【行情要点】
　　市场行情：金融期权标的上证50ETF日内行情低开低走后窄幅波动，午后小幅回升；上证300ETF日内行情低开低走后小幅震荡，午后有所反弹回升；中证1000指数日内行情低开高走冲高回落后窄幅盘整，午后快速反弹拉升；日线上看，上证50ETF上周上升受阻回落连续大幅下跌，跌破近两周多以来的宽幅矩形区间下限，破位下行；上证300ETF延续弱势偏空头市场行情走势；中证1000指数本周以来跌破前两周宽幅震荡区间的下限，市场行情转弱势，而后跌幅收窄。截至昨日收盘，上证50ETF跌幅0.77%报收于2.697，上证300ETF跌幅0.40%报收于4.026，深证300ETF跌幅0.29%报收于4.098，沪深300指数跌幅0.36%报收于4034.11，中证1000指数涨幅0.53%报收于6891.46。
　　

研究报告全文：金融期权日报期权研究2023年3月9日星期四行情要点市场行情金融期权标的上证50ETF日内行情低开低走后窄幅波动午后小幅回升上证300ETF日内行情低开低走后小幅震荡午后有所反弹回升中证1000指数日内行情低开高走冲高回落后窄幅盘整午后快速反弹拉升日线上看上证50ETF上周上升受阻回落连续大幅下跌跌破近两周多以来的宽幅矩形区间下限破位下行上证300ETF延续弱势偏空头市场行情走势中证1000指数本周以来跌破前两周宽幅震荡区间的下限市场行情转弱势而后跌幅收窄截至昨日收盘上证50ETF跌幅077报收于2697上证300ETF卢品先跌幅040报收于4026深证300ETF跌幅029报收于4098沪深300指数跌幅036报收于403411中证投研经理1000指数涨幅053报收于6891460755-23375252lupxwkjyqhcom期权盘面隐含波动率截止昨日收盘金融ETF期权和股指期权隐含波动率低位窄幅波动其中上证50ETF期权隐从业资格号含波动率下降024报收于1789上证300ETF期权隐含波动率下降006报收于1636深证300ETF期权隐F3047321含波动率下降008报收于1681沪深300股指期权隐含波动率上升013报收于1672中证1000股指期交易咨询号权隐含波动率上升070报收于1620Z0015541成交量PCR期权的成交量PCR是从期权的买方角度分析市场的活跃程度截止收盘上证50ETF期权成交量PCR报收于100上证300ETF期权成交量PCR报收于096深证300ETF期权成交量PCR报收于120沪深300股指期权成交量PCR报收于081中证1000股指期权成交量PCR报收于099持仓量PCR期权的持仓量PCR是从期权的卖方角度分析市场的参与程度期权持仓量PCR为100时一般认为是市场行情的多空分界线截止收盘上证50ETF期权持仓量PCR持续下降至较低位置报收于066上证300ETF期权持仓量PCR报收于081深证300ETF期权持仓量PCR报收于088沪深300股指期权持仓量PCR报收于066中证1000股指期权持仓量PCR小幅下降报收于099最大未平仓所在的行权价期权最大未平仓所在的行权价是站在卖方的角度分析市场行情所在的压力线和支撑线截至收盘从期权卖方行权价的角度看上证50ETF的压力点行权价为280和支撑点下移一个行权价至270上证300ETF的压力点为420和支撑点为400深证300ETF的压力点为420和支撑点为400沪深300指数的压力点为4200中证1000指数的压力点行权价为7000结论与策略建议1上证50ETF期权上证50ETF上周上升受阻回落连续大幅下跌跌破近两周多以来的宽幅矩形区间下限破位下行形成短期较为空头市场行情格局期权隐含波动率较低水平窄幅波动期权持仓量PCR持续下降操作建议构建卖出3月份认购认沽空头期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情急速大涨则平仓离场如上证50ETF期权即S510050P2303M0265010S510050P2303M0260010和S510050C2303M0275010S510050C2303M02700102上证300ETF期权上证300ETF延续宽幅矩形区间弱势震荡而后逐渐下跌市场行情偏向空头期权隐含波动率维持较低水平窄幅波动期权持仓量PCR快速下降操作建议构建卖出3月份期权的DELTA为负值的期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨策略将出现亏损则逐渐平仓离场如上证300ETF期权即S510300P2303M0390010S510300P2303M0400010和S510300CP2303M0410010S510300C2303M04000103中证1000股指期权中证1000指数本周跌破前两周以来宽幅震荡区间的下限市场行情转弱势低位盘整中证1000股指期权隐含波动率窄幅波动期权持仓量PCR快速下跌操作建议构建3月份认沽期权反向比率套利策略获取方向性收益若市场行情处于重回震荡区间策略面临亏损则平仓离场如ZZ1000股指期权BMO2303-P-680010BMO2303-P-680010和SMO2303-P-700010235市场行情标的简称合约代码收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿SH50ETF510050SH26970-00210-077650651754SH300ETF510300SH40260-00160-040431321735SZ300ETF159919SZ40980-00120-02911723480HS300000300SH403411-1474-036118亿191660ZZ1000000852SH6891463611053121亿152706当月合成期权期权标的平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水SH50ETF2700003800037527005-00209-07700035SH300ETF4000018140054041274-00230-05501014SZ300ETF4100005580052041038-00081-02000058HS30040500035805100403480-1400-035069ZZ1000690000598085006874802680039-1666注平值是以当月call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格当月期权隐含波动率期权标的IMP-CIMP-PIMP-TMA20UPLOW剩余天数到期日SH50ETF181217661789175818071709142023-03-22SH300ETF164316291636163916971581142023-03-22SZ300ETF166916911681169317711615142023-03-22HS30016981639167216271666158892023-03-17ZZ100015881652162020822451171392023-03-17当月期权量仓期权标的量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