【基本面信息】
　　橡胶：截至2023年1月13日，上期所天然橡胶库存190204（3460）吨，仓单181800（12100）吨。20号胶库存35915（1915）吨，仓单31026（2015）吨。
　　甲醇：上游开工74.82%，环比-1.58%。库存方面，港口港口卸货良好，港口库存总量报79.74万吨，环比+8.08万吨，库存继续走高。内地继续排库，企业库存环比-7.03万吨，报42.45万吨，回落明显。
　　PTA：PTA部分装置重启，市场供应有所回升，终端织造需求加速回落，PTA季节性累库，但加工费压缩低位，油价反弹支撑成本。
　　 PVC：PVC现价跟盘上调，上游预售受出口订单交付影响环比增加引领盘面。西北氯碱综合一体化企业利润基本维持，山东外采PVC单吨进一步亏损。
　　聚丙烯：上游方面，近期丙烯国内丙烯市场稳中上涨，炼厂试探性推涨。下游节前备货，出现一波采购高峰，成交氛围转好，上游走货顺畅，有效去库存，价格试探性推涨。同时成本面支撑增加，进一步提振市场价格。

研究报告全文：能源化工期权日报期权研究2023年1月18日星期三基本面信息橡胶截至2023年1月13日上期所天然橡胶库存1902043460吨仓单18180012100吨20号胶库存359151915吨仓单310262015吨甲醇上游开工7482环比-158库存方面港口港口卸货良好港口库存总量报7974万吨环比808万吨库存继续走高内地继续排库企业库存环比-703万吨报4245万吨回落明显PTAPTA部分装置重启市场供应有所回升终端织造需求加速回落PTA季节性累库但加工费压缩低位卢品先油价反弹支撑成本PVCPVC现价跟盘上调上游预售受出口订单交付影响环比增加引领盘面西北氯碱综合一体化企业利润基本投研经理维持山东外采PVC单吨进一步亏损0755-23375252聚丙烯上游方面近期丙烯国内丙烯市场稳中上涨炼厂试探性推涨下游节前备货出现一波采购高峰lupxwkjyqhcom成交氛围转好上游走货顺畅有效去库存价格试探性推涨同时成本面支撑增加进一步提振市场价格从业资格号期权分析及操作建议F30473211橡胶期权交易咨询号橡胶昨日大幅上涨突破维持一周多以来的宽幅矩形震荡区间上限市场行情偏向多头涨幅079报收于Z001554113345期权隐含波动率上升012报收于2277持仓量PCR维持低位报收于074操作建议沪胶沿着多头趋势方向震荡上行突破上涨而后冲高回落橡胶期权隐含波动率小幅上升持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖方期权的动态DELTA中性组合策略获取时间价值收益根据市场行情变化动态地调整持仓DELTA使得持仓保持中性若市场行情急速大涨或大跌持仓将面临大亏损则平仓离场如RU2305期权SRU2305C1350010SRU2305C1375010和SRU2305P1300010SRU2305P13250102甲醇期权甲醇MA303两个月以来沿着偏多头趋势方向波浪形上行本周以来加速上涨突破近期高点涨幅105报收于2692期权隐含波动率上升193报收于2714持仓量PCR大幅上升报收于112操作建议甲醇沿着偏多头趋势方向震荡上行且20天均线和60天均线斜率为正数甲醇期权隐含波动率小幅上升持仓量PCR急速上涨拉升构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大跌则逐渐平仓离场如MA2303期权SMA2303C275010SMA2303C270010和STMA2303P265010SMA2303P2700103PTA期权PTATA303前周高位盘整震荡而后连续报收大阴线回落低位宽幅矩形区间盘整震荡上周以来逐渐反弹回暖上升突破上行涨幅145报收于5600期权隐含波动率小幅上升155报收于2922持仓量PCR窄幅波动报收于089操作建议PTA短期偏多头震荡上行的市场行情格局PTA期权隐含波动率小幅上升持仓量PCR持续上涨构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏多头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情急速大跌则逐渐平仓离场如TA2303期权STA2303C560010STA2303C570010和STA2303P560010STA2303P5500104塑料期权塑料L2305延续近三周以来围绕20天均线附近大幅波动上周以来快速上涨突破上行涨幅067报收于8391期权隐含波动率下降008报收于1842持仓量PCR小幅上升报收于083操作上建议塑料突破近期高点形成短期偏多头市场行情形态走势塑料期权隐含波动率小幅下降持仓量PCR小幅盘整有所上升构建卖出偏多头的宽跨式期权组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性收益若市场行情急速大跌则平仓离场如L2305期权SL2305-C-850010SL2305-C-840010和SL2305-P-830010SL2305-P-8400105聚丙烯期权聚丙烯上周止跌反弹连续大幅上涨修复前一周下跌的空间突破一个月以来高点涨幅048报收于7997期权隐含波动率下降062报收于1812持仓量PC小幅下降报收于106操作上建议聚丙烯超跌反弹回升延续短期偏多头市场行情走势突破一个月以来的高点市场行情偏强走势期权隐含波动率小幅度下降持仓量PCR有所下降仍维持在较高水平构建卖出看涨看跌期权偏多头组合策略获取时间价值和方向性收益若市场行情快速大涨则平仓离场如PP2305SPP2305-C-810010SPP2305-C-800010和PP2305-P-800010SPP2305-P-7900106PVC期权PVC维持近两个月以来的震荡上行温和上涨涨幅138报收于6552期权隐含波动率上下降016报收于2407持仓量PCR小幅盘整报收于058操作上建议PVC温和上涨的市场行情状态本周以来加速上行PVC期权隐含波动率小幅上升持仓量PCR维持在较低水平构建卖出看涨看跌宽跨式期权DELTA为正数的组合策略获取时间价值收益和方向性若市场行情快速大跌则逐渐平仓离场如V2305期权SV2305-C-660010SV2305-C-670010和SV2305