今日股指震荡偏弱。两市全天成交额9500亿元，北向资金流入节奏放缓，全天净买入0.76亿元。美国就业数据与通胀数据支撑美联储维持鹰派加息，海外流动性预期发生调整，抑制外资的风险偏好，北向资金的流入明显放缓。目前市场进入两会政策窗口期，受益于政策利好的行业、板块与个股将出现结构性机会。两会政策目标与政策方向指引表明2023年经济复苏的确定性较强，但是政策强刺激的概率也不高，货币政策保持稳健为主，财政政策积极为主，在基建、制造业投资以及消费方面发力的可能性较大。整体来看，稳增长政策下经济复苏确定性较高，预计短期股指震荡偏强运行。
　　目前期权隐含波动率逐渐回落至较低的分位数水平，震荡整理行情中隐含波动率走低给予较好的买权机会，可以逢回调构建牛市认购价差策略或者买入浅虚值认购期权。
　　

研究报告全文：金融期权日报专业研究创造价值2023年3月6日金融期权预计短期内股指震荡偏强核心观点今日股指震荡偏弱两市全天成交额9500亿元北向资金流入节奏放缓全天净买入076亿元美国就业数据与通胀数据支撑美联储维持鹰派加息海外流动性预期发生调整抑制外资的风险偏好北向资金的流入明显放缓目前市场进入两会政策窗口期受益于政策利好的行业板块与个股将出现结构性机会两会政策目标与政策方向指引表明2023年经济复苏的确定性较强但是政策强刺激的概率也不高货币政策保持稳健为主财政政策积极为主在基建制造业投资以及消费方面发力的可能性较大整体来看稳增长政策下经济复苏宝城期货研究所确定性较高预计短期股指震荡偏强运行目前期权隐含波动率逐渐回落至较低的分位数水平震荡整理行情中隐含投资咨询团队波动率走低给予较好的买权机会可以逢回调构建牛市认购价差策略或者买入浅虚值认购期权仅供参考不构成任何投资建议专业研究创造价值请务必阅读文末免责条款部分111请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报1新闻动态政府工作报告中指出今年发展主要预期目标是国内生产总值增长5左右城镇新增就业1200万人左右城镇调查失业率55左右居民消费价格涨幅3左右2期权指标2023年03月06日50ETF跌108收于2749300ETF上交所跌061收于4099300ETF深交所跌057收于4171沪深300指数跌052收于410901中证1000指数涨042收于699704500ETF上交所涨003收于6403500ETF深交所涨009收于6524创业板ETF涨038收于2361上证50ETF期权成交量PCR为9555上一交易日成交量PCR为8744持仓量PCR为8756上一交易日持仓量PCR为9815上交所3000ETF期权成交量PCR为9099上一交易日成交量PCR为7880持仓量PCR为10276上一交易日持仓量PCR为10772深交所300ETF期权成交量PCR为10674上一交易日成交量PCR为9564持仓量PCR为10968上一交易日持仓量PCR为11793中金所沪深300指数期权成交量PCR为7751上一交易日成交量PCR为6771持仓量PCR为8774上一交易日持仓量PCR为9033中金所中证1000指数期权成交量PCR为8443上一交易日成交量PCR为7936持仓量PCR为8787上一交易日持仓量PCR为8859上交所中证500ETF期权成交量PCR为10273上一交易日成交量PCR为10771持仓量PCR为10946上一交易日持仓量PCR为11039深交所中证500ETF期权成交量PCR为8886上一交易日成交量PCR为11177持仓量PCR为9464上一交易日持仓量PCR为9454创业板ETF期权成交量PCR为7384上一交易日成交量PCR为8529持仓量PCR为7000上一交易日持仓量PCR为6957上证50ETF期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1742标的30交易日历史波动率为1519上交所300ETF期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1629标的30交易日历史波动率为1463深交所300ETF期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1617标的30交易日历史波动率为1466中金所沪深300指数期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1638标的30交易日历史波动率为1405中金所中证1000指数期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1662标的30交易日历史波动率为1258上交所中证500ETF期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1342标的30交易日历史波动率为1149深交所中证500ETF期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为1490标的30交易日历史波动率为1151创业板ETF期权2023年03月平值期权隐含波动率为2142标的30交易日历史波动率为16863相关图表上证50ETF期权专业研究创造价值211请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报图1上证50ETF走势图2上证50ETF期权波动率50ETF期权50ETF期权45200050001800450041600400014003512003500100030003800250060025400200020015002010002021-01-042021-02-012021-03-082021-04-062021-05-072021-06-042021-07-052021-08-022021-08-302021-09-292021-11-032021-12-012021-12-292022-01-272022-03-032022-03-312022-05-052022-06-022022-07-012022-07-292022-08-262022-09-262022-10-312022-11-282022-12-262023-01-312023-02-282021-01-292021-03-042021-03-312021-04-282021-05-282021-06-252021-07-222021-08-182021-09-142022-02-112022-03-102022-04-082022-05-102022-06-072022-07-042022-07-292022-08-252022-09-222023-02-172021-01-042021-10-202021-11-162021-12-132022-01-102022-10-262022-11-222022-12-192023-01-16标的成交量万手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图3上证50ETF期权成交量PCR图4上证50ETF持仓量PCR50ETF期权50ETF期权7000000140004500000160006000000120004000000140003500000500000010000120003000000100004000000800025000002000000800030000006000600020000001500000400010000004000100000020005000002000000000002021-01-042021-02-032021-03-122021-04-142021-05-192021-06-212021-07-212021-08-202021-09-232021-11-012021-12-012021-12-312022-02-092022-03-112022-04-142022-05-192022-06-212022-07-212022-08-222022-09-222022-10-312022-11-302022-12-302023-02-082021