核心观点
　　今日各股指窄幅震荡整理。两市超2600只个股下跌，全天成交额8695亿元，北向资金净买入20.67亿元。近期市场进入两会政策的时间窗口，对政策利好的预期将成为影响市场情绪的主要变量，需要密切关注政策方向指引。目前国内对宏观复苏空间以及政策方向指引存在一定分歧，海外货币政策预期扰动也对北向资金的风险偏好产生消极影响，预计短期内股指维持震荡整理的走势。下周正式进入两会政策窗口，股指短线易受政策利好的刺激而反弹，中长期来看股指向上的趋势仍未改变。
　　目前期权隐含波动率仍处于偏低的分位数水平，持仓量PCR指标也回落至正常分位数区间，说明目前市场情绪偏谨慎。操作上，可以择机布局牛市价差策略做多

研究报告全文：金融期权日报专业研究创造价值2023年3月3日金融期权股指窄幅震荡等待政策方向指引核心观点今日各股指窄幅震荡整理两市超2600只个股下跌全天成交额8695亿元北向资金净买入2067亿元近期市场进入两会政策的时间窗口对政策利好的预期将成为影响市场情绪的主要变量需要密切关注政策方向指引目前国内对宏观复苏空间以及政策方向指引存在一定分歧海外货币政策预期扰动也对北向资金的风险偏好产生消极影响预计短期内股指维持震荡整理的走势下周正式进入两会政策窗口股指短线易受政策利好的刺激而反弹中长期来看股指向上的趋势仍未改变宝城期货研究所目前期权隐含波动率仍处于偏低的分位数水平持仓量PCR指标也回落至正常分位数区间说明目前市场情绪偏谨慎操作上可以择机布局牛市投资咨询团队价差策略做多仅供参考不构成任何投资建议专业研究创造价值请务必阅读文末免责条款部分111请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报1新闻动态易纲目前实际利率水平比较合适降准提供长期流动性支持实体经济仍是有效方式2期权指标2023年03月03日50ETF涨011收于2779300ETF上交所涨022收于4124300ETF深交所涨014收于4195沪深300指数涨031收于413055中证1000指数跌006收于696794500ETF上交所跌005收于6401500ETF深交所涨000收于6518创业板ETF涨021收于2352上证50ETF期权成交量PCR为8744上一交易日成交量PCR为9033持仓量PCR为9815上一交易日持仓量PCR为9940上交所3000ETF期权成交量PCR为7880上一交易日成交量PCR为8014持仓量PCR为10772上一交易日持仓量PCR为10736深交所300ETF期权成交量PCR为9564上一交易日成交量PCR为9970持仓量PCR为11829上一交易日持仓量PCR为11880中金所沪深300指数期权成交量PCR为6771上一交易日成交量PCR为6617持仓量PCR为9033上一交易日持仓量PCR为8906中金所中证1000指数期权成交量PCR为7936上一交易日成交量PCR为7698持仓量PCR为8859上一交易日持仓量PCR为8896上交所中证500ETF期权成交量PCR为10771上一交易日成交量PCR为9042持仓量PCR为11039上一交易日持仓量PCR为11110深交所中证500ETF期权成交量PCR为11177上一交易日成交量PCR为9579持仓量PCR为9673上一交易日持仓量PCR为9992创业板ETF期权成交量PCR为8529上一交易日成交量PCR为8429持仓量PCR为7069上一交易日持仓量PCR为6877上证50ETF期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1711标的30交易日历史波动率为1594上交所300ETF期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1617标的30交易日历史波动率为1513深交所300ETF期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1630标的30交易日历史波动率为1516中金所沪深300指数期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1625标的30交易日历史波动率为1468中金所中证1000指数期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1602标的30交易日历史波动率为1286上交所中证500ETF期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1382标的30交易日历史波动率为1159深交所中证500ETF期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1523标的30交易日历史波动率为1160创业板ETF期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为2095标的30交易日历史波动率为17403相关图表上证50ETF期权专业研究创造价值211请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报图1上证50ETF走势图2上证50ETF期权波动率50ETF期权50ETF期权50004520001800450041600400014003512003500100030003800250060025400200020015002010002021-01-042021-04-062021-05-072021-06-042021-07-052021-08-022021-08-302021-09-292021-12-292022-01-272022-03-032022-03-312022-05-052022-06-022022-08-262022-09-262022-10-312022-11-282022-12-262023-01-312023-02-282021-02-012021-03-082021-11-032021-12-012022-07-012022-07-292021-01-042021-01-292021-03-312021-04-282021-05-282021-06-252021-07-222021-10-202021-11-162021-12-132022-01-102022-02-112022-04-082022-05-102022-06-072022-07-042022-07-292022-10-262022-11-222022-12-192023-01-162023-02-172021-03-042021-08-182021-09-142022-03-102022-08-252022-09-22标的成交量万手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图3上证50ETF期权成交量PCR图4上证50ETF持仓量PCR50ETF期权50ETF期权7000000140004500000160006000000120004000000140003500000500000010000120003000000100004000000800025000002000000800030000006000600020000001500000400010000004000100000020005000002000000000002021-01-042021-03-122021-04-142021-06-212021-07-212021-08-202021-11-012021-12-012022-02-092022-03-112022-05-192022-06-212022-08-222022-09-222022-10-312022-12-302023-02-082021-02-032021-05-192021-09-232021-12-312022-04-142022-07-212022-11-302021-01-042021-03-122021-04-142021-06-212