【基本面信息】
　　橡胶：截至2023年3月10日，上期所天然橡胶库存198740（-10）吨，188550（80）吨。20号胶库存41117（3349）吨，仓单32549（4435）吨。上期所加青岛库存103.09（1.88）万吨。
　　甲醇：库存方面，港口库存总量报68.96万吨，环比+0.44万吨。企业库存环比-0.71万吨，报39.86万吨。传统需求方面，本周二甲醚、MTBE、开工回落，甲醛、醋酸、氯化物开工回升，整体小幅走低。江浙MTO开工66.57%，环比+1.19%，整体甲醇制烯烃开工79.84%，环比+4.09%。
　　PVC：PVC震荡偏多头；PVC装置开工维持高位；货源供应较为充裕；电石企业开工负荷率略有增加；下游制品企业开工负荷变化不大，采购积极性一般。

研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2023年3月15日星期三基本面信息橡胶截至2023年3月10日上期所天然橡胶库存198740-10吨18855080吨20号胶库存411173349吨仓单325494435吨上期所加青岛库存10309188万吨甲醇库存方面港口库存总量报6896万吨环比044万吨企业库存环比-071万吨报3986万吨传统需求方面本周二甲醚MTBE开工回落甲醛醋酸氯化物开工回升整体小幅走低江浙MTO开工6657环比119整体甲醇制烯烃开工7984环比409卢品先PVCPVC震荡偏多头PVC装置开工维持高位货源供应较为充裕电石企业开工负荷率略有增加下游制品企业开工负荷变化不大采购积极性一般投研经理0755-23375252期权分析及策略建议lupxwkjyqhcom1橡胶期权橡胶RU2305上周连续报收阴线大幅下挫跌破延续一个多月以来震荡区间下限而后低位弱势盘整涨幅从业资格号046报收于12005期权隐含波动率上升048报收于2141持仓量PCR较低位置窄幅盘整报收于048操作建F3047321议沪胶上周连续大幅下跌跌破一个月以来的震荡区间下限而后低位窄幅震荡橡胶期权隐含波动率解菲波交易咨询号动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值收益若市Z0015541场行情急速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如RU2305期权SRU2305P1200010SRU2305P1175010和SRU2305C1200010SRU2305C12250102甲醇期权甲醇MA305前一周冲高回落后震荡下行弱势偏空头趋势先后跌破21天均线和55天均线而后在均线压力下大幅震荡跌幅031报收于2565期权隐含波动率持续上升059报收于2041持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于057操作建议甲醇前一周冲高回落连续下行上周延续前期弱势偏空头趋势而后形成弱势盘整格局甲醇期权隐含波动率窄幅波动持仓量PCR小幅盘整构建卖出偏空头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如MA305期权SMA305P255010SMA305P250010和STMA305C265010SMA305C2600103PTA期权PTATA305上周以来延续偏多头趋势方向上高位盘整昨日大幅下挫跌破近两周以来的涨幅而后偏弱势运行跌幅109报收于5628期权隐含波动率持续大幅上升207报收于2381持仓量PCR快速下跌报收于059操作建议PTA高位盘整震荡后大幅下挫吞噬近两周以来的涨幅区间而趋势线方向仍向上形成短期弱势而趋势线方向向上的市场行情走势PTA波动上期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性若市场行情快速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如TA305期权STA305P550010STA305P560010和STA305C560010STA305C5700104塑料期权塑料L2305前一周冲高回落后连续报收阴线震荡下行延续两周以来的弱势偏空下行趋势线斜率走平跌幅021报收于8149期权隐含波动率上升062报收于1567持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于068操作上建议塑料震荡下行弱势偏空头市场行情走势塑料期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持较低水平构建卖出偏空头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如L2305期权SL2305-P-810010SL2305-P-800010和SL2305-C-830010SL2305-C-8200105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯PP2305上周以来连续报收阴线跌破盘整震荡一周区间下限形成短期弱势空头下跌趋势跌幅020报收于7673期权隐含波动率上升053报收于1471持仓量PC小幅下降报收于064操作上建议聚丙烯震荡下行跌破近期低点形成弱势偏空头市场行情格局聚丙烯期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR持续下降构建卖出偏空头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如PP2305期权SPP2305-P-750010SPP2305-P-760010和SPP2305-C-770010SPP2305-C-7800106PVC期权PVCV2305维持两周以来55天均线和21天均线以上大幅波动而趋势线方向逐渐走平跌幅049报收于6329期权隐含波动率下降005报收于1851持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于047操作上建议PVC围绕20天均线大幅波动上方有前期高点压力PVC期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出偏空头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如V2305期权SV2305-P-620010SV2305-P-630010和SV2305-C-640010SV2305-C-650010市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU230512005005500046272432565MAMA2305256500-800-0311588840879PTATA2305562800-6200-1093185390616LPGPG2305461000-5100-1095264908LL2305814900-1700-021296312100PPPP2305767300-1500-020376514474PVCV2305632900-3100-049827926327数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU230512000270002680012002-1600-013-300412023-04-24MA23052550640037502577-350-0141150232023-04-06TA2305560012250111505611-19200-331-1700232023-04-06PG2305460014200129004613-20160-419300272023-04-10L230581001510097008154-7650-093500272023-04-10PP2305770010400120507684-6800-0881050272023-04-10V230563001275096006332-5950-093250272023-04-10数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2305239016012141048209621352057MA2305216918832041059195520121897TA2305239823642381207210722281986PG2305276627902781380260128552347L2305161815291567062152815931463PP2305144114981471053148015581403V2305193617381851-005189320261760数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU2305190148742046-0226042728785048-000MA230510628386115081-01214295880990057003TA2305317947311454098009270012158023059-012PG2305784014602186-00157716348110-012L230511275149861330082115914404068-001PP23051074312113113-0222678117069064-002V230528360213900750047865737244047-001数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图14000成交量万6013500收盘价50130004012500301195500120002011500101100002022-11-032022-11-162023-03-012023-03-142022-09-012022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-082022-11-112022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-02-242023-03-062023-03-09图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2700225257600260015025002400752300220002022-09-062023-01-062023-03-092022-09-012022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-14图3PTA主力合约走势图6500400成交量万收盘价32060005612002405500160500080450002022-09-092023-01-062023-02-212022-09-012022-09-062022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-092023-03-14标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图600018成交量万收盘价165500141247420010500086450042400002022-11-212023-01-032023-02-212022-09-012022-09-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