【基本面信息】
　　铜：产业层面，昨日LME库存减少1250至81350吨，注销仓单占比降低，Cash/3M贴水20.8美元/吨。国内方面，昨日上海地区现货升水涨至530元/吨，市场货源依旧偏紧，买盘积极性有所降低。进出口方面，昨日国内铜现货进口亏损缩至盈亏平衡附近，洋山铜溢价继续下滑。
　　铝：SMM现货A00铝报均价18770元/吨。A00铝锭升贴水平均价180。铝期货仓单42445吨，较前一日下降3401吨。LME铝库存481175吨，增加2675吨。
　　黄金：COMEX金跌0.08%，报1823.9美元/盎司，COMEX银跌0.31%，报24.2美元/盎司；沪金夜盘涨0.45%，报410.5元/克，沪银夜盘涨0.35%，报5378元/千克；10年期国债收益率跌1.1个基点，报3.67%，美元指数报104.23。
　　铁矿石：现货市场成交活跃度一般，钢厂按需补库，PB粉价格较上个交易日上涨5-10元/吨。
　　【期权分析及操作建议】
　　（1）铜期权
　　沪铜维持近三周以来沿着多头趋势方向上震荡上行温和上涨，上周以来上涨趋势减弱有所回落，涨幅0.38%报收于65890，期权隐含波动率下降0.17%报收于18.73%，持仓量PCR小幅波动维持在高位水平报收于1.72。操作建议，沪铜高位盘整震荡后逐渐下降回落，而后止跌反弹回升，延续偏多头的市场行情格局；期权隐含波动率持续下降，持仓量PCR小幅波动维持较高水平。构建卖出看涨+看跌偏多头宽跨式期权组合策略，获取时间价值收益，若市场行情快速大跌或急速大涨，则平仓逐渐离场，如CU2301，S_CU2301P66000，S_CU2301P65000和S_CU2301C67000，S_CU2301C66000。
　　（2）铝期权
　　沪铝维持近两周以来在21天均线和55天均线之间震荡，涨幅0.48%报收于18720，期权隐含波动率下降1.31%报收于14.81%，持仓量PCR报收于0.77。操作建议，沪铝维持近两周以来宽幅矩形区间盘整震荡；期权隐含波动率持续下降至较低水平，期权持仓量PCR小幅波动。构建卖出看涨+看跌期权组合策略，获取时间价值，若市场行情快速大涨或大跌，则平仓离场，如AL2301，S_AL2301P18700@10，S_AL2301P18600@10和S_AL2301C18700@10，S_AL2301C18800@10。
　　（3）锌期权
　　沪锌ZN2301上周高位回落后连续跳空低开大幅下跌，短期市场行情较强的空头情绪，跌幅0.15%报收于23465，期权隐含波动率下降0.03%报收于19.82%，持仓量PCR大幅度上升报收于1.31。操作建议，沪锌高位回落后连续报收大阴线，形成短期趋势上方有压力的弱势偏空头；期权隐含波动率小幅度下降回落，沪锌期权持仓量PCR快速上升。构建卖出宽跨式期权偏空头组合策略，获取时间价值收益和方向性收益，若市场行情快速大涨或大跌，则平仓离场，如ZN2301，S_ZN2301P23200，S_ZN2301P23400和S_ZN2301C23600，S_ZN2301C23800。
　　（4）黄金期权
　　黄金延续多头趋势方向上大幅波动，本周以来止跌反弹后连续大幅上涨，夜盘突破上行，涨幅0.45%报收于410.52；期权隐含波动率上升0.45%报收于13.68%；期权持仓量PCR报收于0.61。操作建议，黄金维持偏多头趋势方向上大幅波动的市场行情格局，下方有60天均线支撑且趋势线斜率向上；期权隐含波动率小幅上升，期权持仓量PCR窄幅盘整。构建卖出偏多头的看涨+看跌期权组合策略，获取时间价值，若市场行情快速大涨或大跌，则平仓离场，如AU2302，S_AU2302-C-424@10，S_AU2302-C-416@10和S_AU2302-P408@10，S_AU2312-P-408@10。
　　（5）铁矿石期权
　　铁矿石I2302超跌反弹"V"型反转后维持一个半月以来的多头上涨趋势，突破6月中旬以来的高点，本周高位大幅波动，涨幅2.06%报收于842.00；期权隐含波动率下降0.00%报收于32.80%；期权持仓量PCR大幅度上升报收于2.17。操作建议，铁矿石持续一个半月以来的多头上涨趋势，而后高位逐渐回落，形成短期上方有压力中期趋势线方向向上的市场行情格局；期权隐含波动率持续下降，期权持仓量PCR小幅盘整。构建卖出偏多头的看涨+看跌期权组合策略，获取时间价值，若市场行情快速大跌，则平仓离场，如I2305，S_I2301-C-840，S_I2305-C-850和S_I2305-P-830，S_I2305-P-820。
　　

研究报告全文：金属期权日报期权研究2022年12月22日星期四基本面信息铜产业层面昨日LME库存减少1250至81350吨注销仓单占比降低Cash3M贴水208美元吨国内方面昨日上海地区现货升水涨至530元吨市场货源依旧偏紧买盘积极性有所降低进出口方面昨日国内铜现货进口亏损缩至盈亏平衡附近洋山铜溢价继续下滑铝SMM现货A00铝报均价18770元吨A00铝锭升贴水平均价180铝期货仓单42445吨较前一日下降3401吨LME铝库存481175吨增加2675吨卢品先黄金COMEX金跌008报18239美元盎司COMEX银跌031报242美元盎司沪金夜盘涨投研经理045报4105元克沪银夜盘涨035报5378元千克10年期国债收益率跌11个基点报3670755-23375252美元指数报10423lupxwkjyqhcom铁矿石现货市场成交活跃度一般钢厂按需补库PB粉价格较上个交易日上涨5-10元吨从业资格号期权分析及操作建议F30473211铜期权交易咨询号沪铜维持近三周以来沿着多头趋势方向上震荡上行温和上涨上周以来上涨趋势减弱有所回落涨幅Z0015541038报收于65890期权隐含波动率下降017报收于1873持仓量PCR小幅波动维持在高位水平报收于172操作建议沪铜高位盘整震荡后逐渐下降回落而后止跌反弹回升延续偏多头的市场行情格局期权隐含波动率持续下降持仓量PCR小幅波动维持较高水平构建卖出看涨看跌偏多头宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益若市场行情快速大跌或急速大涨则平仓逐渐离场如CU2301SCU2301P66000SCU2301P65000和SCU2301C67000SCU2301C660002铝期权沪铝维持近两周以来在21天均线和55天均线之间震荡涨幅048报收于18720期权隐含波动率下降131报收于1481持仓量PCR报收于077操作建议沪铝维持近两周以来宽幅矩形区间盘整震荡期权隐含波动率持续下降至较低水平期权持仓量PCR小幅波动构建卖出看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则平仓离场如AL2301SAL2301P1870010SAL2301P1860010和SAL2301C1870010SAL2301C18800103锌期权沪锌ZN2301上周高位回落后连续跳空低开大幅下跌短期市场行情较强的空头情绪跌幅015报收于23465期权隐含波动率下降003报收于1982持仓量PCR大幅度上升报收于131操作建议沪锌高位回落后连续报收大阴线形成短期趋势上方有压力的弱势偏空头期权隐含波动率小幅度下降回落沪锌期权持仓量PCR快速上升构建卖出宽跨式期权偏空头组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则平仓离场如ZN2301SZN2301P23200SZN2301P23400和SZN2301C23600SZN2301C238004黄金期权黄金延续多头趋势方向上大幅波动本周以来止跌反弹后连续大幅上涨夜盘突破上行涨幅045