本周专题:产业在线数据跟踪，1）冰箱:2022年内销小幅回落，出口承压下滑。2022年我国冰箱产量7511万台，同比-12.8%;销量7558万台，同比-12.6%;出口量3435万台，同比-21.6%;内销量4123万台，同比-3.3%。2）洗衣机:2022年产销双降，出口表现优于内销。2022年我国洗衣机产量6860万台，同比-7.9%;销量6883万台，同比-7.9%;出口量2806万台，同比-7.1%;内销量4077万台，同比-8.4%。3）抽油烟机:2022年产销双降，负面因素缓解后内需有望回暖。2022年我国油烟机产量2471万台，同比-19.6%;销量2450万台，同比-20.3%;出口量1066万台，同比-25.6%;内销量1383万台，同比-15.7%。
　　2023年度投资策咯:寒意渐尽“否”已概，砥砺深耕迎“亲”来。我们认为家电板块近两年所经历的成本上涨、需求疲弱等不利局面均将明显改善，逆境中砥砺深耕的细分龙头领先优势扩大。(1）白电:重点推荐卡萨帝高端引领、“三翼鸟”流量前置及全球化提升竞争力的海尔智家和多元化、全球化发展的美的集团;(2）厨电:重点推荐传统业务稳健发展，新兴业务发力的老板电器，积板关注受益行业高景气且渠道加速拓展的火星人和亿田智能等;(3）电工照明:重点推荐渠道产品精耕细作的公牛集团与商照业务快发展的欧廿照明;(4）小家电:推荐新宝股份、飞科电器，积极关注苏消尔、九阳股份、小熊电要、荥泰健康等;清洁电器建议关注莱竞电气、科沃斯、石头科拉等;(5）视听:重点推荐板米科拉与光峰科拉;(6）零部件:建议关注产品格局稳定、梯队良好、汽零业务快速发展的三花智控。
　　本周行情:本周上证综指下跌0.04%，家电行业下跌1.78%，小幅跑输大盘。其中，白电板块下跌3.86%，黑电板块上涨2.21%，厨电板块下跌2.68%，小家电板块上涨1.23%，照明电工及其他板块上涨3.75%。沪《溧）股通持股占比方面，至本周五，美的集团沪深股通持股占比20.16%，较上周下降0.16pct:公牛集团沪深股通持股占比11.3%，较上周下降0.24pct:格力电器沪深股通持股占比12.58%，较上周提高0.28pct:九阳股份沪深股通持股占比5.92%，较上周下降0.04pct:老板电器沪深股通持股占比11%，较上周提高0.25pct:海尔智家沪深股通持股占比11.35%，较上周持平。个股方面:本周家电行业涨幅前五为东方电热（17.16%)、爱仕达(15.13%)、汉宇集团(12.37%)、佛山照明( 11.8%)、哈尔斯（ 10.63%):跌幅前五为亿田智能(-6.45%)、老板电器( -4.75%)、火星人( -4.45%)、光峰科技(-4.21%)、深康佳B(-3.54%)。
　　一周重点敷据最踪:镀锌板卷(0.5mm）本周价格5110元/吨，较上周下跌51元/吨;铜(1#）本周价格68460元/吨，较上周下跌1660元/吨;铝(A00）本周价格18870元/吨，较上周下跌100元/吨;中国塑料城价格指数本周价格863，较上周上涨5。
　　风险提示:原料价格大幅波动;终端需求萎靡风险;汇率波动风险。
　　

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