五矿期货-能源化工期权日报-221220

>> 五矿期货-能源化工期权日报-221220

上传日期：	2022/12/20	大小：	1495KB
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研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2022年12月20日星期二基本面信息橡胶山东地区轮胎企业全钢胎开工负荷为6001较上周下滑017个百分点较去年同期下滑428个百分点国内轮胎企业半钢胎开工负荷为6643较上周上涨194个百分点较去年同期上涨266个百分点甲醇库存方面港口库存总量报5642万吨环比-222万吨绝对库存仍处低位企业库存环比-147万吨报5367万吨高位去化PVC从今年整体产量上看11月PVC产量在16424万吨左右12月预计产量在176万吨全年产量在2195万吨卢品先去年同期2216万吨同比去年略有减少主要在于今年下半年PVC持续弱势下存在主动减产现象较多开工较去年下滑投研经理0755-23375252期权分析及操作建议lupxwkjyqhcom1橡胶期权橡胶多头趋势方向上大幅波动连续报收大阴线跌破21天均线支撑点下有55天均线支撑跌幅154报收于从业资格号12820期权隐含波动率上升074报收于2124持仓量PCR维持低位报收于043操作建议沪胶延续偏多头趋势F3047321方向上的高位宽幅矩形区间盘整震荡橡胶期权隐含波动率窄幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨交易咨询号看跌期权偏多头组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则逐渐平仓离场如Z0015541RU2301期权SRU2301C1325010SRU2301C1350010和SRU2301P1275010SRU2301P13000102甲醇期权甲醇MA302维持一个多月以来的55天均线以来大幅波动上周超跌反弹逐渐回升企稳20天均线支撑继续偏多头上涨跌幅027报收于2563期权隐含波动率上升001报收于2096持仓量PCR报收于064操作建议甲醇短期市场行情偏多头趋势连续报收大阳线后高位盘整震荡甲醇期权隐含波动率持续下降持仓量PCR仍维持在较低水平构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则逐渐平仓离场如MA2302期权SMA2302C265010SMA2302C260010和STMA2302P255010SMA2302P2600103PTA期权PTATA302上周以来低位反弹V型反转回暖上升连续报收阳线先后企稳21天均线和55天均线支撑而中长期趋势方向仍向下跌幅030报收于5324期权隐含波动率上升028报收于2489持仓量PCR持续反弹上升报收于121操作建议PTA超跌反弹V型反转市场行情表现较强的短期多头信号PTA期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏多头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则逐渐平仓离场如TA2302期权STA2302C5400010STA2302C550010和STA2302P530010STA2302P5400104塑料期权塑料L2305延续一个半月以来的震荡上行温和上涨趋势突破10月以来高点上周以来上涨幅度减弱跌幅015报收于8177期权隐含波动率上升033报收于1902持仓量PCR报收于064操作上建议塑料维持近一个月以来的震荡上行温和上涨5天均线20天均线和60天均线呈多头排列塑料期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR持续下降仍维持在080以上构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则平仓离场如L2305期权SL2305-C-830010SL2305-C-840010和SL2305-P-830010SL2305-P-8200105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯延续近一个半月以来的偏多头上涨趋势下有20天均线和60天均线支撑且趋势线方向向上跌幅024报收于7879期权隐含波动率上升023报收于1848持仓量PC小幅下跌报收于131操作上建议聚丙烯延续近一个半月以来的偏多头上涨趋势高位盘整震荡期权隐含波动率小幅度下降持仓量PCR连续下降处于较高位置水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏多头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则平仓离场如PP2305SPP2305-C-810010SPP2305-C-800010和PP2305-P-800010SPP2305-P-7900106PVC期权PVC维持近一个多月以来的温和上涨震荡上行均线逐渐形成多头排列本周以来加速上涨跌幅035报收于6280期权隐含波动率持续上升015报收于2546持仓量PCR报收于066操作上建议PVC延续近一个月以来的偏多头上行温和上涨均线呈现多头排列PVC期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权多头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨至低行权价则平仓离场如V2305期权SV2305-C-650010SV2305-C-640010和SV2305-P-630010SV2305-P-620010市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU23011282000-20000-1543224195MAMA2302256300-700-02710452685PTATA2302532400-1600-03020405447LPGPG2302432800-3000-0694473892LL2305817700-1200-015361414800PPPP2305787900-1900-024470318574PVCV2305628000-2200-0351328641865数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU23011275021600720012894-25600-195740072022-12-26MA23022550470046502551-3100-120-1250172023-01-05TA2302530011650100005317-4950-092-750172023-01-05PG2302435011140146004315-7340-167-1260222023-01-10L2305820027700348008129-10000-122-48001142023-04-12PP2305790027450341007834-10250-129-45501142023-04-12V2305630030800370006238-15700-246-42001142023-04-12数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2301223819322124074215723102003MA2302209620962096001253327982268TA2302224227192489028263128862376PG2302308830583075124290530432767L2305189319081902033182819341722PP2305189118151848023179819241671V2305264424212546015259327952392数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU23011387882360590112682511561043-003MA230284137806710960085969938104064-002TA2302223172238944107002101251122343121-007PG2302132339662073015131258436064-001L23052208346815703932913434104021PP230531954213132-02839475151131006V23051176292600790161589310466066007数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图15000成交量万7014500收盘价60140005013500127800040130003012500120002011500101100002022-08-102022-08-232022-12-062022-12-192022-06-162022-06-212022-06-242022-06-292022-07-042022-07-072022-07-122022-07-152022-07-202022-07-252022-07-282022-08-022022-08-052022-08-152022-08-182022-08-262022-08-312022-09-052022-09-082022-09-142022-09-192022-09-222022-09-272022-09-302022-10-122022-10-172022-10-202022-10-252022-10-282022-11-022022-11-072022-11-102022-11-152022-11-182022-11-232022-11-282022-12-012022-12-092022-12-14图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2700225257100260015025002400752300220002022-06-212022-10-202022-12-142022-06-162022-06-242022-06-292022-07-042022-07-072022-07-122022-07-152022-07-202022-07-252022-07-282022-08-022022-08-052022-08-102022-08-152022-08-182022-08-232022-08-262022-08-312022-09-052022-09-082022-09-142022-09-192022-09-222022-09-272022-09-302022-10-122022-10-172022-10-252022-10-282022-11-022022-11-072022-11-102022-11-152022-11-182022-11-232022-11-282022-12-012022-12-062022-12-092022-12-19图3PTA主力合约走势图8000320成交量7500万70002406500600016053000055005000804500400002022-06-242022-10-202022-11-282022-06-162022-06-212022-06-292022-07-042022-07-072022-07-122022-07-152022-07-202022-07-252022-07-282022-08-022022-08-052022-08-102022-08-152022-08-182022-08-232022-08-262022-08-312022-09-052022-09-082022-09-142022-09-192022-09-222022-09-272022-09-302022-10-122022-10-172022-10-252022-10-282022-11-022022-11-072022-11-102022-11-152022-11-182022-11-232022-12-012022-12-062022-12-092022-12-142022-12-19标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图700025成交量万收盘价65002060001555001050005450002022-08-262022-10-172022-11-282022-06-162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