【基本面信息】
　　橡胶：截至2023年3月17日，上期所天然橡胶库存196585（-2155）吨，仓单188380（-170）吨。20号胶库存41217（100）吨，仓单32447（-102）吨。上期所加青岛库存102.69(-0.06)万吨。
　　甲醇：库存方面，港口库存总量报67.85万吨，环比-1.11万吨。企业库存环比-2.39万吨，报37.47万吨。传统需求方面，除氯化物开工回升外，其余均出现明显回落，总体回落明显。江浙MTO开68.30%，环比+1.73%，整体甲醇制烯烃开工79.35%，环比-0.61%。
　　 PVC：新增检修企业有两家，部分前期检修企业延续，长期停车装置数量仍较多，PVC行业开工率略降至79.04%。根据企业公布的检修计划，三至五月份检修规模不大，时间不集中且多为短停，PVC开工水平窄幅波动，难以出现明显回落，供应端支撑乏力。
　　

研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2023年3月24日星期五基本面信息橡胶截至2023年3月17日上期所天然橡胶库存196585-2155吨仓单188380-170吨20号胶库存41217100吨仓单32447-102吨上期所加青岛库存10269-006万吨甲醇库存方面港口库存总量报6785万吨环比-111万吨企业库存环比-239万吨报3747万吨传统需求方面除氯化物开工回升外其余均出现明显回落总体回落明显江浙MTO开6830环比173整体甲醇制烯烃开工7935环比-061卢品先PVC新增检修企业有两家部分前期检修企业延续长期停车装置数量仍较多PVC行业开工率略降至7904根据企业公布的检修计划三至五月份检修规模不大时间不集中且多为短停PVC开工水平窄幅波动难以出现投研经理明显回落供应端支撑乏力0755-23375252lupxwkjyqhcom期权分析及策略建议1橡胶期权从业资格号橡胶RU2305经过前期近两周的持续大幅下跌跌破延续一个多月以来震荡区间下限本周以来低位弱势区F3047321间盘整跌幅034报收于11680期权隐含波动率上升094报收于2536持仓量PCR较低位置窄幅盘整报收于交易咨询号043操作建议沪胶上周连续大幅下跌跌破一个月以来的震荡区间下限而后低位弱势盘整橡胶期权隐含波Z0015541动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建看看涨看跌期权空头组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值若市场行情急速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如RU2305期权SRU2305P1150010SRU2305P1175010和SRU2305C1175010SRU2305C12000102甲醇期权甲醇MA305延续两周以来的弱势空头震荡下行趋势而后有所反弹回升而趋势线方向仍向下跌幅044报收于2510期权隐含波动率下降051报收于24399持仓量PCR有所反弹维持较低水平报收于056操作建议甲醇经过前两周不断下得回落后超跌反弹回暖上升形成上方有空头压力的弱势震荡甲醇期权隐含波动率持续上涨持仓量PCR小幅盘整构建卖出空头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如MA2305期权SMA305P247510SMA305P250010和STMA305C255010SMA305C2500103PTA期权PTATA305上周高位盘整震荡后连续大幅下跌而后止跌反弹回暖连续两根大阳线修复一周的跌幅突破上涨而后高位大幅震荡涨幅0924报收于5910期权隐含波动率持续下降176报收于2963持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于094操作建议PTA上周高位盘整震荡后连续大幅下跌而后止跌反弹回暖上升连续两根大阳线修复一周的跌幅突破上涨PTA波动上期权隐含波动率持续上涨持仓量PCR小幅波动至090以上构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏多头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性若市场行情快速大跌则逐渐平仓离场如TA305期权STA305P580010STA305P590010和STA305C610010STA305C6000104塑料期权塑料L2305经过前两周的震荡下行空头下跌本周以来低位弱势区间震荡跌幅046报收于8005期权隐含波动率上升057报收于1895持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于072操作上建议塑料沿着空头趋势方向震荡下行跌破一个月以来的低点而后维持一周以来的低位弱势偏空头塑料期权隐含波动率有所回落持仓量PCR维持较低水平构建看跌期权熊市价差组合策略获取方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨至高行权价则平仓离场如L2305期权BL2305-P-820010BL2305-P-830010和SL2305-P-780010SL2305-P-7900105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯PP2305前周以来连续报收阴线跌破盘整震荡一周区间下限而后不断大幅下跌本周以来逐渐形成低位矩形区间震荡格局弱势偏空跌幅020报收于7533期权隐含波动率下降007报收于1863持仓量PC小幅波动报收于077操作上建议聚丙烯震荡下行跌破近期低点形成弱势偏空头市场行情格局聚丙烯期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR窄幅波动构建期权合成期货空头组合策略获取方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如PP2305期权BPP2305-P-750010BPP2305-P-760010和SPP2305-C-750010SPP2305-C-7600106PVC期权PVCV2305上周连续大幅下跌跌破两周前两周的矩形区间下限本周以来低位弱势下行延续空头趋势涨幅020报收于6081期权隐含波动率大幅度上升305报收于2412持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于051操作上建议PVC连续大幅下跌后低位区间盘整震荡空头情绪较浓PVC期权隐含波动率小幅度下降持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出偏空头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如V2305期权SV2305-P-600010SV2305-P-590010和SV2305-C-600010SV2305-C-610010市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU23051168000-4000-034181821313MAMA2305251000-1100-044986924876PTATA230559100054000922476472506LPGPG230544880065001476195480LL2305800500-3700-04623289360PPPP2305753300-1500-020321812147PVCV230560810012000201025831128数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU230511750227002700011707-2800-0242700322023-04-24MA23052500500031002519-250-010900142023-04-06TA230559009000140505850-2000-034-6050142023-04-06PG230545007660155204421-420-009-6660182023-04-10L2305800011050109508001-7600-094-400182023-04-10PP230575001100096007514-3400-045-1900182023-04-10V230561007350132006042-10900-177-3950182023-04-10数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2305268819482536094221023962025MA2305251023492439-051210123551847TA2305293229962963-176236027941927PG2305320031743189-068274631532339L2305186319161895057160917961422PP2305174519681863-007156617771355V2305241924082412305193621471725数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU2305221205710026-0146010425809043001MA23057712361418080-03715715788622056003TA2305249382227910091006272838255246094-002PG23051014770950700221985810902055002L23059095140411540502447017498072002PP23051087912174112-0223089623827077003V230537268613241650538451043039051002数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图14000成交量万6013500收盘价50130004012500301200011675002011500101100002022-11-142022-11-252023-03-102023-03-232022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-172022-11-222022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-172023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-152023-03-20图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2700225260025170015025002400752300220002022-09-162023-01-172023-03-202022-09-132022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-022023-03-072023-03-102023-03-152023-03-23图3PTA主力合约走势图6500480成交量万收盘价58520040060003205500240160500080450002022-09-212023-01-172023-03-022022-09-132022-09-162022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-202023-02-012023-02-062023-02-092023-02-142023-02-172023-02-222023-02-272023-03-072023-03-102023-03-152023-03-202023-03-23标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图600018成交量万收盘价1655001412105000844150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