【基本面信息】
　　橡胶：截至2023年2月17日，上期所天然橡胶库存198178（1896）吨，仓单185580（460）吨。20号胶库存33758（1210）吨，仓单26652（-1109）吨。交易所+青岛库存96.98(1.77)万吨。
　　甲醇：库存方面，港口库存总量报75.52万吨，环比+4.01万吨。企业库存环比-0.36万吨，报46.41万吨。利润方面，煤炭下跌，企业利润小幅回升，绝对值仍处于低位水平。传统需求方面，甲醛、醋酸开工回升，氯化物、MTBE开工回落，总体出现回升。
　　 PVC：PVC整体开工率80.09%。电石法开工率79.27%，乙烯法开工率83.08%。检修方面，齐鲁石化1条线（35万吨）在2月中计划检修10天。（预计23日结束检修）广东东曹（22万吨）计划在2月检修5天。主要地区样本库存合计为43.78万吨，环比下降0.68万吨。分地区数据来看，华东地区PVC库存34.52万吨（环比下降0.7万吨）。华南地区PVC库存9.26万吨（环比增加0.06万吨）。

研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2023年2月23日星期四基本面信息橡胶截至2023年2月17日上期所天然橡胶库存1981781896吨仓单185580460吨20号胶库存337581210吨仓单26652-1109吨交易所青岛库存9698177万吨甲醇库存方面港口库存总量报7552万吨环比401万吨企业库存环比-036万吨报4641万吨利润方面煤炭下跌企业利润小幅回升绝对值仍处于低位水平传统需求方面甲醛醋酸开工回升氯化物MTBE开工回落总体出现回升卢品先PVCPVC整体开工率8009电石法开工率7927乙烯法开工率8308检修方面齐鲁石化1条线35万吨在2月中计划检修10天预计23日结束检修广东东曹22万吨计划在2月检修5天主要地区样本库存合计投研经理为4378万吨环比下降068万吨分地区数据来看华东地区PVC库存3452万吨环比下降07万吨华南地区0755-23375252PVC库存926万吨环比增加006万吨lupxwkjyqhcom期权分析及策略建议从业资格号1橡胶期权F3047321橡胶RU2305高位回落后连续大幅下跌延续两周多以来低位弱势盘整震荡涨幅036报收于12580期权交易咨询号隐含波动率下降026报收于2123持仓量PCR较低位置窄幅盘整报收于054操作建议沪胶高位回落后维持近Z0015541三周以来的弱势偏空头趋势上周以来跌幅收窄低位弱势盘整橡胶期权隐含波动率窄幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值收益若市场行情急速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如RU2305期权SRU2305P1250010SRU2305P1225010和SRU2305C1275010SRU2305C13000102甲醇期权甲醇MA304低位盘整震荡一周后本周以来逐渐反弹回暖上升连续报收阳线突破上涨夜盘跳空高开站上20天均线涨幅238报收于2715期权隐含波动率下降080报收于1928持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于055操作建议甲醇低位盘整震荡后逐渐反弹回暖上升突破上行形成上方有压力的短期偏多头市场行情甲醇期权隐含波动率窄幅波动持仓量PCR持续下降至较低水平构建卖出偏多头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大跌则逐渐平仓离场如MA304期权SMA304P265010SMA304P270010和STMA304C275010SMA304C2800103PTA期权PTATA304高位回落后连续两周弱势下行而后维持一周以来的弱势震荡本周以来超跌反弹连续大幅上涨涨幅007报收于5638期权隐含波动率下降136报收于2155持仓量PCR小幅上升报收于083操作建议PTA高位回落后延续近三周以来的弱势偏空头逐渐下跌近一个半月以来形成倒V型走势盘整震荡一周后大幅反弹上升而上方有前期高点压力PTA期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏多头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大跌则逐渐平仓离场如TA304期权STA304P550010STA304P560010和STA304C580010STA304C5700104塑料期权塑料L2305上周以来企稳60天均线回暖上升逐渐反弹上涨突破20天均线形成短期偏多头市场行情跌幅013报收于8344期权隐含波动率下降017报收于1559持仓量PCR小幅下降报收于080操作上建议塑料企稳回升后连续上涨形成短期偏多头上涨趋势塑料期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR小幅下降构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大跌则平仓离场如L2305期权SL2305-P-820010SL2305-P-830010和SL2305-C-840010SL2305-C-8500105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯PP2305前期高位回落连续近两周以来的大幅下跌上周止跌反弹逐渐回暖上升连续偏多头上涨而上方有前期高点压力涨幅006报收于7979期权隐含波动率下降044报收于1558持仓量PC小幅下降报收于080操作上建议聚丙烯空头压力线下反弹回暖上升聚丙烯期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR持续下降构建卖出偏空头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如PP2305期权SPP2305-P-780010SPP2305-P-790010和SPP2305-C-810010SPP2305-C-8000106PVC期权PVCV2305前一周以来空头压力线下区间盘整震荡上周逐渐回暖上升突破上涨本周以来加速上涨涨幅057报收于6505期权隐含波动率下降094报收于1983持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于049操作上建议PVC沿着短期多头趋势方向加速上涨表现为较强的多头信号PVC期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大跌则平仓离场如V2305期权SV2305-P-640010SV2305-P-650010和SV2305-C-660010SV2305-C-670010市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU230512580004500036227728544MAMA230427150063002389772591PTATA230456380040000722396307LPGPG2304499600-7100-1407347442LL2305834400-1100-013282511802PPPP2305797900500006398815902PVCV23056505003700057820726543数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU230512500390003310012559-5600-044-2100612023-04-24MA230427001700610026561150043-590092023-03-03TA23045600800070505610800014-285092023-03-03PG230450001392076205063-140-0036700132023-03-07L2305830017900160008319-6400-076-2500472023-04-10PP2305800013400199507935-4800-060-4450472023-04-10V2305650014050195006446-4150-064-5950472023-04-10数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2305228216892123-026219522892101MA2304195818661928-080222925981859TA2304223520332155-136243428991968PG2304277827062745000293433052563L2305161314661559-017170518021609PP2305160214921558-044166217421583V2305209217991983-094221323472080数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU23051362349980370104940126699054-001MA23049098345425050-0026097233503055001TA230424756216194406500011802998547083011PG23041392611770085