-01-042021-02-032021-03-122021-04-142021-05-192021-06-212021-07-212021-08-202021-09-232021-11-012021-12-012021-12-312022-02-092022-03-112022-04-142022-05-192022-06-212022-07-212022-08-222022-09-222022-10-312022-11-302022-12-302023-02-08日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值311请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报上交所300ETF期权图5上交所300ETF走势图6上交所300ETF期权波动率300ETF期权上交所300ETF期权上交所62000500018004500551600140040005120035001000300045800250060044002000200150035010002021-08-182021-09-142021-10-202021-11-162021-12-132022-01-102022-02-112022-03-102022-04-082022-05-102022-06-072022-07-042022-07-292022-08-252022-09-222022-10-262022-11-222022-12-192023-01-162023-02-172021-01-042021-01-292021-03-042021-03-312021-04-282021-05-282021-06-252021-07-222022-06-022022-07-012022-07-292022-08-262022-09-262022-10-312022-11-282022-12-262023-01-312023-02-282021-01-042021-02-012021-03-082021-04-062021-05-072021-06-042021-07-052021-08-022021-08-302021-09-292021-11-032021-12-012021-12-292022-01-272022-03-032022-03-312022-05-05标的成交量万手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图7上交所300ETF期权成交量PCR图8上交所300ETF持仓量PCR300ETF期权上交所300ETF期权上交所50000001400030000001600014000400000012000250000010000120002000000100003000000800015000008000200000060001000000600040001000000400020005000002000000000002021-01-042021-02-032021-03-122021-04-142021-05-192021-06-212021-07-212021-08-202021-09-232021-11-012021-12-012021-12-312022-02-092022-03-112022-04-142022-05-192022-06-212022-07-212022-08-222022-09-222022-10-312022-11-302022-12-302023-02-082021-01-042021-02-032021-03-122021-04-142021-05-192021-06-212021-07-212021-08-202021-09-232021-11-012021-12-012021-12-312022-02-092022-03-112022-04-142022-05-192022-06-212022-07-212022-08-222022-09-222022-10-312022-11-302022-12-302023-02-08日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值411请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报深交所300ETF期权图9深交所300ETF走势图10深交所300ETF期权波动率300ETF期权深交所300ETF期权深交所600040045003504000550030035002505000300020045001502500200040001005015003500010002021-08-182021-09-142021-10-202021-11-162021-12-132022-01-102022-02-112022-03-102022-04-082022-05-102022-06-072022-07-042022-07-292022-08-252022-09-222022-10-262022-11-222022-12-192023-01-162023-02-172021-01-042021-01-292021-03-042021-03-312021-04-282021-05-282021-06-252021-07-222021-01-042021-03-102021-04-092021-05-132021-07-132021-08-112021-09-092021-11-172021-12-162022-01-172022-03-232022-04-252022-05-272022-06-282022-08-252022-09-262022-11-012022-12-292023-02-062021-02-022021-06-112021-10-192022-02-222022-07-272022-11-30标的成交量万手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图11深交所300ETF期权成交量PCR图12深交所300ETF持仓量PCR300ETF期权深交所300ETF期权深交所8000002000060000016000700000500000140006000001500012000500000400000100004000001000030000080003000002000006000200000500040001000001000002000000000002021-01-042021-02-032021-03-122021-04-142021-05-192021-06-212021-07-212021-08-202021-09-232021-11-012021-12-012021-12-312022-02-092022-03-112022-04-142022-05-192022-06-212022-07-212022-08-222022-09-222022-10-312022-11-302022-12-302023-02-082021-01-042021-02-032021-03-122021-04-142021-05-192021-06-212021-07-212021-08-202021-09-232021-11-012021-12-012021-12-312022-02-092022-03-112022-04-142022-05-192022-06-212022-07-212022-08-222022-09-222022-10-312022-11-302022-12-302023-02-08日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值511请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报沪深300股指期权图13沪深300股指走势图14沪深300股指期权波动率沪深300指数期权沪深300指数期权6000003503500300