【基本面信息】
　　橡胶：截至2023年4月14日，上期所天然橡胶库存194612（-793）吨，仓单186970（-100）吨。20号胶库存51699（3204）吨，仓单48474（ 9173）吨。交易所+青岛库存108.80(1.35)万吨
　　甲醇：库存方面，港口库存总量报67.69万吨，环比-8.97万吨。企业库存环比-0.41万吨，报38.51万吨。传统需求方面甲醛、二甲醚开工回落，醋酸、氯化物、MTBE开工回升。江浙MTO开66.93%，环比维稳，整体甲醇制烯烃开工76.05%，环比+1.86%。
　　 PVC：PVC现货市场行情上行为主，电石法PVC各个区域市场价格略有提升，上涨幅度10-50元/吨左右，PVC华东华南主流市场价格集中在5950-6100元/吨。
　　

研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2023年4月19日星期三基本面信息橡胶截至2023年4月14日上期所天然橡胶库存194612-793吨仓单186970-100吨20号胶库存516993204吨仓单484749173吨交易所青岛库存10880135万吨甲醇库存方面港口库存总量报6769万吨环比-897万吨企业库存环比-041万吨报3851万吨传统需求方面甲醛二甲醚开工回落醋酸氯化物MTBE开工回升江浙MTO开6693环比维稳整体甲醇制烯烃开工7605环比186卢品先PVCPVC现货市场行情上行为主电石法PVC各个区域市场价格略有提升上涨幅度10-50元吨左右PVC华东华南主流市场价格集中在5950-6100元吨投研经理0755-23375252期权分析及策略建议lupxwkjyqhcom1橡胶期权橡胶RU2305经过前期的持续大幅下跌后跌幅收窄形成空头压力线下的宽幅矩形区间弱势震荡本周以来从业资格号有所反弹回暖上升涨幅115报收于11890期权隐含波动率下降142报收于1917持仓量PCR较低位置窄幅盘F3047321整报收于035操作建议沪胶维持空头压力下低位弱势区间盘整震荡后有所回暖橡胶期权隐含波动率小幅波动交易咨询号升持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出偏空头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值收益若市场Z0015541行情急速反弹大涨则逐渐平仓离场如RU2309期权SRU2309P11725010SRU2309P1200010和SRU2309C1225010SRU2309C12500102甲醇期权甲醇MA306延续一个多月以来的空头下跌趋势上周超跌反弹有所回升跌幅016报收于2444期权隐含波动率上升024报收于1928持仓量PCR小幅盘整平报收于050操作建议甲醇延续空头下跌趋势而后超跌反弹有所回升仍未改变空头趋势方向甲醇期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR维持至较低水平构建卖出偏空头的看涨看跌期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则逐渐平仓离场如MA306期权SMA306P240010SMA306P242510和STMA306C245010SMA306C2475103PTA期权PTATA306维持两周多以来连续报收阳线的多头上涨趋势上周以来冲高回落后维持近一周的高位区间震荡而后继续上扬多头上行跌幅010报收于6214期权隐含波动率下降053报收于2707持仓量PCR窄幅盘整报收于217操作建议PTA延续多头突破上涨后高位大幅震荡形成多头趋势方向上高位盘整PTA期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR逐渐下降仍维持高位200以上构建卖看跌期权牛市价差组合策略获取方向性收益若市场行情快速大跌至低行权价则逐渐平仓离场如TA306期权BTA306P600010BTA306P600010和STA306P640010STA306P6300104塑料期权塑料L2309维持一周多以来的弱势盘整震荡后逐渐反弹回暖上升震荡上行突破上涨市场行情表现为偏多头格局涨幅038报收于8204期权隐含波动率下降005报收于1395持仓量PCR小幅下降报收于088操作上建议塑料维持一周多以来的宽幅矩形区间盘整震荡而后逐渐上涨回升塑料期权隐含波动率窄幅波动持仓量PCR小幅盘整震荡构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨或大跌则平仓离场如L2309期权SL2309-P-820010SL2309-P-810010和SL2309-C-830010SL2309-C-8400105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯PP2309经过前期的弱势下行后而后维持两周以来的宽幅矩形区间震荡趋势线方向仍向下涨幅012报收于7617期权隐含波动率下降033报收于1299持仓量PC小幅上升报收于117操作上建议聚丙烯前期的弱势盘整震荡后逐渐下行而后维持一周多以来空头压力线下区间震荡弱势下行市场行情维持偏空头格局聚丙烯期权隐含波动率小幅上升持仓量PCR大幅度下跌构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏空头组合策略获取方向性收益和时间价值若市场行情快速大涨至低行权价则平仓离场如PP2309期权SPP2309-P-760010SPP2309-P-750010和SPP2309-C-770010SPP2309-C-7600106PVC期权PVCV2309前两周以来空头压力线下逐渐回落本周以来超跌反弹回升而趋势线方向仍向下形成空头下的短期偏多行情走势涨幅153报收于6222期权隐含波动率下降002报收于1664持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于076操作上建议PVC空头压力线之下反弹回暖PVC期权隐含波动率小幅波动持仓量PCR窄幅盘整构建卖出偏中性的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值若市场行情快速大跌或大涨则平仓离场如V2309期权SV2309-P-620010SV2309-P-610010和SV2309-C-630010SV2309-C-620010市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU23051189500135001152552996MAMA2306244400-400-01610122477PTATA2306621400-600-01026328183LPGPG2306465900-900-0195855466LL2309820400310003823909769PPPP2309761700900012277210546PVCV23096222009400153806124703数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU23051200031002650011766000000-1290062023-04-24MA23062450355034502451650027700202023-05-08TA2306620014550118006228-6100-0971350202023-05-08PG2306465012480838046918600183200222023-05-10L23098200225502330081932650032-11501112023-08-07PP230976002210019450762718000249501112023-08-07V23096200201002215061809600158-42501112023-08-07数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2305203916501917-142236825482189MA2306195718911928024225524802029TA2306265427532707-053296131802742PG2306254723822459027282531502501L2309138014101395-005164518401450PP2309131812771299-033163718691405V2309173315451664-002206123071814数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU2305160647379046-0073923013741035-001MA2306821716541908000911755659082050002TA2306217928250698115006113644246261217-000PG2306927210684115018101528133080-011L2309139481368109803881967245088-001PP23099009788608803171808407117004V2309167839690058-0372054915690076-006数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图14000成交量万6013500收盘价50130004012500301190500120002011500101100002022-12-072022-12-202023-04-042023-04-182022-10-132022-10-182022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-122022-12-152022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-162023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-092023-03-142023-03-172023-03-222023-03-272023-03-302023-04-102023-04-13图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2700225260015025002446002400752300220002022-10-182023-02-162023-04-132022-10-132022-10-212022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-092023-03-142023-03-172023-03-222023-03-272023-03-302023-04-042023-04-102023-04-18图3PTA主力合约走势图6500480成交量万收盘价59420040060003205500240160500080450002022-10-212023-02-162023-03-272022-10-132022-10-182022-10-262022-10-312022-11-032022-11-082022-11-112022-11-162022-11-212022-11-242022-11-292022-12-022022-12-072022-12-122022-12-152022-12-202022-12-232022-12-282023-01-032023-01-062023-01-112023-01-162023-01-192023-01-312023-02-032023-02-082023-02-132023-02-212023-02-242023-03-012023-03-062023-03-092023-03-142023-03-172023-03-222023-03-302023-04-042023-04-102023-04-132023-04-18标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图600018成交量万收盘价165500141210500047220086450042400002022-12-232023-02-132023-03-272022-10-132022-10-182022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