【基本面信息】
　　橡胶：截至2022年12月23日，上期所天然橡胶库存180613（5791）吨，157740（10840）吨。20号胶34101（-1019）吨，仓单28809（-2530）吨。
　　甲醇：上游开工75.91%，环比+0.98%。库存方面，港口库存总量报62.06万吨，环比-2.42万吨，企业库存环比+0.38万吨，报51.51万吨，高位去化。
　　 PVC：短期内PVC基本面呈供强需弱格局，行业整体库存绝对值偏高，后续累库压力仍较大。出口方面出口套利窗口开启，有助于缓解国内销售压力，基本面整体仍显疲软。
　　聚丙烯：2022年12月份国内聚丙烯装置检修损失量为32.05万吨，较上月增加6.20万吨，增幅为24%。较去年同期（2021年12月26.05万吨）增加6万吨，增幅为23%。
　　

研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2022年12月30日星期五基本面信息橡胶截至2022年12月23日上期所天然橡胶库存1806135791吨15774010840吨20号胶34101-1019吨仓单28809-2530吨甲醇上游开工7591环比098库存方面港口库存总量报6206万吨环比-242万吨企业库存环比038万吨报5151万吨高位去化PVC短期内PVC基本面呈供强需弱格局行业整体库存绝对值偏高后续累库压力仍较大出口方面出口套利卢品先窗口开启有助于缓解国内销售压力基本面整体仍显疲软聚丙烯2022年12月份国内聚丙烯装置检修损失量为3205万吨较上月增加620万吨增幅为24较去年同投研经理期2021年12月2605万吨增加6万吨增幅为230755-23375252lupxwkjyqhcom期权分析及操作建议1橡胶期权从业资格号橡胶上周高位回落后连续报收大阴线形成弱势偏空头行情下有55天均线支撑跌幅059报收于12640期权F3047321隐含波动率上升042报收于2212持仓量PCR维持低位报收于070操作建议沪胶延延续近两周以来矩形区间交易咨询号弱势盘整橡胶期权隐含波动率窄幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略Z0015541获取方向性收益和时间价值收益若市场行情快速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如RU2305期权SRU2305C1275010SRU2305C1300010和SRU2305P1250010SRU2305P12250102甲醇期权甲醇MA302本周以来超跌反弹逐渐回暖上升市场行情短期偏多头涨幅105报收于2588期权隐含波动率下降051报收于2071持仓量PCR报收于103操作建议甲醇短期市场行情偏多头逐渐上行上方有前期高点压力甲醇期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR仍维持在较低水平构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则逐渐平仓离场如MA2302期权SMA2302C265010SMA2302C260010和STMA2302P255010SMA2302P2500103PTA期权PTATA302低位反弹V型反转回暖上升延续近三周以来的偏多头上涨行情涨幅007报收于5488期权隐含波动率下降106报收于1945持仓量PCR小幅上升报收于126操作建议PTA超跌反弹V型反转而后形成近三周以来的偏多头上涨趋势本周以来高位盘整震荡PTA期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR维持在较高水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏多头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则逐渐平仓离场如TA2302期权STA2302C560010STA2302C550010和STA2302P550010STA2302P5400104塑料期权塑料L2305延续一个半月以来的震荡上行温和上涨趋势突破10月以来高点而后围绕20天均线附近大幅波动跌幅063报收于8029期权隐含波动率下降030报收于1899持仓量PCR快速上升报收于107操作上建议塑料震荡上行多头上涨短期趋势上大幅波动的行情格局塑料期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR快速上升至100有所构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情急速大涨或大跌则平仓离场如L2305期权SL2305-C-800010SL2305-C-810010和SL2305-P-800010SL2305-P-7900105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯上周高位回落后连续报收大阴线形成短期偏空头行情本周超跌反弹回暖上升受阻回落延续弱势偏空头跌幅054报收于7686期权隐含波动率上升001报收于1855持仓量PC小幅下降报收于125操作上建议聚丙烯延续弱势偏空头的市场行情格局上方有前期高点压力下方有中期多头趋势方向支撑期权隐含波动率小幅度上升持仓量PCR有所下降仍维持在较高水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则平仓离场如PP2305SPP2305-C-770010SPP2305-C-780010和PP2305-P-760010SPP2305-P-7500106PVC期权PVC维持近一个多月以来的温和上涨震荡上行而后延续近两周以来的高位宽幅矩形区间震荡跌幅037报收于6220期权隐含波动率上升019报收于2436持仓量PCR报收于068操作上建议PVC维持短期趋势宽幅区间震荡行情格局PVC期权隐含波动率小幅上升持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权空头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨至低行权价则平仓离场如V2305期权SV2305-C-620010SV2305-C-630010和SV2305-P-610010SV2305-P-620010市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU23051264000-7500-059232529568MAMA2302258800270010510862781PTATA230254880040000718675119LPGPG2302423400-3400-0808837539LL2305802900-5100-063282411408PPPP2305768600-4200-054329512732PVCV2305622000-2300-0371022531920数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU230512750531005810012700-16700-13060001162023-04-24MA23022600140047002567950037-210072023-01-05TA2302550045505650548930000510072023-01-05PG23024250750069004256-3600-0842200112023-01-09L2305800031450283008032-12700-1562501022023-04-10PP2305770026750283507684-8000-103-2001022023-04-10V2305620033050266006265-3900-06244501022023-04-10数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2305238818772212042210121952008MA2302204120972071-051226924702068TA2302186420241945-106236625732159PG2302305428612969-109287930192739L2305187719171899-030183819411736PP2305187518331855001180019201680V2305260622892436019251926982340数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU230547122471052-0031939613519070-000MA230279522866311090236154863530103013TA2302178117184679104018101532127760126006PG23021839614410078-0072267310996048004L2305883310482119-11749285293107010PP230520941940093-12152676603125-002V2305515159411150