441467110150816011415V2305189516631791066193921011777数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU23051923688780460135863427150046-001MA2305836078777410502213203076137058-001TA2305218424220293101018248791169429068-006PG23055704754913204541724402106012L230516909279771650432047614256070002PP230513883132480950172700817799066004V230550273409620810388178936643045-004数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图14000成交量万6013500收盘价50130004012500121900030120002011500101100002022-10-312022-11-112023-02-242023-03-092022-08-292022-09-012022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-11-032022-11-082022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-03-012023-03-06图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2700225257500260015025002400752300220002022-09-012023-01-032023-03-062022-08-292022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-09图3PTA主力合约走势图6500320成交量万收盘价60005758002405500160500080450002022-09-062023-01-032023-02-162022-08-292022-09-012022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-09标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图600018成交量万收盘价165500144962001210500086450042400002022-11-162022-12-282023-02-162022-08-292022-09-012022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-09图5塑料主力合约走势图900070成交量万收盘价608500508222004080003075002010700002022-09-012022-11-032022-12-282022-08-292022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-09图6PP主力合约走势图900080成交量万收盘价70850060508000776600403075002010700002022-09-012022-11-032022-12-282022-08-292022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-09图8PVC主力合约走势图7200160收盘价收盘价14067001201006200806063310057004020520002022-09-282022-12-022022-08-292022-09-012022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-09橡胶期权持仓分布橡胶期权持仓分布图橡胶期权持仓变化图140008001200060040010000200800006000-2004000-4002000-6000-80011750117509900990010250107501125012250127501325013750142501475015250157509900102501075011250117501225012750132501375014250147501525015750OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC橡胶期权最大未平仓橡胶认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价17000160001500014000130001200011000100002022-09-092022-10-102022-08-292022-09-012022-09-062022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-09橡胶期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓橡胶期权持仓量PCR橡胶期权隐含波动率08014000OIPCR30CLOSE070135002826060130002412190000463005012500222004012000180301150016020110002022-11-212022-08-292022-09-062022-09-152022-09-232022-10-102022-10-182022-10-262022-11-032022-11-112022-11-292022-12-072022-12-152022-12-232023-01-032023-01-112023-01-192023-02-032023-02-132023-02-212023-03-012023-03-092023-03-012022-09-082022-09-212022-10-102022-10-202022-11-012022-11-112022-11-232022-12-052022-12-152022-12-272023-01-092023-01-192023-02-072023-02-172022-08-29IMPVMA20UPLOW甲醇期权持仓分布甲醇期权持仓分布图甲醇期权持仓变化图300002500200025000150020000100050015000010000-500-10005000-15000-2000310032002150220022502300235024002450250026002700280029003000OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC甲醇期权最大未平仓甲醇认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价32003000280026002400220020002022-10-102022-11-242023-02-032022-08-292022-09-012022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-09甲醇期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓甲醇期权持仓量PCR甲醇期权隐含波动率2002900OIPCR50CLOSE280016040270012030260008020250025750004024001000023002022-10-102022-12-072023-02-132022-08-292022-09-062022-09-152022-09-232022-10-182022-10-262022-11-032022-11-112022-11-212022-11-292022-12-152022-12-232023-01-032023-01-112023-01-192023-02-032023-02-212023-03-012023-03-092023-03-012022-09-082022-09-212022-10-102022-10-202022-11-012022-11-112022-11-232022-12-052022-12-152022-12-272023-01-092023-01-192023-02-072023-02-172022-08-29IMPVMA20UPLOWPTA期权持仓分布PTA期权持仓分布图PTA期权持仓变化图35000400030000300025000200020000100015000010000-10005000-20000-30005000500050005200540056005800460046004700480049005200540056005800600062006400660046004700480049006000620064006600OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECPTA期权最大未平仓PTA认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价8000750070006500600055005000450040002022202320222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220232023202320232023202320232023202320232023202320232023-------------------------------------------11030809090909090909101010101010111111111111121212121212120101010101010202020202020303-------------------------------------------240129010609152023281013182126310308111621290207121520232803061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