021-07-212021-09-232021-11-012021-12-312022-02-092022-04-142022-05-192022-07-212022-08-222022-10-312022-11-302023-02-082021-02-032021-05-192021-08-202021-12-012022-03-112022-06-212022-09-222022-12-30日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值311请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报上交所300ETF期权图5上交所300ETF走势图6上交所300ETF期权波动率300ETF期权上交所300ETF期权上交所62000500018004500551600140040005120035001000300045800250060044002000200150035010002021-03-082021-04-062021-05-072021-06-042021-07-052021-08-022021-11-032021-12-012021-12-292022-01-272022-03-032022-03-312022-07-292022-08-262022-09-262022-10-312022-11-282021-01-042021-03-312021-04-282021-05-282021-06-252021-09-142021-10-202021-11-162021-12-132022-03-102022-04-082022-05-102022-06-072022-07-042022-08-252022-09-222022-10-262022-11-222022-12-192021-01-042021-02-012021-08-302021-09-292022-05-052022-06-022022-07-012022-12-262023-01-312023-02-282021-01-292021-03-042021-07-222021-08-182022-01-102022-02-112022-07-292023-01-162023-02-17标的成交量万手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图7上交所300ETF期权成交量PCR图8上交所300ETF持仓量PCR300ETF期权上交所300ETF期权上交所50000001400030000001600014000400000012000250000010000120002000000100003000000800015000008000200000060001000000600040001000000400020005000002000000000002021-02-032021-03-122021-05-192021-06-212021-08-202021-09-232021-12-012021-12-312022-02-092022-04-142022-05-192022-07-212022-08-222022-10-312022-11-302021-01-042021-04-142021-07-212021-11-012022-03-112022-06-212022-09-222022-12-302023-02-082021-01-042021-02-032021-03-122021-04-142021-05-192021-06-212021-07-212021-08-202021-09-232021-11-012021-12-012021-12-312022-03-112022-04-142022-06-212022-07-212022-09-222022-10-312022-12-302023-02-082022-02-092022-05-192022-08-222022-11-30日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值411请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报深交所300ETF期权图9深交所300ETF走势图10深交所300ETF期权波动率300ETF期权深交所300ETF期权深交所600040045003505500400030035002505000300020045001502500200040001005015003500010002021-01-042021-03-312021-04-282021-05-282021-06-252021-09-142021-10-202021-11-162021-12-132022-03-102022-04-082022-05-102022-06-072022-07-042022-08-252022-09-222022-10-262022-11-222022-12-192021-01-292021-03-042021-07-222021-08-182022-01-102022-02-112022-07-292023-01-162023-02-172021-03-102021-04-092021-05-132021-06-112021-07-132021-08-112021-11-172021-12-162022-01-172022-02-222022-03-232022-04-252022-07-272022-08-252022-09-262022-11-012022-11-302021-01-042021-02-022021-09-092021-10-192022-05-272022-06-282022-12-292023-02-06标的成交量万手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图11深交所300ETF期权成交量PCR图12深交所300ETF持仓量PCR300ETF期权深交所300ETF期权深交所8000002000060000016000700000500000140006000001500012000500000400000100004000001000030000080003000002000006000200000500040001000001000002000000000002021-01-042021-02-032021-03-122021-05-192021-06-212021-07-212021-08-202021-11-012021-12-012021-12-312022-03-112022-04-142022-05-192022-06-212022-08-222022-09-222022-10-312022-12-302023-02-082021-04-142021-09-232022-02-092022-07-212022-11-302021-01-042021-02-032021-05-192021-06-212021-09-232021-11-012021-12-012022-02-092022-03-112022-04-142022-06-212022-07-212022-08-222022-10-312022-11-302022-12-302021-03-122021-04-142021-07-212021-08-202021-12-312022-05-192022-09-222023-02-08日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值511请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报沪深300股指期权图13沪深300股指走势图14沪深300股指期权波动率沪深300指数期权沪深300指数期权6000003503500