【基本面信息】
　　橡胶：截至2023年3月25日，上期所天然橡胶库存197058（473）吨，仓单188040（-340）吨。20号胶库存42918（1701）吨，仓单33355（908）吨。交易所+青岛库存104.57(1.87)万吨。
　　甲醇：库存方面，港口库存总量报79.3万吨，环比+7.63万吨。企业库存环比+1.86万吨，报38.26万吨。传统需求方面，醋酸与MTBE开工上行，二甲醚维稳，甲醛与氯化物开工回落，总体变化不大。江浙MTO开66.93%，环比1.37%，整体甲醇制烯烃开工78.64%，环比-2.33%。
　　PVC：上周PVC整体开工负荷率77.14%，环比下降1.9%；其中电石法PVC开工负荷率74.76%，环比下降2.61%；乙烯法PVC开工负荷率85.3%，环比增加0.52%。
　　

研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2023年3月31日星期五基本面信息橡胶截至2023年3月25日上期所天然橡胶库存197058473吨仓单188040-340吨20号胶库存429181701吨仓单33355908吨交易所青岛库存10457187万吨甲醇库存方面港口库存总量报793万吨环比763万吨企业库存环比186万吨报3826万吨传统需求方面醋酸与MTBE开工上行二甲醚维稳甲醛与氯化物开工回落总体变化不大江浙MTO开6693环比-137整体甲醇制烯烃开工7864环比-233卢品先PVC上周PVC整体开工负荷率7714环比下降19其中电石法PVC开工负荷率7476环比下降261乙烯法PVC开工负荷率853环比增加052投研经理0755-23375252期权分析及策略建议lupxwkjyqhcom1橡胶期权橡胶RU2305经过前期两周的持续大幅下跌跌破延续一个多月以来震荡区间下限上周以来低位弱势区间从业资格号盘整有所反弹回升空头趋势方向仍向下跌幅008报收于11890期权隐含波动率下降041报收于2462持仓F3047321量PCR较低位置窄幅盘整报收于035操作建议沪胶经过前两周以来持续大幅下跌后上周维持低位弱势震荡有所交易咨询号反弹回暖而趋势线方向仍向下橡胶期权隐含波动率小幅盘整持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出偏空头的宽Z0015541跨式期权组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值收益若市场行情急速反弹大涨则逐渐平仓离场如RU2305期权SRU2305P1150010SRU2305P1175010和SRU2305C1225010SRU2305C12000102甲醇期权甲醇MA305延续三周以来的弱势空头震荡下行趋势且趋势线方向仍向下本周以来有所回暖仍未改变弱势空头趋势涨幅076报收于2505期权隐含波动率下降060报收于2250持仓量PCR有所反弹维持较低水平报收于062操作建议甲醇延续近三周以来的弱势偏空头震荡下行形成上方有压力的弱势偏空头趋势甲醇期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持至较低水平构建卖出偏空头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如MA305期权SMA305P247510SMA305P250010和STMA305C250010SMA305C2500103PTA期权PTATA305上周止跌反弹回暖上升后连续报收阳线突破上涨本周以来加速上行多头情绪加剧跌幅026报收于6242期权隐含波动率持续上升226报收于3258持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于094操作建议PTA上周以来延续短期多头上涨趋势突破上行市场行情多头情绪较浓PTA期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR窄幅波动有所下降回落构建卖看涨期权牛市价差组合策略获取方向性收益若市场行情快速大跌至低行权价则逐渐平仓离场如TA305期权BTA305C600010BTA305C610010和STA305C640010STA305C6300104塑料期权塑料L2305经过前两周的震荡下行空头下跌上周以来低位弱势区间震荡涨幅108报收于8170期权隐含波动率下降003报收于1590持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于062操作上建议塑料经过前一周持续大幅下跌后上周以来跌幅收窄低位宽幅区间盘整震荡塑料期权隐含波动率窄幅波动持仓量PCR维持较低水平构建卖出偏空头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如L2305期权SL2305-P-800010SL2305-P-810010和SL2305-C-820010SL2305-C-8300105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯PP2305前周以来连续报收阴线持续空头下行上周以来逐渐形成低位矩形区间震荡逐渐反弹回升涨幅082报收于7659期权隐含波动率下降043报收于1569持仓量PC小幅波动报收于072操作上建议聚丙烯前一周弱势盘整震荡后逐渐下行而后维持一周多以来空头压力线下区间震荡有所反弹回暖聚丙烯期权隐含波动率小幅盘整持仓量PCR持续下降维持至较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值若市场行情快速大涨至低行权价则平仓离场如PP2305期权SPP2305-P-760010SPP2305-P-750010和SPP2305-C-770010SPP2305-C-7600106PVC期权PVCV2305前一周连续大幅下跌跌破前两周的矩形区间下限上周以来低位盘整震荡后逐渐反弹回暖上升本周以来连续报收阳线逐渐转为偏多头市场行情走势涨幅048报收于6267期权隐含波动率下降028报收于2079持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于045操作上建议PVC上方有压力的短期偏多头上涨趋势PVC期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则平仓离场如V2305期权SV2305-P-620010SV2305-P-630010和SV2305-C-630010SV2305-C-640010市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU23051189000-1000-008166919865MAMA230525050019000761121227875PTATA2305624200-1600-0262067564676LPGPG2305450400-2000-0447406694LL2305817000870010821538701PPPP2305765900620008225749778PVCV23056267003000048612219092数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU23051200018400272001191238000322200252023-04-24MA230525002150320024901150046-155072023-04-06TA2305620013100635062687950128255072023-04-06PG23054500748067204508-920-020360112023-04-10L230582002400150508074-2550-031-9650112023-04-10PP230577002500123007602400005-5700112023-04-10V23056300425090006253-1700-027-1450112023-04-10数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2305269319672462-041230225012103MA2305226222382250-060222924891970TA2305323832843258226264731582136PG2305284526922775-132282232522392L2305166115271590-003168018831477PP2305154815851569-043164718631432V2305214520122079-028203122571805数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU230523947111900470045335318474035-001MA2305113777117632103-010178707110333062000TA2305522085391000075-016339979319645094-002PG230512731106290830181975713170067003L230520479229891120212937418120062-001PP230516037207881300553293923838072003V23053671135406096-0048548838302045-002数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图14000成交量万6013500收盘价50130004012500301190000120002011500101100002022-11-212022-12-022023-03-172023-03-302022-09-202022-09-232022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-242022-11-292022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-092023-03-142023-03-222023-03-27图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2700225260024890015025002400752300220002022-09-232023-01-312023-03-272022-09-202022-09-282022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-092023-03-142023-03-172023-03-222023-03-30图3PTA主力合约走势图6500627000480成交量万收盘价40060003205500240160500080450002022-09-282023-01-312023-03-092022-09-202022-09-232022-10-102022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-142023-03-172023-03-222023-03-272023-03-30标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图600018成交量万收盘价16550014121050004506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