【行情要点】
市场行情:金融期权标的上证50ETF日内行情低开高走后窄幅盘整震荡,午后快速下跌加速下行;上证300ETF日内行情低开低开高走后小幅震荡,午后快速下行单边下跌;中证1000指数日内行情低开低走一路下跌,午后下跌速度加快;日线上看,上证50ETF上周上升受阻回落连续三天报收阴线,延续近两周多以来的宽幅矩形区间弱势震荡;上证300ETF上周止跌反弹回暖上升,而后受阻回落震荡下行,维持前期宽幅震荡区间;中证1000指数昨日大幅下挫,跌破两周以来宽幅震荡区间的下限,市场行情转弱势。截至昨日收盘,上证50ETF跌幅1.13%报收于2.718,上证300ETF跌幅1.39%报收于4.020,深证300ETF跌幅1.46%报收于4.110,沪深300指数跌幅1.46%报收于4048.85,中证1000指数涨幅2.03%报收于6855.34。 研究报告全文:金融期权日报期权研究2023年3月8日星期三行情要点市场行情金融期权标的上证50ETF日内行情低开高走后窄幅盘整震荡午后快速下跌加速下行上证300ETF日内行情低开低开高走后小幅震荡午后快速下行单边下跌中证1000指数日内行情低开低走一路下跌午后下跌速度加快日线上看上证50ETF上周上升受阻回落连续三天报收阴线延续近两周多以来的宽幅矩形区间弱势震荡上证300ETF上周止跌反弹回暖上升而后受阻回落震荡下行维持前期宽幅震荡区间中证1000指数昨日大幅下挫跌破两周以来宽幅震荡区间的下限市场行情转弱势截至昨日收盘上卢品先证50ETF跌幅113报收于2718上证300ETF跌幅139报收于4020深证300ETF跌幅146报收于4110投研经理沪深300指数跌幅146报收于404885中证1000指数涨幅203报收于6855340755-23375252lupxwkjyqhcom期权盘面隐含波动率截止昨日收盘金融ETF期权和股指期权隐含波动率持续小幅下降有所回升其中上证从业资格号50ETF期权隐含波动率上升128报收于1813上证300ETF期权隐含波动率上升060报收于1642深证F3047321300ETF期权隐含波动率上升078报收于1689沪深300股指期权隐含波动率上升096报收于1659中交易咨询号证1000股指期权隐含波动率下降004报收于1550Z0015541成交量PCR期权的成交量PCR是从期权的买方角度分析市场的活跃程度截止收盘上证50ETF期权成交量PCR报收于091上证300ETF期权成交量PCR报收于095深证300ETF期权成交量PCR报收于096沪深300股指期权成交量PCR报收于083中证1000股指期权成交量PCR报收于091持仓量PCR期权的持仓量PCR是从期权的卖方角度分析市场的参与程度期权持仓量PCR为100时一般认为是市场行情的多空分界线截止收盘上证50ETF期权持仓量PCR报收于074上证300ETF期权持仓量PCR报收于085深证300ETF期权持仓量PCR报收于099沪深300股指期权持仓量PCR报收于072中证1000股指期权持仓量PCR小幅下降报收于095最大未平仓所在的行权价期权最大未平仓所在的行权价是站在卖方的角度分析市场行情所在的压力线和支撑线截至收盘从期权卖方行权价的角度看上证50ETF的压力点行权价为280和支撑点为275上证300ETF的压力点为420和支撑点为400深证300ETF的压力点为420和支撑点为400沪深300指数的支撑点为4000中证1000指数的支撑点行权价为6900结论与策略建议1上证50ETF期权上证50ETF维持近两周以来的额宽幅矩形区间弱势震荡上方有前期高点压力期权隐含波动率持续下降至较低水平期权持仓量PCR窄幅盘整操作建议构建卖出3月份宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益若市场行情急速大涨或大跌则平仓离场如上证50ETF期权即S510050P2303M0275010S510050P2303M0270010和S510050C2303M0275010S510050C2303M02800102上证300ETF期权上证300ETF延续宽幅矩形区间弱势震荡市场行情偏向空头期权隐含波动率维持较低水平窄幅波动期权持仓量PCR快速下降操作建议构建卖出3月份期权的DELTA中性组合策略获取时间价值根据市场行情变化动态地调整持仓DELTA使得持仓保持中性若市场行情快速大涨或大跌策略将出现亏损则逐渐平仓离场如上证300ETF期权即S510300P2303M0390010S510300P2303M0400010和S510300CP2303M0410010S510300C2303M04200103中证1000股指期权中证1000指数昨日大幅下挫跌破两周以来宽幅震荡区间的下限市场行情转弱势中证1000股指期权隐含波动率窄幅波动期权持仓量PCR快速下跌操作建议构建3月份认沽期权反向比率套利策略获取方向性收益若市场行情处于重回震荡区间策略面临亏损则平仓离场如ZZ1000股指期权BMO2303-P-680010BMO2303-P-680010和SMO2303-C-700010235市场行情标的简称合约代码收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿SH50ETF510050SH27180-00310-113849612330SH300ETF510300SH40420-00570-139674652756SZ300ETF159919SZ41100-00610-14613025541HS300000300SH404885-6016-146196亿272492ZZ1000000852SH685534-14170-20316亿189478当月合成期权期权标的平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水SH50ETF2700005220030827214-00314-11400034SH300ETF4000020540055041504-00168-04001084SZ300ETF4100006280050941119-00644-15400019HS30040500046004720404880-5440-133-005ZZ1000690000512010320684800-11260-162-734注平值是以当月call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格当月期权隐含波动率期权标的IMP-CIMP-PIMP-TMA20UPLOW剩余天数到期日SH50ETF181618101813176118131708152023