024159859628060-002L2305168159754058-0181473511760080-001PP23051419295140670141789914326080-002V230530468179480590136248130914049-001数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图14000成交量万6013500收盘价50130001253000401250030120002011500101100002022-10-142022-10-272023-02-092023-02-222022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-192022-10-242022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-142023-02-17图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2700261600225260015025002400752300220002022-08-172022-12-162023-02-172022-08-122022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-22图3PTA主力合约走势图6500320成交量万收盘价60002405602005500160500080450002022-08-222022-12-162023-02-012022-08-122022-08-172022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-22标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图600018成交量万收盘价165500141210500045630086450042400002022-11-012022-12-132023-02-012022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-22图5塑料主力合约走势图900070成交量万收盘价608500508324004080003075002010700002022-08-172022-10-192022-12-132022-08-122022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-22图6PP主力合约走势图900080成交量万收盘价70850060507942008000403075002010700002022-08-172022-10-192022-12-132022-08-122022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-22图8PVC主力合约走势图7200160收盘价收盘价14067001201006200806447006057004020520002022-09-132022-11-172022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-22橡胶期权持仓分布橡胶期权持仓分布图橡胶期权持仓变化图1200060010000500400800030060002004000100200000-10011750117509900990010250107501125012250127501325013750142501475015250157509900102501075011250117501225012750132501375014250147501525015750OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC橡胶期权最大未平仓橡胶认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价17000160001500014000130001200011000100002022-08-252022-09-162022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-22橡胶期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓橡胶期权持仓量PCR橡胶期权隐含波动率08014000OIPCR34CLOSE070135003212530003006005405130002805012500262404012000220301150020020110002022-11-042022-08-122022-08-222022-08-302022-09-072022-09-162022-09-262022-10-112022-10-192022-10-272022-11-142022-11-222022-11-302022-12-082022-12-162022-12-262023-01-042023-01-122023-01-202023-02-062023-02-142023-02-222023-02-142022-08-242022-09-052022-09-162022-09-282022-10-172022-10-272022-11-082022-11-182022-11-302022-12-122022-12-222023-01-042023-01-162023-02-022022-08-12IMPVMA20UPLOW甲醇期权持仓分布甲醇期权持仓分布图甲醇期权持仓变化图12000100010000500800006000-5004000-10002000-15000-2000310032002150220022502300235024002450250026002700280029003000OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC甲醇期权最大未平仓甲醇认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价32003000280026002400220020002022-09-162022-11-092023-01-122022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-22甲醇期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓甲醇期权持仓量PCR甲醇期权隐含波动率2002900OIPCR50CLOSE280016040270012030260008020261600250004024001000023002022-09-162022-11-222023-01-202022-08-122022-08-222022-08-302022-09-072022-09-262022-10-112022-10-192022-10-272022-11-042022-11-142022-11-302022-12-082022-12-162022-12-262023-01-042023-01-122023-02-062023-02-142023-02-222023-02-142022-08-242022-09-052022-09-162022-09-282022-10-172022-10-272022-11-082022-11-182022-11-302022-12-122022-12-222023-01-042023-01-162023-02-022022-08-12IMPVMA20UPLOWPTA期权持仓分布PTA期权持仓分布图PTA期权持仓变化图25000500040002000030002000150001000010000-1000-20005000-3000-40000-50005000500050005200540056005800460046004700480049005200540056005800600062006400660046004700480049006000620064006600OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECPTA期权最大未平仓PTA认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价8000750070006500600055005000450040002022202320222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222023202320232023202320232023202320232023-------------------------------------------11020808080808090909090909091010101010111111111111111212121212121201010101010202020202------------------------------------------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