报收于41052期权隐含波动率上升045报收于1368期权持仓量PCR报收于061操作建议黄金维持偏多头趋势方向上大幅波动的市场行情格局下方有60天均线支撑且趋势线斜率向上期权隐含波动率小幅上升期权持仓量PCR窄幅盘整构建卖出偏多头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则平仓离场如AU2302SAU2302-C-42410SAU2302-C-41610和SAU2302-P-40810SAU2312-P-408105铁矿石期权铁矿石I2302超跌反弹V型反转后维持一个半月以来的多头上涨趋势突破6月中旬以来的高点本周高位大幅波动涨幅206报收于84200期权隐含波动率下降000报收于3280期权持仓量PCR大幅度上升报收于217操作建议铁矿石持续一个半月以来的多头上涨趋势而后高位逐渐回落形成短期上方有压力中期趋势线方向向上的市场行情格局期权隐含波动率持续下降期权持仓量PCR小幅盘整构建卖出偏多头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值若市场行情快速大跌则平仓离场如I2305SI2301-C-840SI2305-C-850和SI2305-P-830SI2305-P-820市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿CUCU230165890002500003865821603ALAL230118720009000048110010249ZNZN23012346500-3500-015109612882AUAU230241052184045103242195II23028420017002062722247数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日CU23016600034000554006578672800112-1040052022-12-26AL230118700910012300186688500046-520052022-12-26ZN230123400238001650023473310001380052022-12-26AU2302408628464410404100-088302023-01-20I2302840205021008401920234-250202023-01-10数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWCU2301161821051873-017204021731906AL2301134816171481-131164617001591ZN2301180921611982-003217722842071AU2302137013651368045133613801292I2302258735803280000358739023272数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化CU23012432826714110-0681601227581172008AL23011666216225097-0593077723731077-003ZN23011814817616097-0641295616994131013AU230294714740050-0001766210738061004I2302351598106723108262063134792217024数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1铜主力合约走势图7500030成交量万收盘价7000025657600020650001560000105500055000002022-09-022022-10-192022-11-252022-06-202022-06-232022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-21图2铝主力合约走势图2400050成交量万收盘价230004022000210003020000186550019000201800010170001600002022-07-062022-07-192022-11-092022-11-222022-06-202022-06-232022-06-282022-07-012022-07-112022-07-142022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-142022-11-172022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-21图3锌主力合约走势图3000060成交量万收盘价28000504026000302400020234800022000102000002022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-06-202022-06-232022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-21图4黄金主力合约走势图20成交量万收盘价420409504051039037536002022-06-202022-06-232022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-21图5铁矿石主力合约走势图1000140成交量万收盘价120900840501008008070060406002050002022-06-202022-06-232022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-21铜期权持仓分布铜期权持仓分布图铜期权持仓变化图4000120035001000300080060025004002000200150001000-200500-4000-600570005700059000470004700049000510005300055000570005900061000630006500067000690007100073000750007700079000470004900051000530005500061000630006500067000690007100073000750007700079000OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC铜期权最大未平仓铜认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价8500080000750007000065000600005500050000450002022-07-012022-10-242022-11-092022-06-202022-06-232022-06-282022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-21铜期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓铜期权持仓量PCR铜期权隐含波动率280OIPCR7500050260CLOSE4524070000220402003518065000301606576000251406000020120100150805500010060040500002022-08-172022-09-132022-06-202