550000300025050000020025004500001502000100400000150005035000000010002021-01-042021-01-292021-03-042021-03-312021-04-282021-05-282021-06-252021-07-222021-08-182021-09-142021-10-202021-11-162021-12-132022-01-102022-02-112022-03-102022-04-082022-05-102022-06-072022-07-042022-07-292022-08-252022-09-222022-10-262022-11-222022-12-192023-01-162023-02-172021-01-042021-02-022021-04-092021-05-132021-06-112021-07-132021-09-092021-10-192021-11-172022-01-172022-02-222022-03-232022-05-272022-06-282022-07-272022-09-262022-11-012022-11-302023-02-062021-03-102021-08-112021-12-162022-04-252022-08-252022-12-29标的成交量亿手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图15沪深300股指期权成交量PCR图16沪深300股指持仓量PCR沪深300指数期权沪深300指数期权400000140003000001400035000012000250000120003000001000020000010000250000800080002000001500006000600015000010000010000040004000500002000500002000000000002021-01-042021-02-032021-03-122021-04-142021-05-192021-06-212021-07-212021-08-202021-09-232021-11-012021-12-012021-12-312022-02-092022-03-112022-04-142022-05-192022-06-212022-07-212022-08-222022-09-222022-10-312022-11-302022-12-302023-02-082021-01-042021-02-032021-03-122021-04-142021-05-192021-06-212021-07-212021-08-202021-09-232021-11-012021-12-012021-12-312022-02-092022-03-112022-04-142022-05-192022-06-212022-07-212022-08-222022-09-222022-10-312022-11-302022-12-302023-02-08日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值611请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报中证1000股指期权图17中证1000股指走势图18中证1000股指期权波动率中证1000指数期权中证1000指数期权7500002503500700000200300065000015025006000001002000550000050150050000000010002022-07-222022-08-012022-08-172022-08-252022-09-132022-09-212022-10-142022-10-242022-11-012022-11-092022-11-172022-11-252022-12-052022-12-212022-12-292023-01-172023-02-012023-02-172023-02-272022-08-092022-09-022022-09-292022-12-132023-01-092023-02-092022-07-222022-08-012022-08-092022-08-172022-08-252022-09-022022-09-132022-09-212022-09-292022-10-142022-10-242022-11-012022-11-092022-11-172022-11-252022-12-052023-02-092023-02-172023-02-272022-12-132022-12-212022-12-292023-01-092023-01-172023-02-01标的成交量亿手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图19中证1000股指期权成交量PCR图20中证1000股指持仓量PCR中证1000指数期权中证1000指数期权180000160009000014000160000140008000012000140000700001200010000120000100006000010000080008000500008000040000600060000600030000400004000200004000200002000100002000000000002022-07-222022-08-022022-08-112022-08-222022-08-312022-09-092022-09-212022-09-302022-10-182022-10-272022-11-072022-11-162022-11-252022-12-062022-12-152022-12-262023-01-052023-01-162023-02-012023-02-102023-02-212023-03-022022-07-222022-08-022022-08-112022-08-222022-08-312022-09-092022-09-212022-09-302022-10-182022-10-272022-11-072022-11-162022-11-252022-12-062022-12-152022-12-262023-01-052023-01-162023-02-012023-02-102023-02-212023-03-02日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值711请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报上交所500ETF期权图21上交所500ETF走势图22上交所500ETF期权波动率500ETF期权上交所500ETF期权上交所70066002800600640026005006200240022004006000200030058001800200560016001400100540012000520010002022-09-192022-09-232022-09-292022-10-122022-10-182022-10-242022-10-282022-11-032022-11-092022-11-152022-11-212022-11-252022-12-012022-12-072022-12-132022-12-192022-12-232022-12-292023-01-052023-01-112023-01-172023-01-302023-02-032023-02-092023-02-152023-02-212023-02-272023-03-032022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-172022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-28标的成交量万手