【基本面信息】
　　·铜：产业层面，上周三大交易所库存减少2.6万吨，其中上期所库存减少2.6至21.4万吨，LME库存增加0.1至7.2万吨，COMEX库存减少0.1至1.4万吨。上海保税区库存环比增加0.5万吨，上周铜进口亏损缩窄，洋山铜溢价维持低位。
　　 ·铝：SMM统计数据显示，2023年2月份（28天）国内电解铝产量309.2万吨，同比增长4.9%。2023年1-2月份国内电解铝累计产量约651万吨，同比增长5.8%。2月底云南地区电解铝集中减产，企业集中抽铝水铸锭，行业产量并未跟随运行产能回落快速下降，2月份日均产量环比增长150吨至11.04万吨/日。
　　·铁矿石：铁矿石基本面边际好转。螺纹钢厂库和社库均转为去化，表需大超季节性增加，数据较为利好，市场情绪极为乐观，铁矿石盘面价格大幅拉涨。钢厂利润仍在持续回升中，部分钢厂扭亏为盈，对钢厂的生产起到了积极作用。
　　

研究报告全文：金属期权周报期权研究2023年3月13日星期一基本面信息铜产业层面上周三大交易所库存减少26万吨其中上期所库存减少26至214万吨LME库存增加01至72万吨COMEX库存减少01至14万吨上海保税区库存环比增加05万吨上周铜进口亏损缩窄洋山铜溢价维持低位铝SMM统计数据显示2023年2月份28天国内电解铝产量3092万吨同比增长492023年1-2月份国内电解铝累计产量约651万吨同比增长582月底云南地区电解铝集中减产企业集中抽铝水铸锭行业产量并未跟随运行产能回落快速下降2月份日均产量环比增长150吨至1104万吨日铁矿石铁矿石基本面边际好转螺纹钢厂库和社库均转为去化表需大超季节性增加数据较为利好市场卢品先情绪极为乐观铁矿石盘面价格大幅拉涨钢厂利润仍在持续回升中部分钢厂扭亏为盈对钢厂的生产起到了积投研经理极作用0775-23375252标的行情与期权分析lupxwkqhcn反弹震荡上行上方有前期高点压力沪锌延续近三周以来的60天均线以来大幅震荡逐渐转为偏弱势走势形态从业资格号铁矿石延续近四个月以来的偏多头趋势方向震荡上行突破上涨上周以来突破近期高点后延续上升黄金上周先抑F3047321后扬延续前期多头趋势方向震荡上行截止上周五收盘沪铜周跌幅084报收于69020沪铝周跌幅209报收于交易咨询号18255沪锌周跌幅176报收于22875沪金周涨幅050报收于41976铁矿石周跌幅071报收于92300Z0015541持续增加贵金属黄金期权日均成交量则小幅变化其中铜期权减少032万手至631万手沪铝期权增加083万手至589万手沪锌期权增加118万手至470万手黄金期权增加045万手至186万手铁矿石期权大幅度增加638万手至3274万手日均持仓量上周有色金属铜期权铝期权和锌期权有所增加向上贵金属黄金期权日均持仓量小幅增加而铁矿石期权日均持仓量增加幅度较大其中铜期权增加078万手至584万手铝期权增加100万手至720万手锌期权增加045万手至295万手黄金期权增加036万手至496万手铁矿石期权大幅增加187万手至6232万手PCR大幅拉升报收于181沪铝期权持仓量PCR快速上升报收于097沪锌期权持仓量PCR持续上涨报收于120黄金期权持仓量PCR窄幅波动报收于073铁矿石期权持仓量PCR先升后降维持较高水平报收于325隐含波动率上周有色金属铜期权锌期权铝期权和黄金期权隐含波动率小幅波动且小幅上升而铁矿石期权隐含波动率快速上涨其中沪铜期权隐含波动率报收于1808沪铝期权隐含波动率收于1444沪锌期权隐含波动率收于1904沪金期权隐含波动率报收于1157铁矿石期权隐含波动率报收于3522结论与操作建议1沪铝期权沪铝AL2304空头压力线下盘整震荡后逐渐回落延续弱势偏空头趋势期权隐含波动率小幅波动期权持仓量PCR快速上升操作建议构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如AL2304SAL2304P1810010SAL2304P1820010和SAL2304C1830010SAL2304C18400102沪铜期权沪铜CU2304沿着多头趋势方向上高位宽幅矩形区间盘整震荡且趋势线方向斜率为正而上方有前期高点压力期权隐含波动率较低位置小幅波动期权持仓量PCR则窄幅波动操作建议构建卖出看涨看跌偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大跌则平仓逐渐离场如CU2304SCU2304P68000SCU2304P69000和SCU2304C70000SCU2304C690003沪锌期权沪锌ZN2304延续近三周以来的60天均线以来大幅震荡逐渐转为偏弱势走势形态期权隐含波动率窄幅波动沪锌期权持仓量PCR持续上涨至100以上操作建议构建卖出宽跨式期权偏空头组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如ZN2304SZN2304P22600SZN2304P22800和SZN2304C23000SZN2304C232004铁矿石期权铁矿石I2505延续近四个月以来的偏多头趋势方向震荡上行突破上涨上周以来突破近期高点后延续上升期权隐含波动率小幅波动仍维持较高水平期权持仓量PCR有所回落操作建议构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值若市场行情快速大跌则平仓离场如I2305SI2301-P-91010SI2305-P-92010和SI2301-C-93020SI2305-C-940105黄金期权黄金AU2304上周先抑后扬延续前期多头趋势方向震荡上行期权隐含波动率小幅波动期权持仓量PCR窄幅盘整操作建议构建卖出偏多头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大跌则平仓离场如AU2304SAU2304-P-40810SAU2304-P-41610和SAU2304-C-43210SAU2304-C-42410一周市场行情回顾期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅周日均成交量万增减上周日均持仓量万增减CUCU230469020-80000-0846730591437-197ALAL230418255-52000-20914982351961-091ZNZN230422875-60000-1761080212848-083AUAU230441976418050568-367506-646II230592300400-07163803258466-373数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部期权总成交与持仓上周日均总成交量万张上周日均总持仓量万张期权品种CallPut合计变化PCRCallPut合计变化PCRCU286443447163115-31961202208236317583997796164AL29147267225586982740923744434574720179976092ZN207592627147031118361271331216215295274463122AU953290251855744750952780521799496043551078I1201982071643273616378317216103146215662318818660287数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日CU230469000820009740068846-42800-062-17400112023-03-27AL230418300201002250018276-22700-1232100112023-03-27ZN230422800383003220022861-34300-148-1400112023-03-27AU2304416362298417258062-312112023-03-27I230592024003390910-750-082-1290202023-04-10数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWCU2304169318961808135178818771698AL2304149413961444-453143215241340ZN2304190319041904178179618951698AU2304109512411157079117312321113I2305280438593522336320833373079数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化CU230425974336591300311439225998181001AL23043222532908102-0052829327435097004ZN230425081408581630201111113377120-004AU230480075847073-0321768912965073002I2305104305222377213021130921425217325000数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1铜主力合约走势图7500025成交量万收盘价70000206881000650001560000105500055000002022-11-222022-12-292023-02-142022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-10图2铝主力合约走势图2000040成交量万收盘价35182650030251800020151051600002022-09-292023-01-042023-03-072022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-10图3锌主力合约走势图2600045成交量万收盘价402500035228700024000302523000202200015102100052000002022-09-022022-08-302022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-10标的价量关系图4黄金主力合约走势图4304167625成交量万收盘价4202041040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