【基本面信息】
　　橡胶：截至2023年3月10日，上期所天然橡胶库存198740（-10）吨，188550（80）吨。20号胶库存41117（3349）吨，仓单32549（4435）吨。上期所加青岛库存103.09（1.88）万吨。
　　甲醇：库存方面，港口库存总量报67.85万吨，环比-1.11万吨。企业库存环比-2.39万吨，报37.47万吨。传统需求方面，本周二甲醚、MTBE、开工回落，甲醛、醋酸、氯化物开工回升，整体小幅走低。江浙MTO开工66.57%，环比+1.19%，整体甲醇制烯烃开工79.84%，环比+4.09%。
　　PVC：整体开工率79.08%，环比下降0.86个百分点；其中电石法PVC开工率77.23%，环比下降1.96个百分点；乙烯法PVC开工率85.34%，环比提升2.83个百分点。存量负荷降低、检修损失微增，陕西北元、新疆宜化为新增计划检修。

研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2023年3月16日星期四基本面信息橡胶截至2023年3月10日上期所天然橡胶库存198740-10吨18855080吨20号胶库存411173349吨仓单325494435吨上期所加青岛库存10309188万吨甲醇库存方面港口库存总量报6785万吨环比-111万吨企业库存环比-239万吨报3747万吨传统需求方面本周二甲醚MTBE开工回落甲醛醋酸氯化物开工回升整体小幅走低江浙MTO开工6657环比119整体甲醇制烯烃开工7984环比409卢品先PVC整体开工率7908环比下降086个百分点其中电石法PVC开工率7723环比下降196个百分点乙烯法PVC开工率8534环比提升283个百分点存量负荷降低检修损失微增陕西北元新疆宜化为新增计划检投研经理修0755-23375252lupxwkjyqhcom期权分析及策略建议1橡胶期权从业资格号橡胶RU2305上周连续报收阴线大幅下挫跌破延续一个多月以来震荡区间下限形成空头下跌趋势跌幅F3047321212报收于11750期权隐含波动率上升042报收于2184持仓量PCR较低位置窄幅盘整报收于047操作建交易咨询号议沪胶上周连续大幅下跌跌破一个月以来的震荡区间下限沿着空头趋势方向加速下跌橡胶期权隐含波动率Z0015541小幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建看跌期权熊市价差组合策略获取方向性收益若市场行情急速大涨至低行权价则逐渐平仓离场如RU2305期权BRU2305P1200010BRU2305P12250010和SRU2305P1125010SRU2305P11500102甲醇期权甲醇MA305延续近两周以来的弱势空头市场行情格局而后大幅下跌破颈线下行空头趋势形成跌幅230报收于2505期权隐含波动率持续上升036报收于2077持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于056操作建议甲醇前一周冲高回落连续下行本周以来弱势盘整震荡后大幅下挫破位下行甲醇期权隐含波动率窄幅波动持仓量PCR小幅盘整构建卖出空头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如MA2305期权SMA305P245010SMA305P247510和STMA305C255010SMA305C2500103PTA期权PTATA305上周高位盘整震荡后连续大幅下跌形成一个月以来的倒V型走势跌幅125报收于5544期权隐含波动率持续小幅上升017报收于2398持仓量PCR窄幅盘整报收于063操作建议PTA上周高位盘整震荡逐渐转为弱势后加速下跌先后跌破21天均线和55天均线市场行情较为弱势PTA波动上期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性若市场行情快速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如TA305期权STA305P540010STA305P530010和STA305C540010STA305C5500104塑料期权塑料L2305上周上升受阻回落后延续两周以来的震荡下行空头下跌跌幅161报收于8004期权隐含波动率下降030报收于1537持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于072操作上建议塑料沿着空头趋势方向震荡下行跌破一个月以来的低点塑料期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持较低水平构建看跌期权熊市价差组合策略获取方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨至高行权价则平仓离场如L2305期权BL2305-P-820010BL2305-P-830010和SL2305-P-780010SL2305-P-7900105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯PP2305上周以来连续报收阴线跌破盘整震荡一周区间下限而后连续大幅下跌形成短期弱势空头下跌趋势跌幅176报收于7523期权隐含波动率上升021报收于1492持仓量PC小幅上升报收于066操作上建议聚丙烯震荡下行跌破近期低点形成弱势偏空头市场行情格局聚丙烯期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR持续下降构建期权合成期货空头组合策略获取方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如PP2305期权BPP2305-P-750010BPP2305-P-760010和SPP2305-C-750010SPP2305-C-7600106PVC期权PVCV2305维持两周以来55天均线和21天均线附近大幅波动夜盘跳空低开大幅下跌跌幅146报收于6212期权隐含波动率上升036报收于1887持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于047操作上建议PVC围绕20天均线附近大幅波动上方有前期高点压力昨日夜盘大幅下跌跌破区间下限空头情绪较浓PVC期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出偏空头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如V2305期权SV2305-P-600010SV2305-P-610010和SV2305-C-620010SV2305-C-630010市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU23051175000-25500-212212825554MAMA2305250500-5900-2301307633522PTATA2305554400-7000-1252388767040LPGPG2305446700-11900-2593122860LL2305800400-13100-161256310427PPPP2305752300-13500-176354613578PVCV2305621200-9200-146775824454数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU230511750378001550011973-2900-02422300402023-04-24MA23052500790022002557-1950-0765200222023-04-06TA23055500188506650562211000207800222023-04-06PG230544502150078404587-2640-05711960262023-04-10L230580001835070508113-3800-04710900262023-04-10PP230575001835060007624-6000-07810050262023-04-10V230562001385081506257-7450-1184500262023-04-10数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2305243516342184042209921422056MA2305226618642077036195820221895TA2305230624812398017211922551982PG2305271326252664-117259928522346L2305156515181537-030152315841463PP2305148514971492021147515471403V2305201717481887036188120011760数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU2305170197784046-0006146128686047-001MA23051062599353708800715195684677056-001TA2305236958262426111013283342177578063004PG230569858891127-05970347455106-004L230512700177001390062269216255072004PP23059067145531610482775418365066002V230525111234430930188132838187047-000数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图14000成交量万6013500收盘价50130004012500301194000120002011500101100002022-11-042022-11-172023-03-022023-03-152022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-092022-11-142022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-072023-03-10图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2700225255400260015025002400752300220002022-09-072023-01-092023-03-102022-09-022022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-15图3PTA主力合约走势图6500400成交量万收盘价32060005620002405500160500080450002022-09-132023-01-092023-02-222022-09-022022-09-072022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-102023-03-15标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图600018成交量万收盘价165500141210500046910086450042400002022-11-222023-01-042023-02-222022-09-0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