化SH50ETF7736837757571000091101643726618066-008SH300ETF466305449133096002641765519868081-004SZ300ETF737618832912002411199698084088-011HS3004299734626081-0026068540030066-006ZZ100025423252260990082272722448099004数据来源wind五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1SH50ETF走势图320成交量万收盘价200017503001500280269701250100026075050024025022002022-11-072022-12-222022-08-262022-08-312022-09-052022-09-082022-09-142022-09-192022-09-222022-09-272022-09-302022-10-122022-10-172022-10-202022-10-252022-10-282022-11-022022-11-102022-11-152022-11-182022-11-232022-11-282022-12-012022-12-062022-12-092022-12-142022-12-192022-12-272022-12-302023-01-052023-01-102023-01-132023-01-182023-01-302023-02-022023-02-072023-02-102023-02-152023-02-202023-02-232023-02-282023-03-032023-03-08图2SH300ETF走势图4602100成交量万收盘价4401800150042040260120040090038060036030034002022-08-312022-11-182023-01-182022-08-262022-09-052022-09-082022-09-142022-09-192022-09-222022-09-272022-09-302022-10-122022-10-172022-10-202022-10-252022-10-282022-11-022022-11-072022-11-102022-11-152022-11-232022-11-282022-12-012022-12-062022-12-092022-12-142022-12-192022-12-222022-12-272022-12-302023-01-052023-01-102023-01-132023-01-302023-02-022023-02-072023-02-102023-02-152023-02-202023-02-232023-02-282023-03-032023-03-08图3SZ300ETF走势图480420成交量万收盘价460360440300409804202404001803801203606034002022-09-082022-10-202022-11-232022-12-272023-02-072022-08-262022-08-312022-09-052022-09-142022-09-192022-09-222022-09-272022-09-302022-10-122022-10-172022-10-252022-10-282022-11-022022-11-072022-11-102022-11-152022-11-182022-11-282022-12-012022-12-062022-12-092022-12-142022-12-192022-12-222022-12-302023-01-052023-01-102023-01-132023-01-182023-01-302023-02-022023-02-102023-02-152023-02-202023-02-232023-02-282023-03-032023-03-08图4沪深300走势图4800250成交量亿收盘价46002004400420040341115040001003800503600340002022-09-142022-12-062023-02-282022-08-262022-08-312022-09-052022-09-082022-09-192022-09-222022-09-272022-09-302022-10-122022-10-172022-10-202022-10-252022-10-282022-11-022022-11-072022-11-102022-11-152022-11-182022-11-232022-11-282022-12-012022-12-092022-12-142022-12-192022-12-222022-12-272022-12-302023-01-052023-01-102023-01-132023-01-182023-01-302023-02-022023-02-072023-02-102023-02-152023-02-202023-02-232023-03-032023-03-08SH50ETF期权持仓分布SH50ETF期权持仓分布图SH50ETF期权持仓变化图20000040000180000300001600002000014000012000010000100000080000-1000060000-200004000020000-30000-400002502502852402402452552602652702752802902953003100235290290235235240245250255260265270275280285295300310OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECSH50ETF期权最大未平仓SH50ETF认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价30292827262524232022-11-022022-12-272022-09-192022-09-222022-09-272022-09-302022-10-122022-10-172022-10-202022-10-252022-10-282022-11-072022-11-102022-11-152022-11-182022-11-232022-11-282022-12-012022-12-062022-12-092022-12-142022-12-192022-12-222022-12-302023-01-052023-01-102023-01-132023-01-182023-01-302023-02-022023-02-072023-02-102023-02-152023-02-202023-02-232023-02-282023-03-032023-03-08ETF期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓SH50ETF期权持仓量PCRSH50ETF期权隐含波动率32200CLOSE3531OIPCR1803016030291402528269701202720100260802515060241023040220202022-10-252022-08-262022-09-052022-09-142022-09-222022-09-302022-10-172022-11-022022-11-102022-11-182022-11-282022-12-062022-12-142022-12-222022-12-302023-01-102023-01-182023-02-022023-02-102023-02-202023-02-282023-03-082022-12-302022-08-262022-09-062022-09-162022-09-272022-10-132022-10-242022-11-022022-11-112022-11-222022-12-012022-12-122022-12-212023-01-112023-01-202023-02-072023-02-162023-02-272023-03-08IMPVMA20UPLOWSH300ETF期权持仓分布SH300ETF期权持仓分布图SH300ETF期权持仓变化图16000020000140000150001200001000010000080000500060000040000-5000200000-10000420420370310310320330340350360370380390400410430440450460470480490310320330340350360380390400410420430440450460470480490OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECSH300ETF期权最大未平仓SH300ETF认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价4543413937352022-09-272022-12-302023-02-102022-09-192022-09-222022-09-302022-10-122022-10-172022-10-202022-10-252022-10-282022-11-022022-11-072022-11-102022-11-152022-11-182022-11-232022-11-282022-12-012022-12-062022-12-092022-12-142022-12-192022-12-222022-12-272023-01-052023-01-102023-01-132023-01-182023-01-302023-02-022023-02-072023-02-152023-02-202023-02-232023-02-282023-03-032023-03-08ETF期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓SH300ETF期权持仓量PCRSH300ETF期权隐含波动率3548240CLOSE3022046OIPCR20025441804240260160140204012015381000803606010340402022-09-222022-11-282023-02-022022-08-262022-09-052022-09-142022-09-302022-10-172022-10-252022-11-022022-11-102022-11-182022-12-062022-12-142022-12-222022-12-302023-01-102023-01-182023-02-102023-02-202023-02-282023-03-082022-12-302022-09-062022-09-162022-09-272022-10-132022-10-242022-11-022022-11-112022-11-222022-12-012022-12-122022-12-212023-01-112023-01-202023-02-072023-02-162023-02-272023-03-082022-08-26IMPVMA20UPLOWSZ300ETF期权持仓分布SZ300ETF期权持仓分布图SZ300ETF期权持仓变化图3000050004000250003000200002000150001000010000-10005000-2000-30004804803303303403503603703803904004104204304404504604700320320320330340350360370380390400410420430440450460470480OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECSZ300ETF期权最大未平仓SZ300ETF认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价4543413937352022-09-272022-12-062023-02-152022-09-192022-09-222022-09-302022-10-122022-10-172022-10-202022-10-252022-10-282022-11-022022-11-072022-11-102022-11-152022-11-182022-11-232022-11-282022-12-012022-12-092022-12-142022-12-192022-12-222022-12-272022-12-302023-01-052023-01-102023-01-132023-01-182023-01-302023-02-022023-02-072023-02-102023-02-202023-02-232023-02-282023-03-032023-03-08ETF期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓SZ300ETF期权持仓量PCRSZ300ETF期权隐含波动率35450240CLOSE30OIPCR22043020040980180254101601402039012010015370080060103500402022-08-262022-11-102023-01-182022-09-052022-09-142022-09-222022-09-302022-10-172022-10-252022-11-022022-11-182022-11-282022-12-062022-12-142022-12-222022-12-302023-01-102023-02-022023-02-102023-02-202023-02-282023-03-082022-09-062022-09-162022-09-272022-10-132022