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图23上交所500ETF期权成交量PCR图24上交所500ETF持仓量PCR500ETF期权上交所500ETF期权上交所80000014000140000020000700000120000012000150006000001000010000005000008000008000100004000006000003000006000400000500020000040002000001000002000000000002022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-172022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-282022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-172022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-28日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值811请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报深交所500ETF期权图25深交所500ETF走势图26深交所500ETF期权波动率500ETF期权深交所500ETF期权深交所2506600280064002600200240062002200150600020001005800180056001600501400540012000520010002022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-172022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-282022-09-192022-09-232022-10-122022-10-182022-10-282022-11-032022-11-152022-11-212022-12-012022-12-072022-12-192022-12-232023-01-052023-01-112023-01-172023-01-302023-02-032023-02-092023-02-152023-02-212023-02-272023-03-032022-09-292022-10-242022-11-092022-11-252022-12-132022-12-29标的成交量万手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图27深交所500ETF期权成交量PCR图28深交所500ETF持仓量PCR500ETF期权深交所500ETF期权深交所300000200002500002000025000020000015000150002000001500001500001000010000100000100000500050005000050000000000002022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-172022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-282022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-172022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-28日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值911请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报创业板ETF期权图29创业板ETF走势图30创业板ETF期权波动率创业板ETF期权创业板ETF期权120026003900250010003400800240023002900600220024004002100200200019000190014002022-09-192022-09-232022-09-292022-10-122022-10-182022-10-242022-10-282022-11-032022-11-092022-11-152022-11-212022-11-252022-12-012022-12-072022-12-132022-12-192022-12-232022-12-292023-01-052023-01-112023-01-172023-01-302023-02-032023-02-092023-02-152023-02-212023-02-272023-03-032022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-172022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-28标的成交量万手标的收盘价标的30日历史波动率平值期权隐含波动率数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所图31创业板ETF期权成交量PCR图32创业板ETF持仓量PCR创业板ETF期权创业板ETF期权18000001400010000002000016000001200014000008000001500012000001000010000008000600000100008000006000400000600000400040000020000050002000002000000000002022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-172022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-282022-09-192022-09-262022-10-102022-10-172022-10-242022-10-312022-11-072022-11-142022-11-212022-11-282022-12-052022-12-122022-12-192022-12-262023-01-032023-01-102023-01-172023-01-312023-02-072023-02-142023-02-212023-02-28日认购成交量日认沽成交量日成交量PCR日认购持仓量日认沽持仓量日持仓量PCR数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所数据来源iFinD宝城期货研究所专业研究创造价值1011请务必阅读文末免责条款金融期权日报投资咨询团队简介获取每日期货策略推送服务国家走向世界诚信至上合规经营知行合一专业敬业严谨管理开拓进取扫码关注宝城期货官方微信期货咨询尽在掌握免责条款客户不应视本报告为作出投资决策的唯一因素本报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合个别客户不构成客户私人咨询建议本公司未确保本报告充分考虑到个别客户特殊的投资目标财务状况或需要本公司建议客户应考虑本报告的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况以及若有必要咨询独立投资顾问在任何情况下本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议在任何情况下本公司不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损失负任何责任若本报告的接收人非本公司的客户应在基于本报告作出任何投资决定或就本报告要求任何解释前咨询独立投资顾问专业研究创造价值1111请务必阅读文末免责条款