-P-650010SV2305-P-640010操作提醒临近春节长假注意仓位管控或清仓离场市场行情期权品种标的合约收盘价涨跌涨跌幅成交量万成交额亿RURU2305133450010500079370048994MAMA2303269200280010514233791PTATA2303560000800014519205298LPGPG230345750076001695334794LL2305839100560006723999998PPPP23057997003800048298711888PVCV23056552008900138766924785数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期货合成期权期权标的合约平值期权权利金C权利金P合成价格涨跌涨跌幅升贴水剩余天数到期日RU23051325061400532001333225500195-1300972023-04-24MA230327004300620026815400206-1100172023-02-03TA2303560073501580055162350043-8450172023-02-03PG2303460071001776044931900042-8160212023-02-07L23058400254002925083625400065-2950832023-04-10PP23058000240502715079694500057-2800832023-04-10V2305660023200341006491-150-002-6100832023-04-10数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部注平值是以主力月合约call与put权利金相减最小为基准平值合成期权升贴水平值call权利金-pu权利金-标的价格主力期权合约隐含波动率期权标的合约IMP-CIMP-PIMP-T变化MA20UPLOWRU2305240520282277012221222822141MA2303275527792764193229524822107TA2303299827762922155238326582109PG2303313532563197-035294531862705L2305177919021842-008186518951835PP2305184217691812-062182618521800V2305243023842407-016239124462335数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部主力期权合约持仓量PCR期权标的合约量-Call量-Put量-PCR变化持仓-Call持仓-Put持仓-PCR变化RU23051762391010520082370017475074003MA2303116726751360640003705241342112024TA230315860981976052-0137132663181089-002PG23037918817510300785318419099012L23053017310810304187627270083003PP23054667331307101791469657106005V2305786481001030392790916272058001数据来源wind资讯五矿期货期权事业部标的价量关系图1橡胶主力合约走势图14000成交量万50133150013500收盘价40130003012500201200011500101100002022-09-072022-09-212023-01-042023-01-172022-07-142022-07-192022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-132022-09-162022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-172022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-092023-01-12图2甲醇主力合约走势图2900成交量万3002800收盘价2680002700225260015025002400752300220002022-07-192022-11-172023-01-122022-07-142022-07-222022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-262022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-17图3PTA主力合约走势图6500320成交量万收盘价60002405532005500160500080450002022-07-222022-11-172022-12-262022-07-142022-07-192022-07-272022-08-012022-08-042022-08-092022-08-122022-08-172022-08-222022-08-252022-08-302022-09-022022-09-072022-09-132022-09-162022-09-212022-09-262022-09-292022-10-112022-10-142022-10-192022-10-242022-10-272022-11-012022-11-042022-11-092022-11-142022-11-222022-11-252022-11-302022-12-052022-12-082022-12-132022-12-162022-12-212022-12-292023-01-042023-01-092023-01-122023-01-17标的价量关系图4LPG主力合约走势图600025成交量万收盘价2055001550004575001045005400002022-09-262022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