-03-22SH300ETF165216311642164117001582152023-03-22SZ300ETF171716591689169617751617152023-03-22HS300166216561659162616641588102023-03-17ZZ1000152615761549208524531717102023-03-17当月期权量仓期权标的量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化SH50ETF11872711082803091-0021053951777221074-006SH300ETF623703589708095006625737532268085-005SZ300ETF106731102530096-011106026104619099-007HS30060931502760830065812241564072-005ZZ100035091318550910072352422293095-006数据来源wind五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1SH50ETF走势图320成交量万收盘价200017503001500280271801250100026075050024025022002022-11-042022-12-212022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-07图2SH300ETF走势图4602100成交量万收盘价4401800150042040420120040090038060036030034002022-08-302022-11-172023-01-172022-08-252022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-07图3SZ300ETF走势图480420成交量万收盘价460360440300411004202404001803801203606034002022-09-072022-10-192022-11-222022-12-262023-02-062022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-07图4沪深300走势图4800250成交量亿收盘价46002004400420040488515040001003800503600340002022-09-132022-12-052023-02-272022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-03-022023-03-07SH50ETF期权持仓分布SH50ETF期权持仓分布图SH50ETF期权持仓变化图2000003000018000025000160000200001400001500012000010000100000500080000060000-500040000-1000020000-15000-2000025025028524024024525526026527027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易建议报告的撰写并未虑及读者的具体财务状况及目标五矿期货研究团队建议交易者应独立评估特定的交易和战略并鼓励交易者征求专业财务顾问的意见具体的交易或战略是否恰当取决于交易者自身的状况和目标文中所提及的任何观点都仅供参考不构成买卖建议版权声明本报告版权为五矿期货有限公司所有本刊所含文字数据和图表未经五矿期货有限公司书面许可任何人不得以电子机械影印录音或其它任何形式复制传播或存储于任何检索系统不经许可复制本刊任何内容皆属违反版权法行为可能将受到法律起诉并承担与之相关的所有损失赔偿和法律费用五矿期货分支机构深圳总部业务一部深圳市南山区滨海大道3165号五矿金融大厦13-16层电话400-888-5398电话0755-83252740业务二部业务三部电话0755-88917165电话0755-83752356业务四部业务五部电话010-68331868-183电话028-85053476深圳营业部北京分公司深圳市福田区福华三路1006号诺德大厦30D1北京市海淀区首体南路6号新世纪世行饭店写字楼1253室电话0755-83752310电话010-68332068上海分公司成都分公司上海市浦东新区向城路288号国华人寿金融大厦902903成都高新区天府大道北段1288号1幢3单元12层12041205电话021-58784529电话028-86131072青岛分公司北京营业部山东省青岛市东海西路35号太平洋中心1写字楼409北京市丰台区广安路9号院6号楼408409电话0532-85780820电话010-64185322广州营业部湛江营业部广东省广州市天河区珠江西路17号广晟国际大厦24楼2407广东省湛江市开发区乐山东路35号银隆广场12层A1210室电话020-29117582电话0759-2856220天津营业部西安营业部天津市滨海高新区华苑产业区梅苑路5号金座广场2101-陕西省西安市新城区纬什街新科路1号楼一层2102电话029-87572985电话022-23778878宁波中山西路营业部重庆营业部浙江省宁波市海曙区布政巷16号12楼1205室重庆市江北区江北城西大街25号11-1电话0574-87330527电话023-67078086郑州营业部南通营业部郑州市未来路69号未来大厦16层1612号江苏省南通市青年东路81号南通大饭店B楼财富中心2003室电话0371-65619030电话0513-81026105杭州民心路营业部台州爱华路营业部浙江省杭州市江干区万银大厦1408室浙江省台州市椒江区爱华新台州大厦8-A电话0571-81969926电话0576-89811511济南营业部昆明营业部山东省济南市历下区山大路201号天业科技商务大厦401云南省昆明市盘龙区北京路612号银海国际公寓D座3201室427室电话0871-63338532电话0531-83192255大连营业部唐山营业部辽宁省大连市沙河口区会展路大连国际金融中心A座大连河北省唐山市路北区军鑫里凤城国贸1楼21层2104号期货大厦2001号电话0315-5936395电话0411-84800452武汉营业部湖北省武汉市江岸区三阳路8号天悦星辰A栋26楼2602室电话0755-23375007
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