【行情要点】
金融期权上证50ETF、上证300ETF低开后震荡下行;创业板ETF低开后窄幅区间盘整;中证1000指数低开后先升后降,午后宽幅盘整。截至收盘,上证50ETF跌幅2.71%报收于2.474,上证300ETF跌幅2.09%报收于3.600,创业板ETF跌幅1.06%报收于1.867,中证1000指数跌幅1.10%报收于5842.89。 【期权分析】 隐含波动率:期权的隐含波动率是期权市场对标的物在期权有效期限内即将出现的统计波动率的预测。其中上证50ETF期权隐含波动率报收于22.28%(+6.29%),上证300ETF期权隐含波动率报收于20.43%(+5.16%),创业板ETF期权隐含波动率报收于23.82%(+3.34%),中证1000股指期权隐含波动率报收于22.24%(+4.87%)。 成交额PCR:期权的成交额PCR是看跌期权成交金额与看涨期权成交金额的比值,代表投资者资金投向,是市场情绪更直接的体现。成交额PCR与标的行情往往表现为反方向,比值越大表明空头压力越大,比值越小表明多头力量越强。截止收盘,上证50ETF期权成交额PCR报收于2.53(+1.30),上证300ETF期权成交额PCR报收于2.42(+0.76),创业板ETF期权成交额PCR报收于1.66(-0.51),中证1000股指期权成交额PCR报收于1.93(+0.01)。 持仓量PCR:期权的持仓量PCR,是从期权的卖方角度分析市场的参与程度。期权持仓量PCR为1.00时,一般认为是市场行情的多空分界线。截止收盘,上证50ETF期权持仓量PCR延续震荡下行趋势在较低位置报收于0.41(0.13),上证300ETF期权持仓量PCR加速上行遇阻后震荡回落报收于0.49(-0.12),创业板ETF期权持仓量PCR自低点快速拉升宽幅震荡后持续下行报收于0.42(-0.04),中证1000股指期权持仓量PCR窄幅盘整后再次冲高遇阻快速回落报收于0.55(-0.07)。 最大未平仓所在的行权价:期权最大未平仓所在的行权价是站在卖方的角度分析市场行情所在的压力线和支撑线。截至收盘,从期权卖方行权价的角度看,上证50ETF的压力点行权价维持在2.60;上证300ETF的压力点行权价维持在3.8;创业板ETF的压力点行权价维持在1.95;中证1000指数的压力点下降一个行权价为6000。 研究报告全文:金融期权日报期权研究2023年10月20日星期五行情要点金融期权上证50ETF上证300ETF低开后震荡下行创业板ETF低开后窄幅区间盘整中证1000指数低开后先升后降午后宽幅盘整截至收盘上证50ETF跌幅271报收于2474上证300ETF跌幅209报收于3600创业板ETF跌幅卢品先106报收于1867中证1000指数跌幅110报收于584289投研经理0755-23375252期权分析lupxwkqhcn隐含波动率期权的隐含波动率是期权市场对标的物在期权有效期限内即将出现的统计波动率的预测其中上证50ETF期权隐含波动率报收于2228629上证300ETF期权隐含波动率报收于2043516创业板ETF期权从业资格号隐含波动率报收于2382334中证1000股指期权隐含波动率报收于2224487F3047321成交额PCR期权的成交额PCR是看跌期权成交金额与看涨期权成交金额的比值代表投资者资金投向是市场情绪交易咨询号更直接的体现成交额PCR与标的行情往往表现为反方向比值越大表明空头压力越大比值越小表明多头力量越强Z0015541截止收盘上证50ETF期权成交额PCR报收于253130上证300ETF期权成交额PCR报收于242076创业板ETF期权成交额PCR报收于166-051中证1000股指期权成交额PCR报收于193001持仓量PCR期权的持仓量PCR是从期权的卖方角度分析市场的参与程度期权持仓量PCR为100时一般认为是常俊萍市场行情的多空分界线截止收盘上证50ETF期权持仓量PCR延续震荡下行趋势在较低位置报收于041013上证期权研究员300ETF期权持仓量PCR加速上行遇阻后震荡回落报收于049-012创业板ETF期权持仓量PCR自低点快速拉升宽幅震changjpwkqhcn荡后持续下行报收于042-004中证1000股指期权持仓量PCR窄幅盘整后再次冲高遇阻快速回落报收于055-007从业资格号最大未平仓所在的行权价期权最大未平仓所在的行权价是站在卖方的角度分析市场行情所在的压力线和支撑线F03117406截至收盘从期权卖方行权价的角度看上证50ETF的压力点行权价维持在260上证300ETF的压力点行权价维持在38创业板ETF的压力点行权价维持在195中证1000指数的压力点下降一个行权价为6000结论与策略建议1上证50ETF期权方向上上证50ETF前期超跌反弹遇阻回落后宽幅盘整震荡近一个月昨日快速下跌跌破前期低点短期偏空波动上期权隐含波动率自下轨道线加速反弹突破上轨道线处于较高位置策略建议构建卖出偏空头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值收益若市场行情快速波动突破损益平衡点则平仓离场如上证50ETF期权即S510050P2310M0240010S51005P2310M0245010和S510050C2310M0250010S510050C2310M02550102上证300ETF期权方向上上证300ETF前期超跌反弹近一周震荡上行后遇阻回落一个月以来持续震荡下行跌破今年以来的最低点市场整体偏弱势波动上期权隐含波动率自下轨道线加速上行突破上轨道线处于较高位置短期波动剧烈策略建议构建认购熊市价差期权组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值收益若市场行情快速大涨突破损益平衡点则逐渐平仓离场如上证300ETF期权即S510300C2310M0340010S510300C2310M0350010和B510300C2310M0370010B510300C2310M03800103创业板ETF期权方向上创业板ETF前期自低点弱势反弹后窄幅盘整后在空头压力下持续震荡下行近一个月波动上创业板ETF期权隐含波动率自上轨道线加速回落跌破下轨道线后反弹上升加速上行至上轨道线策略建议构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头的组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值收益若市场行情快速上涨或下跌突破损益平衡点则平仓离场如CYBETF期权S159915P2310M0180010S159915P2310M0185010和S159915C2310M0185010S159915C2310M01900104中证1000股指期权方向上中证1000指数沿着空头趋势方向加速下跌近三周跌破去年12月以来低点弱势反弹宽幅盘整一个多月后近一周加速下行波动上中证1000股指期权隐含波动率宽幅震荡后自下轨道线反弹回升加速上行突破上轨道线处于较高位置策略建议构建认沽熊市期权组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值收益若市场行情快速波动突破损益平衡点则平仓离场如ZZ1000股指期权SMO2310-P-570010SMO2310-P-580010和BMO2310-P-P590010BMO2310-P-600010235市场行情标的简称合约代码收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿SH50ETF510050SH24740-00690-2711548863862SH300ETF510300SH36000-00770-2091690376129SH500ETF510500SH55610-00650-116257761442CYBETF159915SZ18670-00200-106717271346SZ100ETF159901SZ25120-00510-1997916200ZZ1000000852SH584289-6512-110155亿169977当月合成期权期权标的平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水SH50ETF2450003900012724763-00658-25900023SH300ETF3600003440033336011-00771-21000011SH500ETF5500008880022755661-00634-11300051CYBETF1850003060013918667-00233-123-00003SZ100ETF2500003280020525123-00498-19400003ZZ100058000060801300584780-5100-08649085当月期权隐含波动率期权标的IMP-CIMP-PIMP-TMA20UPLOW剩余天数到期日SH50ETF22192237222816941916147262023-10-25SH300ETF20452041204316381860141662023-10-25SH500ETF17811755176515801798136262023-10-25CYBETF23992360238220892357182262023-10-25SZ100ETF21472264221018252025162462023-10-25ZZ100022092240222417271963149112023-10-20当月期权量仓期权标的额-Call额-Put额-PCR变化仓-Call仓-Put仓-PCR变化SH50ETF1883947601253130942947385788041-013SH300ETF1656940148242076505796249917049-012SH500ETF867615852183-010150262134846090-007CYBETF663110989166-051429883180431042-004SZ100ETF16392472151-0045583341812075-006ZZ100011729225991930012770015269055-007数据来源wind五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1SH50ETF走势图280成交量万收盘价20002751750270150026512502601000255750247402505002452502400202304202305202306202306202306202307202307202308202308202309202309202310202304202304202304202304202305202305202305202305202305202305202306202306202306202307202307202307202307202307202308202308202308202308202308202308202309202309202309202309202309202310202310图2SH300ETF走势图4203000成交量万收盘价27004102400400210018003901500120038090037060036000300360020230411202304142023041920230424202304272023050520230510202305152023051820230523202305262023053120230605202306082023061320230616202306212023062820230703202307062023071120230714202307192023072420230727202308012023080420230809202308142023081720230822202308252023083020230904202309072023091220230915202309202023092520230928202310112023101620231019图3CYBETF走势图2402000成交量万收盘价23015002202101000200500190180020230505202305102023051520230518202306212023062820230703202308042023080920230814202308172023092020230925202309282023041120230414202304192023042420230427202305232023052620230531202306052023060820230613202306162023070620230711202307142023071920230724202307272023080120230822202308252023083020230904202309072023091220230915202310112023101620231019图4中证1000走势图7200250成交量亿收盘价700020068006600150640010062005060005800020230419202305152023052620230605202306162023062820230711202307192023080120230822202309122023092520231011202304112023041420230424202304272023050520230510202305182023052320230531202306082023061320230621202307032023070620230714202307242023072720230804202308092023081420230817202308252023083020230904202309072023091520230920202309282023101620231019SH50ETF期权持仓分布SH50ETF期权持仓分布图SH50ETF期权持仓变化图250000400003000020000020000100001500000-10000100000-2000050000-30000-40000-500002352352402552752952302302452502602652702802852900225230230235260265285290225225240245250255270275280295OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECSH50ETF期权最大未平仓SH50ETF认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价2802752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