【基本面信息】
　　橡胶：截至2023年2月3日，上期所天然橡胶库存193474（1620）吨，仓单185200（1840）吨。20号胶库存34402（-3327）吨，仓单24776 （-6654）吨
　　甲醇：库存方面，港口库存总量报69.82万吨，环比-6.32万吨。企业库存环比+9.83万吨，报48.81万吨。利润方面，内地价格走强，企业利润有所走高，绝对值仍处于低位水平。传统需求方面，甲醛、氯化物开工回升，醋酸开工回落。
　　 PVC：截至2月5日，国内PVC社会库存在51.395万吨，环比增加7.21%，同比增加46.38%；其中华东地区在37.395万吨，环比增加7.03%，同比增加37.94%；华南地区在14万吨，环比增加7.21%，同比增加46.38%。

研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2023年2月9日星期四基本面信息橡胶截至2023年2月3日上期所天然橡胶库存1934741620吨仓单1852001840吨20号胶库存34402-3327吨仓单24776-6654吨甲醇库存方面港口库存总量报6982万吨环比-632万吨企业库存环比983万吨报4881万吨利润方面内地价格走强企业利润有所走高绝对值仍处于低位水平传统需求方面甲醛氯化物开工回升醋酸开工回落卢品先PVC截至2月5日国内PVC社会库存在51395万吨环比增加721同比增加4638其中华东地区在37395万吨环比增加703同比增加3794华南地区在14万吨环比增加721同比增加4638投研经理0755-23375252lupxwkjyqhcom期权分析及操作建议1橡胶期权从业资格号橡胶RU2305春节后冲高回落连续大幅下跌而后低位盘整涨幅000报收于12660期权隐含波动率上升F3047321051报收于2243持仓量PCR维持低位报收于062操作建议沪胶上方有空头压力的低位弱势盘整橡胶期权交易咨询号隐含波动率小幅上升持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖方偏空头DELTA的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值Z0015541收益和方向性收益若市场行情急速大涨持仓将面临大亏损则平仓离场如RU2305期权SRU2305P1225010SRU2305P1250010和SRU2305C1275010SRU2305C13000102甲醇期权甲醇MA304两个月以来沿着偏多头趋势方向波浪形上行上周以来高位回落后弱势震荡跌幅019报收于2684期权隐含波动率下降006报收于2154持仓量PCR有所上升报收于082操作建议甲醇上方有压力的区间盘整震荡且20天均线和60天均线斜率为正数甲醇期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR跌回至较低水平构建卖出宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值若市场行情快速大跌或大涨则逐渐平仓离场如MA2304期权SMA2304C275010SMA2304C270010和STMA2304P265010SMA2304P2600103PTA期权PTATA304上方有压力的弱势盘整震荡跌幅018报收于5644期权隐含波动率小幅上升049报收于2364持仓量PCR快速下降报收于095操作建议PTA短期偏空头区间盘整的市场行情格局PTA期权隐含波动率小幅上升持仓量PCR持续上涨构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情急速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如TA2304期权STA2304C580010STA2304C570010和STA2304P560010STA2304P5500104塑料期权塑料L2305倒V型市场行情走势形态维持近两周以来的弱势下行涨幅049报收于8186期权隐含波动率下降051报收于1696持仓量PCR小幅上升报收于095操作上建议塑料震荡下行空头趋势方向下塑料期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR小幅盘整有所上升构建卖出偏空头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情急速大涨则平仓离场如L2305期权SL2305-C-830010SL2305-C-820010和SL2305-P-810010SL2305-P-8000105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯PP2305春节过后冲高回落连续近两周以来的大幅下跌市场行情格局涨幅003报收于7870期权隐含波动率下降047报收于1652持仓量PC小幅下降报收于104操作上建议聚丙烯高位回落弱势下行连续报收阴线短期市场行情较为偏空头期权隐含波动率小幅度下降持仓量PCR有所下降仍维持在较高水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如PP2305SPP2305-C-800010SPP2305-C-790010和PP2305-P-770010SPP2305-P-7800106PVC期权PVCV2305维持一周以来空头压力线下弱势盘整区间震荡涨幅108报收于6254期权隐含波动率上升052报收于2235持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于050操作上建议PVC空头压力线下区间弱势震荡PVC期权隐含波动率小幅上升持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌宽跨式期权DELTA为负数的组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性若市场行情快速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如V2305期权SV2305-C-630010SV2305-C-640010和SV2305-P-610010SV2305-P-620010市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU23051266000000000206426137MAMA2304268400-500-0197492015PTATA2304564400-1000-01820455780LPGPG23045038009000183183196LL23058186004000049247610087PPPP2305787000200003331513041PVCV23056254006700108962529775数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU230512750428004870012691-5900-0463100752023-04-24MA23042700525065502687-1750-065300232023-03-03TA2304560014550118005628-3600-064-1650232023-03-03PG230450501694013940508063201264200272023-03-07L2305820019600229508167800010-1950612023-04-10PP2305790019500208507887-1450-0181650612023-04-10V2305630017250250006223600010-3150612023-04-10数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2305237217582243051226423162212MA2304213721742154-006244627962095TA2304242322702364049264330892197PG2304286428882873237309434772711L2305174716451696-051181318711755PP2305171315921652-047177218391704V2305241519972235052234224132272数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU2305132443515027-0153900124029062-001MA230473120630820860313856631797082004TA230413789584751061-0217197768105095-014PG23047233438906101045632940064005L230599249836099-03495118886093000PP2305676668171010121248912945104-006V230523326176920760095968730077050-003数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图14000成交量万6013500收盘价50130001265000401250030120002011500101100002022-09-232022-10-132023-01-192023-02-082022-07-292022-08-032022-08-082022-08-112022-08-162022-08-192022-08-242022-08-292022-09-012022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-282022-10-102022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-312023-02-03图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2700264500225260015025002400752300220002022-