-10-242022-11-022022-11-112022-11-222022-12-012022-12-122022-12-212022-12-302023-01-112023-01-202023-02-072023-02-162023-02-272023-03-082022-08-26IMPVMA20UPLOWHS300股指期权持仓分布HS300期权持仓分布图HS300期权持仓变化图140001200100012000800100006008000400600020004000-2002000-40033003300370041004500490030003000310032003400350036003800390040004200430044004600470048005000520031003100320033003400350036003700380039004000410042004300440045004600470048004900500052000-6003000OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECHS300股指期权最大未平仓HS300认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价460044004200400038003600340032002022-09-272022-12-012023-02-072022-09-192022-09-222022-09-302022-10-122022-10-172022-10-202022-10-252022-10-282022-11-022022-11-072022-11-102022-11-152022-11-182022-11-232022-11-282022-12-062022-12-092022-12-142022-12-192022-12-222022-12-272022-12-302023-01-052023-01-102023-01-132023-01-182023-01-302023-02-022023-02-102023-02-152023-02-202023-02-232023-02-282023-03-032023-03-08股指期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓HS300股指期权持仓量PCRHS300股指期权隐含波动率354800160CLOSE304600OIPCR140440012025420010040341120400008015380006036000401034000202022-09-302022-08-262022-09-052022-09-142022-09-222022-10-172022-10-252022-11-022022-11-102022-11-182022-11-282022-12-062022-12-142022-12-222022-12-302023-01-102023-01-182023-02-022023-02-102023-02-202023-02-282023-03-082022-10-242022-09-062022-09-162022-09-272022-10-132022-11-022022-11-112022-11-222022-12-012022-12-122022-12-212022-12-302023-01-112023-01-202023-02-072023-02-162023-02-272023-03-082022-08-26IMPVMA20UPLOW免责声明五矿期货有限公司是经中国证监会批准设立的期货经营机构已具备有商品期货经纪金融期货经纪资产管理期货交易咨询等业务资格本刊所有信息均建立在可靠的资料来源基础上我们力求能为您提供精确的数据客观的分析和全面的观点但我们必须声明对所有信息可能导致的任何损失概不负责本报告并不提供量身定制的交易建议报告的撰写并未虑及读者的具体财务状况及目标五矿期货研究团队建议交易者应独立评估特定的交易和战略并鼓励交易者征求专业财务顾问的意见具体的交易或战略是否恰当取决于交易者自身的状况和目标文中所提及的任何观点都仅供参考不构成买卖建议版权声明本报告版权为五矿期货有限公司所有本刊所含文字数据和图表未经五矿期货有限公司书面许可任何人不得以电子机械影印录音或其它任何形式复制传播或存储于任何检索系统不经许可复制本刊任何内容皆属违反版权法行为可能将受到法律起诉并承担与之相关的所有损失赔偿和法律费用五矿期货分支机构深圳总部业务一部深圳市南山区滨海大道3165号五矿金融大厦13-16层电话400-888-5398电话0755-83252740业务二部业务三部电话0755-88917165电话0755-83752356业务四部业务五部电话010-68331868-183电话028-85053476深圳营业部北京分公司深圳市福田区福华三路1006号诺德大厦30D1北京市海淀区首体南路6号新世纪世行饭店写字楼1253室电话0755-83752310电话010-68332068上海分公司成都分公司上海市浦东新区向城路288号国华人寿金融大厦902903成都高新区天府大道北段1288号1幢3单元12层12041205电话021-58784529电话028-86131072青岛分公司北京营业部山东省青岛市东海西路35号太平洋中心1写字楼409北京市丰台区广安路9号院6号楼408409电话0532-85780820电话010-64185322广州营业部湛江营业部广东省广州市天河区珠江西路17号广晟国际大厦24楼2407广东省湛江市开发区乐山东路35号银隆广场12层A1210室电话020-29117582电话0759-2856220天津营业部西安营业部天津市滨海高新区华苑产业区梅苑路5号金座广场2101-陕西省西安市新城区纬什街新科路1号楼一层2102电话029-87572985电话022-23778878宁波中山西路营业部重庆营业部浙江省宁波市海曙区布政巷16号12楼1205室重庆市江北区江北城西大街25号11-1电话0574-87330527电话023-67078086郑州营业部南通营业部郑州市未来路69号未来大厦16层1612号江苏省南通市青年东路81号南通大饭店B楼财富中心2003室电话0371-65619030电话0513-81026105杭州民心路营业部台州爱华路营业部浙江省杭州市江干区万银大厦1408室浙江省台州市椒江区爱华新台州大厦8-A电话0571-81969926电话0576-89811511济南营业部昆明营业部山东省济南市历下区山大路201号天业科技商务大厦401云南省昆明市盘龙区北京路612号银海国际公寓D座3201室427室电话0871-63338532电话0531-83192255大连营业部唐山营业部辽宁省大连市沙河口区会展路大连国际金融中心A座大连河北省唐山市路北区军鑫里凤城国贸1楼21层2104号期货大厦2001号电话0315-5936395电话0411-84800452武汉营业部湖北省武汉市江岸区三阳路8号天悦星辰A栋26楼2602室电话0755-23375007