121853712676068002数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图15000成交量万7014500收盘价60140005013500401300012685003012500120002011500101100002022-08-222022-09-022022-12-162022-12-292022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-252022-08-302022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-212022-12-26图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2700225256800260015025002400752300220002022-07-012022-11-012022-12-262022-06-282022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-29图3PTA主力合约走势图8000320成交量7500万70002406500600054880016055005000804500400002022-07-062022-11-012022-12-082022-06-282022-07-012022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-29标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图700025成交量万收盘价65002060001555001050005450002022-09-072022-10-272022-12-082022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-29图5塑料主力合约走势图1000080成交量万收盘价9500706090005085004080003080250020750010700002022-07-012022-08-252022-10-272022-06-282022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-29图6PP主力合约走势图1000090成交量万收盘价809500709000605085004080007675003020750010700002022-07-012022-08-252022-10-272022-06-282022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-29图8PVC主力合约走势图1809300收盘价收盘价16014083001201007300806063004020530006257002022-07-272022-09-262022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-29橡胶期权持仓分布橡胶期权持仓分布图橡胶期权持仓变化图5000250450040002003500150300025001002000150050100005000-501175011750132501475099009900102501075011250122501275013750142501525015750162501675099001025010750112501175012250127501325013750142501475015250157501625016750OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC橡胶期权最大未平仓橡胶认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价1800017000160001500014000130001200011000100002022-07-112022-08-012022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-29橡胶期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓橡胶期权持仓量PCR橡胶期权隐含波动率06016000OIPCR34055CLOSE155001500032050145003004514000281268500040135002603513000241250003022120002002511500020110002022-09-132022-06-282022-07-062022-07-142022-07-222022-08-012022-08-092022-08-172022-08-252022-09-022022-09-212022-09-292022-10-142022-10-242022-11-012022-11-092022-11-172022-11-252022-12-052022-12-132022-12-212022-12-292022-12-212022-07-082022-07-202022-08-012022-08-112022-08-232022-09-022022-09-152022-09-272022-10-142022-10-262022-11-072022-11-172022-11-292022-12-092022-06-28IMPVMA20UPLOW甲醇期权持仓分布甲醇期权持仓分布图甲醇期权持仓变化图2500060005000200004000150003000200010000100005000-10000-200033002350330022002250230023502400245025002600270028002900300031003200340035003600370022002250230024002450250026002700280029003000310032003400350036003700OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGEC甲醇期权最大未平仓甲醇认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价4000360032002800240020002022-08-012022-09-162022-11-252022-06-282022-07-012022-07-062022-07-112022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-29甲醇期权到期日收盘价C最大持仓P最大持仓甲醇期权持仓量PCR甲醇期权隐含波动率2002900OIPCR60CLOSE16028005027004012026003008025002025680004024001000023002022-08-012022-09-292022-12-052022-06-282022-07-062022-07-142022-07-222022-08-092022-08-172022-08-252022-09-022022-09-132022-09-212022-10-142022-10-242022-11-012022-11-092022-11-172022-11-252022-12-132022-12-212022-12-292022-12-212022-07-082022-07-202022-08-012022-08-112022-08-232022-09-022022-09-152022-09-272022-10-142022-10-262022-11-072022-11-172022-11-292022-12-092022-06-28IMPVMA20UPLOWPTA期权持仓分布PTA期权持仓分布图PTA期权持仓变化图20000600018000500016000400014000120003000100002000800010006000040002000-10000-20005000500068005000520054005600580046004600470048004900520054005600580060006200640066007000720074007600780046004700480049006000620064006600680070007200740076007800OIPOICOICHANGEPOICHANGECPTA期权最大未平仓PTA认购认沽合约最大持仓量所在的行权价8000750070006500600055005000450040002022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022202220222022-------------------------------------------09120607070707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