022-06-282022-07-062022-07-142022-07-222022-08-012022-08-092022-08-252022-09-022022-09-212022-09-292022-10-142022-10-242022-11-012022-11-092022-11-172022-11-252022-12-052022-12-132022-12-212022-12-132022-06-302022-07-122022-07-222022-08-032022-08-152022-08-252022-09-062022-09-192022-09-292022-10-182022-10-282022-11-092022-11-212022-12-012022-06-20IMPVMA20UPLOW铝期权持仓分布铝期权持仓分布图铝期权持仓变化图70008006006000400500020040000-2003000-4002000-600-8001000-10000-12001580015800206001490020000149001490015200155001610016400167001700017300176001790018200185001880019100194001970020000212002180015200155001580016100164001670017000173001760017900182001850018800191001940019700206002120021800OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC铝期权最大未平仓铝认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价220002100020000190001800017000160002022-10-272022-11-092022-06-202022-06-232022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-11-012022-11-042022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-21铝期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓铝期权持仓量PCR铝期权隐含波动率16020000OIPCR350CLOSE195001403001900012018500250100186550018000200175000801501700006010016500040160002022-06-202022-06-282022-07-062022-07-142022-07-222022-08-012022-08-092022-08-172022-08-252022-09-022022-09-132022-09-212022-09-292022-10-142022-10-242022-11-012022-11-092022-11-172022-11-252022-12-052022-12-132022-12-212022-12-132022-06-302022-07-122022-07-222022-08-032022-08-152022-08-252022-09-062022-09-192022-09-292022-10-182022-10-282022-11-092022-11-212022-12-012022-06-20IMPVMA20UPLOW锌期权持仓分布锌期权持仓分布图锌期权持仓变化图5000100045008004000600350030004002500200200001500-2001000500-4000-600180001800028500180001800018400188001920019600200002040020800212002160022000224002280023200236002400024400248002550026500275002850029500184001880019200196002000020400208002120021600220002240022800232002360024000244002480025500265002750029500OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC锌期权最大未平仓锌认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价2880026800248002280020800188002022-06-232022-06-202022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-21锌期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓锌期权持仓量PCR锌期权隐含波动率18028000OIPCR500160CLOSE27000260004001402500012030024000100230002000802200010006021000040200002022-06-202022-06-282022-07-062022-07-142022-07-222022-08-012022-08-092022-08-172022-08-252022-09-022022-09-132022-09-212022-09-292022-10-142022-10-242022-11-012022-11-092022-11-172022-11-252022-12-052022-12-132022-12-212022-12-132022-06-302022-07-122022-07-222022-08-032022-08-152022-08-252022-09-062022-09-192022-09-292022-10-182022-10-282022-11-092022-11-212022-12-012022-06-20IMPVMA20UPLOW黄金期权持仓分布黄金期权持仓分布图黄金期权持仓变化图3000200250010002000-1001500-2001000-300500-4000-500480480368416320320328336344352360368376384392400416432448464320328336344352360376384392400432448464480OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC黄金期权最大未平仓黄金认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价5004504003503002022-08-092022-08-172022-06-202022-06-232022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-122022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-21黄金期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大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