300550000300025050000020025004500001502000100400000150005035000000010002021-01-042021-03-312021-04-282021-05-282021-06-252021-09-142021-10-202021-11-162021-12-132022-03-102022-04-082022-05-102022-06-072022-07-042022-08-252022-09-222022-10-262022-11-222022-12-192021-01-292021-03-042021-07-222021-08-182022-01-102022-02-112022-07-292023-01-162023-02-172021-01-042021-02-022021-03-102021-07-132021-08-112021-09-092021-10-192021-11-172021-12-162022-01-172022-06-282022-07-272022-08-252022-09-262022-11-012022-11-302021-04-092021-05-132021-06-112022-02-222022-03-232022-04-252022-05-272022-12-292023-02-06标的成交量亿手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图15沪深300股指期权成交量PCR图16沪深300股指持仓量PCR沪深300指数期权沪深300指数期权400000140003000001400035000012000250000120003000001000010000250000200000800080002000001500006000600015000010000010000040004000500002000500002000000000002021-01-042021-02-032021-05-192021-06-212021-09-232021-11-012021-12-012022-02-092022-03-112022-04-142022-06-212022-07-212022-08-222022-10-312022-11-302022-12-302021-03-122021-04-142021-07-212021-08-202021-12-312022-05-192022-09-222023-02-082021-01-042021-02-032021-03-122021-05-192021-06-212021-07-212021-08-202021-11-012021-12-012021-12-312022-03-112022-04-142022-05-192022-06-212022-08-222022-09-222022-10-312022-12-302023-02-082021-04-142021-09-232022-02-092022-07-212022-11-30日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值611请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报中证1000股指期权图17中证1000股指走势图18中证1000股指期权波动率中证1000指数期权中证1000指数期权7500002503500700000200300065000015025006000001002000550000050150050000000010002022-07-222022-08-012022-08-092022-08-172022-09-022022-09-132022-09-292022-10-142022-11-012022-11-092022-11-252022-12-052022-12-212022-12-292023-01-172023-02-012023-02-092023-02-172023-02-272022-08-252022-09-212022-10-242022-11-172022-12-132023-01-092022-07-222022-08-012022-08-092022-08-252022-09-022022-09-132022-09-212022-10-142022-10-242022-11-012022-11-092022-11-252022-12-052022-12-132022-12-212023-01-092023-02-012023-02-092023-02-272022-08-172022-09-292022-11-172022-12-292023-01-172023-02-17标的成交量亿手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图19中证1000股指期权成交量PCR图20中证1000股指持仓量PCR中证1000指数期权中证1000指数期权180000160009000014000160000140008000012000140000700001200010000120000100006000010000050000800080000800040000600060006000030000400040000400020000200002000100002000000000002022-07-222022-08-222022-08-312022-09-092022-09-212022-09-302022-10-182022-10-272022-11-252022-12-062022-12-152022-12-262023-01-052023-01-162023-02-012023-03-022022-08-022022-08-112022-11-072022-11-162023-02-102023-02-212022-08-022022-08-222022-08-312022-09-092022-09-212022-09-302022-10-182022-10-272022-11-072022-11-162022-11-252022-12-062022-12-152023-01-052023-02-012023-02-212022-07-222022-08-112022-12-262023-01-162023-02-102023-03-02日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值711请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报上交所500ETF期权图21上交所500ETF走势图22上交所500ETF期权波动率500ETF期权上交所500ETF期权上交所70066002800600640026005006200240022004006000200030058001800200560016001400100540012000520010002022-09-192022-09-232022-09-292022-10-182022-10-242022-10-282022-11-032022-11-092022-11-252022-12-012022-12-072022-12-132022-12-192022-12-292023-01-052023-01-112023-01-172023-01-302023-02-152023-02-212023-02-272023-03-032022-10-122022-11-152022-11-212022-12-232023-02-032023-02-092022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-172022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