08-032022-12-022023-02-032022-07-292022-08-082022-08-112022-08-162022-08-192022-08-242022-08-292022-09-012022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-08图3PTA主力合约走势图6500320成交量万收盘价60002405624005500160500080450002022-08-082022-12-022023-01-112022-07-292022-08-032022-08-112022-08-162022-08-192022-08-242022-08-292022-09-012022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-08标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图600018成交量万收盘价165500141248480010500086450042400002022-10-182022-11-292023-01-112022-07-292022-08-032022-08-082022-08-112022-08-162022-08-192022-08-242022-08-292022-09-012022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-08图5塑料主力合约走势图900070成交量万收盘价608500504080008168003075002010700002022-08-032022-09-282022-11-292022-07-292022-08-082022-08-112022-08-162022-08-192022-08-242022-08-292022-09-012022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-08图6PP主力合约走势图900080成交量万收盘价70850060508000787100403075002010700002022-08-032022-09-282022-11-292022-07-292022-08-082022-08-112022-08-162022-08-192022-08-242022-08-292022-09-012022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-08图8PVC主力合约走势图7200160收盘价收盘价14067001201006200806057006214004020520002022-08-292022-11-032022-07-292022-08-032022-08-082022-08-112022-08-162022-08-192022-08-242022-09-012022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-08橡胶期权持仓分布橡胶期权持仓分布图橡胶期权持仓变化图80002007000150600010050500004000-503000-1002000-1501000-2000-250990099001025010750112501175012250127501325013750142501475015250157509900102501075011250117501225012750132501375014250147501525015750OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC橡胶期权最大未平仓橡胶认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价17000160001500014000130001200011000100002022-08-112022-09-012022-07-292022-08-032022-08-082022-08-162022-08-192022-08-242022-08-292022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-08橡胶期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓橡胶期权持仓量PCR橡胶期权隐含波动率08014000OIPCR34CLOSE070061611350032126500030060130002805012500262404012000220301150020020110002022-10-212022-07-292022-08-082022-08-162022-08-242022-09-012022-09-092022-09-202022-09-282022-10-132022-10-312022-11-082022-11-162022-11-242022-12-022022-12-122022-12-202022-12-282023-01-062023-01-162023-01-312023-02-082023-01-312022-08-102022-08-222022-09-012022-09-142022-09-262022-10-132022-10-252022-11-042022-11-162022-11-282022-12-082022-12-202022-12-302023-01-122022-07-29IMPVMA20UPLOW甲醇期权持仓分布甲醇期权持仓分布图甲醇期权持仓变化图700030002500600020005000150040001000500300002000-500-10001000-15000-2000OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC甲醇期权最大未平仓甲醇认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价32003000280026002400220020002022-09-012022-10-262022-12-282022-07-292022-08-032022-08-082022-08-112022-08-162022-08-192022-08-242022-08-292022-09-062022-09-092022-09-152022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-08甲醇期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓甲醇期权持仓量PCR甲醇期权隐含波动率2002900OIPCR50CLOSE280016040270012030260008026450020250004024001000023002022-09-012022-11-082023-01-062022-07-292022-08-082022-08-162022-08-242022-09-092022-09-202022-09-282022-10-132022-10-212022-10-312022-11-162022-11-242022-12-022022-12-122022-12-202022-12-282023-01-162023-01-312023-02-082023-01-312022-08-102022-08-222022-09-012022-09-142022-09-262022-10-132022-10-252022-11-042022-11-162022-11-282022-12-082022-12-202022-12-302023-01-122022-07-29IMPVMA20UPLOWPTA期权持仓分布PTA期权持仓分布图PTA期权持仓变化图1800060001600050001400040001200010000300080002000600010004000200000-10005000500050005200540056005800460046004700480049005200540056005800600062006400660046004700480049006000620064006600OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECPTA期权最大未平仓PTA认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价8000750070006500600055005000450040002022202320222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222023202320232023202320232023-------------------------------------------10010708080808080808090909090909091010101010111111111111111212121212121201010101010202-------------------------------------------26312903081116192429010609152023281013182131030811162124290207121520232803061116190308PTA期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓PTA期权持仓量PCRPTA期权隐含波动率1806500OIPCR55CLOSE1505624006000451203509055002506050000301500045002022-10-312022-07-292022-08-082022-08-162022-08-242022-09-012022-09-092022-09-202022-09-282022-10-132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