-28标的成交量万手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图23上交所500ETF期权成交量PCR图24上交所500ETF持仓量PCR500ETF期权上交所500ETF期权上交所14000002000080000012000001400070000010000001500012000600000100008000005000001000080006000004000004000005000300000600020000020000040000000100000200000002022-09-192022-09-262022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-282022-10-102022-10-172022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-142023-02-212023-02-282022-11-212022-12-262023-02-07日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR2022-10-17日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值811请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报深交所500ETF期权图25深交所500ETF走势图26深交所500ETF期权波动率500ETF期权深交所500ETF期权深交所2506600280064002600200240062002200150600020001005800180056001600501400540012000520010002022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-172022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-282022-09-192022-09-232022-09-292022-10-182022-10-242022-10-282022-11-032022-11-092022-11-252022-12-012022-12-072022-12-132022-12-192022-12-292023-01-052023-01-112023-01-172023-01-302023-02-152023-02-212023-02-272023-03-032022-10-122022-11-152022-11-212022-12-232023-02-032023-02-09标的成交量万手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图27深交所500ETF期权成交量PCR图28深交所500ETF持仓量PCR500ETF期权深交所500ETF期权深交所300000200002500002000025000020000015000150002000001500001500001000010000100000100000500050005000050000000000002022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-142023-02-212023-02-282022-10-172022-11-212022-12-262023-02-072022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-142023-02-212023-02-282022-10-172022-11-212022-12-262023-02-07日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值911请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报创业板ETF期权图29创业板ETF走势图30创业板ETF期权波动率创业板ETF期权创业板ETF期权120026003900250010003400800240023002900600220024004002100190020020000190014002022-09-192022-09-232022-09-292022-10-182022-10-242022-10-282022-11-032022-11-092022-11-252022-12-012022-12-072022-12-132022-12-192022-12-292023-01-052023-01-112023-01-172023-01-302023-02-152023-02-212023-02-272023-03-032022-10-122022-11-152022-11-212022-12-232023-02-032023-02-092022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-172022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-28标的成交量万手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图31创业板ETF期权成交量PCR图32创业板ETF持仓量PCR创业板ETF期权创业板ETF期权1800000140009000002000016000001200080000014000007000001500012000001000060000010000008000500000100008000006000400000600000300000400000400020000050002000002000100000000000002022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-142023-02-212023-02-282022-10-172022-11-212022-12-262023-02-072022-09-192022-09-262022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-282022-10-102022-10-172022-12-262023-01-032023-01-10日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值1011请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报投资咨询团队简介获取每日期货策略推送服务国家走向世界诚信至上合规经营知行合一专业敬业严谨管理开拓进取扫码关注宝城期货官方微信期货咨询尽在掌握免责条款客户不应视本报告为作出投资决策的唯一因素本报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合个别客户不构成客户私人咨询建议本公司未确保本报告充分考虑到个别客户特殊的投资目标财务状况或需要本公司建议客户应考虑本报告的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况以及若有必要咨询独立投资顾问在任何情况下本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议在任何情况下本公司不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损失负任何责任若本报告的接收人非本公司的客户应在基于本报告作出任何投资决定或就本报告要求任何解释前咨询独立投资顾问专业研究创造价值1111请务必阅读文末免责条款